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Virgil Goode could deliver Virginia to Barack Obama.
Goode represented Virginia in Congress for 12 years and served in the state Senate for 24 years before that, he ran as a democrat, independent and republican lately.
The state GOP had protested his addition to the ballot in Virginia as presidential candidate for the Constitution party but were denied by the State Board of Elections.
This could be bad news for Mitt Romney in his bid to win the electoral votes of Virginia. Mitt Romney and Barack Obama have been slogging it out in the opinion polls in Virginia and in the latest poll, Obama was 3% ahead of Mitt Romney.
The problem for Mitt Romney is that Goode is extremely well known in the state, he is an actual conservative rather than Romney who went from "moderate liberal" to "extremely conservative". IMHO Romney did it to get few more votes but other people might think he actually has turned into a "real conservative".
Goode could loose Romney a few hundred thousands of votes. Conservatives who had maybe decided to vote Romney with noses closed to not smell the moderate stink on Romney, might now decided to give their votes to a real conservative who they know really well. If that costs Mitt 1 or 2% that could sink his chances of winning Virginia.
If Obama wins Virginia it would sink any chance Romney has of winning the presidency. The following map is the only way I think Romney could win:
And as you see, in this map he needs to win Virginia, Iowa, Ohio and Florida. Obama just needs to win 1 to become president.
In Florida it is open, completely open even though Obama is marginally in front.
In Iowa it is open, completely open even though Obama is marginally in front.
In Ohio it is open, completely open even though Obama is marginally in front.
In Virginia it is open, but Obama had a 3% lead in the latest poll.
However you look at it, if Goode takes votes away from Romney, it could just have cost him the election.
Goode represented Virginia in Congress for 12 years and served in the state Senate for 24 years before that, he ran as a democrat, independent and republican lately.
The state GOP had protested his addition to the ballot in Virginia as presidential candidate for the Constitution party but were denied by the State Board of Elections.
This could be bad news for Mitt Romney in his bid to win the electoral votes of Virginia. Mitt Romney and Barack Obama have been slogging it out in the opinion polls in Virginia and in the latest poll, Obama was 3% ahead of Mitt Romney.
The problem for Mitt Romney is that Goode is extremely well known in the state, he is an actual conservative rather than Romney who went from "moderate liberal" to "extremely conservative". IMHO Romney did it to get few more votes but other people might think he actually has turned into a "real conservative".
Goode could loose Romney a few hundred thousands of votes. Conservatives who had maybe decided to vote Romney with noses closed to not smell the moderate stink on Romney, might now decided to give their votes to a real conservative who they know really well. If that costs Mitt 1 or 2% that could sink his chances of winning Virginia.
If Obama wins Virginia it would sink any chance Romney has of winning the presidency. The following map is the only way I think Romney could win:
And as you see, in this map he needs to win Virginia, Iowa, Ohio and Florida. Obama just needs to win 1 to become president.
In Florida it is open, completely open even though Obama is marginally in front.
In Iowa it is open, completely open even though Obama is marginally in front.
In Ohio it is open, completely open even though Obama is marginally in front.
In Virginia it is open, but Obama had a 3% lead in the latest poll.
However you look at it, if Goode takes votes away from Romney, it could just have cost him the election.