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Why Barack Obama is winning

lpast

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NO!!! Its not my statement :) Im posting this for any interested to read and give their own opinion.

My opinion is that Romney isnt smashing Barack Obama for much more simplistic reason. The teaparty far right. Romney has lost much of the Moderate Independent vote and the moderate traditional Republican Vote because of the hard right turn of the republican party.
Some people that oppose abortion and gay marriage and illegal immigration etc all the side issues that the one side needs to draw people in to get their votes...have become secondary issues to what they percieve as an assault on the working class of this country.
Like it or not that is a factor in this election and proving to be a bigger factor that most thought it would be. The looney toons in the Primary and all the rhetoric leading up to the GOP looney toon primary created these thoughts and nothing has been said to change them. Being forced to choose Paul Ryan as his running mate...hurt him. Maybe the republican Party will wake up "IF" Mitt loses and realize that being "CONSERVATIVE" and having a conservative agenda is not being the Far Right NutJob Party. Americans always reject the far left and the far right.

Unemployment is over 8 percent. Nearly 60 percent of Americans, according to a new poll, believe the country is on the wrong track. The number of people on food stamps is at a historic high and the median net worth of American families is at a 20-year low.
If it was true that winning elections is mostly a matter of numbers — as some political scientists and campaign operatives like to argue — Barack Obama’s reelection as president should be close to a mathematical impossibility. For much of this presidential election cycle, Republicans were counting on precisely this.


But 2012 is proving that politics isn’t just about numbers, and some traditional leading indicators look as if they are losing their predictive power.

With Obama holding a narrow but so far sturdy lead over Mitt Romney in polls, many incredulous Republicans sound like the Michael Dukakis character in a 1988 Saturday Night Live skit: “I can’t believe I’m losing to this guy.”

The phenomenon is the result of three powerful factors, according to interviews with some two dozen political veterans from both parties.
The first is a rapidly changing, deeply polarized electorate — one in which external circumstances don’t necessarily swing large numbers of voters whose minds are deeply made up — and also one that, on balance, is becoming more Democratic due to demographic trends. In an environment like this, Obama has not seen his political bottom fall out, as happened to George H.W. Bush in 1992, when Al Gore cited a barrage of statistics and taunted, “Everything that should be down is up, and everything that should be up is down.”

 
They are interesting theories...

As an ardent Romney supporter, I am even upset that's he's gravitated towards the right...

However, what really is deciding this election at the moment is the blatant misrepresentation of facts by the media, who are unduly influencing things right now...

The other major thing was Bill Clinton's speech at the convention... people still love Slick Willy and he stole the show of the convention from Obama... So at the moment they think by re-electing Obama they will be continuing the policies of Bill Clinton... Unfortunately, that's not the case... Barack Obama is more like Jimmy Carter... and both Bush and Obama have undone a lot of the good work done by Bill Clinton and the Republican Congress to revise entitlement programs and create a balanced budget...

However, once the novelty of that wears off, and it becomes debate season, expect a whole different thing stuck in people's minds... It will be the October job numbers and these recent foreign policy discussions and how they're handled by the two candidates during the debates...
 
I think it is far more simple.

Charisma. Charisma triumphs everything.. it is why Reagan won twice, why Clinton won twice and why Bush Sr won first time and Bush Jr twice.

Like it or not, Obama has much more charisma than Romney.

Romney should under normal political circumstances be wiping the floor with Obama, but he is not. Why is that? Charisma. Romney comes over as cold and out of touch, hypocritical and very stubborn.

The whole tax issue is one of the best examples of this. The fact that he demanded 10 years from Ryan but refuses to release his own tax records .. well. It only backs up the slowly forming image of Romney many people have... arrogant hypocritical rich white guy. And his latest "off the record" recorded mistake... it just does more to confirm what many people are thinking... arrogant rich white guy that is out of touch.

And if there is one thing the GOP does not need, it is a hypocritical arrogant white guy as their leader, as it only confirms the stereotype of the GOP that many independents have. And it is the independents the GOP should be reaching out too... but they are not, and Romney is especially not. What in common does a man worth 200+ million dollars have with an out of work or struggling wage slave in Ohio? Nothing. The only time Romney ever saw such a worker was at his white's only male golf club.. and they were scrubbing the toilet after him. And that image problem is all of his own making. When he "jokes" that he is also unemployed to a room of unemployed.. then you know that this guy is so out of touch and with each gaffe he makes the more this picture of Romney is confirmed with the undecided parts of the electorate.

The GOP will of course blame the biased media as they always do when things are not going their way, or the biased polling companies because the polls dont show what they want.. but the fact of the matter is, the GOP are at fault for the situation they are in.. they picked Romney.

Now I am not saying Romney has already lost.. there is what.. 50 days left... a lot can happen in 50 days. But I am saying that he is running out time very fast to convince that he has not only a soul, but a bit of charisma and knowledge to do better than the devil you know.. aka Obama.

I think the first debate will be critical.. if Romney makes any sort of mistake .. even a minor one, then he is finished. It is going to be tough because on paper Obama is a much better debater and as I stated.. has far more charisma. But we shall see... I for one am seriously thinking of taking the day off after the debates so I can watch them live... damn time difference.
 
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