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Gallup: Race Tightens

Even if Obama wins again, it does not look like he will have the House; If Romney wins, he'd be a fool to bow down to this House---it is going to be a tough next 2 years regardless and maybe 4.
 
Loki97 said:
Really? You think that's the method Vegas uses to run their sports book, analyze all the data and then pick the team which it says won't win? I really think that there may be some Republicans/Libertarians who are going to require psychiatric help if/when Obama wins again. Many of them are already so disconnected from whatever reality contradicts their desired world view as to be scary.
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I really could care less what Vegas does. Has no bearing whatsoever on what I said.
 
Taylor said:
I really could care less what Vegas does. Has no bearing whatsoever on what I said.
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The bearing it has is that your assertion that clutching at straws is the best way(98% no less) to predict the outcome of a contest is laughable at best and the sign of desperate wishful thinking at worst.
 
cpwill said:
Today Gallup has them tied 47-47 among registered voters.


The President's approval is also negative (though within the margin of error) at 46 to 48%. Traditionally incumbents have gotten a percentage of the vote that roughly mirrors their approval going in to the election.
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But, but, they said that Romney was finished.
 
LowDown said:
But, but, they said that Romney was finished.
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Yeah. Kinda surprising how we keep getting surprised that those who live inside the SuperZip bubble really have very little connection to the rest of America.
 
Loki97 said:
The bearing it has is that your assertion that clutching at straws is the best way(98% no less) to predict the outcome of a contest is laughable at best and the sign of desperate wishful thinking at worst.
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98% is a descriptive statistic, i.e. "a fact"
 
Taylor said:
98% is a descriptive statistic, i.e. "a fact"
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Then please present evidence to support your invented "fact". Since clutching at straws would imply a random selection of the winner not based on any statistical data, the laws of probability say that it should be no more accurate than flipping a coin or 50% in a contest between two individuals.
 
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