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Romney Predicted to win November election[W:172]

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The Universary of Colorado has been accurate in predicting all Presidential elections the past 32 years and this time predicts Romney will win and it is do mostly to the economic conditions in this country today which show trillion dollar deficits for each of Obama's four years, 23 million unemployed/under employed Americans, and 1.5% GDP Growth which is a decline for the third year in a row.

University of Colorado analysis predicts Romney win in presidential race - Arlington Conservative | Examiner.com
 
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Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

So des[pite having a pretty commanding lead in most polls, and the economic situation of battleground states improving, these guys have made the prediction Mitt will somehow overcome the deficit of popular votes, and his rather poor showing of electoral votes in the next two and a half months to beat out a incumbent president that romney has never taken a lead on? They also cite economic problems that are going to strike in the middle of the christmas season where normally profits improve for a few months?

i know you guys will look to anything to predict a major upset in politics like saying mitt will win because Obama won after he introduced huis VP as tyhe next president. I suppose these good luck charms might have some bearing on reality, but Mitt is going to have to do a whole lot in the next few months to trash the reputation of a man who has already seen all of his dirty laundry publicized for the past few years. We still have yet to see all of mitt's dirty laundry, and we have not even gotten to the conventions yet.

So keep grasping at those straws. maybe obama will destroy his own campaign. I just do not see any real reason in that article to think that all of a sudden the improving economy will be obama's downfall. besides, the only kind of upset since the reagan years was Clinton beating the incumbent Bush Senior. Even that was not too hard to predict. i predict unless things change drastically the streak of correct predictions from these guys is coming to an end.
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

So des[pite having a pretty commanding lead in most polls, and the economic situation of battleground states improving, these guys have made the prediction Mitt will somehow overcome the deficit of popular votes, and his rather poor showing of electoral votes in the next two and a half months to beat out a incumbent president that romney has never taken a lead on? They also cite economic problems that are going to strike in the middle of the christmas season where normally profits improve for a few months?

i know you guys will look to anything to predict a major upset in politics like saying mitt will win because Obama won after he introduced huis VP as tyhe next president. I suppose these good luck charms might have some bearing on reality, but Mitt is going to have to do a whole lot in the next few months to trash the reputation of a man who has already seen all of his dirty laundry publicized for the past few years. We still have yet to see all of mitt's dirty laundry, and we have not even gotten to the conventions yet.

So keep grasping at those straws. maybe obama will destroy his own campaign. I just do not see any real reason in that article to think that all of a sudden the improving economy will be obama's downfall. besides, the only kind of upset since the reagan years was Clinton beating the incumbent Bush Senior. Even that was not too hard to predict. i predict unless things change drastically the streak of correct predictions from these guys is coming to an end.

What you fail to recognize is that the Universary of Colorado Analysis has been right ever Presidential election for the last 32 years. Now not sure what polls you are looking at but Gallup and Rasmussen has Romney ahead in the popular vote and all the swing states are within the margin of error with normally all undecideds going for the challenger especially this late in the game.

You really need to get out more and actually do some research to find out how bad things really are. Notice the lack of enthusiasm at college campuses? How about the high unemployment rate for college graduates? How about 23 million unemployed/under employed Americans, and trillion dollar deficits for four years in a row?

I know this is hard for you to understand but the sources you read have been lying to you. What is it about Obama that causes people like you to ignore actual results and to continue to support this empty suit? Maybe had he spent more time learning the job rather than enjoying the perks of the jobs the results would be better. I don't think there is a snowball's chance in hell that this analysis is wrong this year and it won't be close. The economic numbers don't warrant a close election and people always vote their pocketbooks
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

I'm pretty sure that FDR would have been a one-term president under their model.
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

Allan Lichtman, the American University professor whose election formula has correctly called every president since Ronald Reagan’s 1984 re-election, has a belated birthday present for Barack Obama: Rest easy, your re-election is in the bag.

“Even if I am being conservative, I don’t see how Obama can lose,” says Lichtman.



Never-Wrong Pundit Picks Obama to Win in 2012 - Washington Whispers (usnews.com)
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

I've flipped a coin for the last two elections and accurately predicted both results.

Heads for Obama, Tails for Romney.


.....


The coin says Ron Paul wtf?
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

I'm pretty sure that FDR would have been a one-term president under their model.

I am sure that you think the conditions today are the same as during FDR's term
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

Allan Lichtman, the American University professor whose election formula has correctly called every president since Ronald Reagan’s 1984 re-election, has a belated birthday present for Barack Obama: Rest easy, your re-election is in the bag.

“Even if I am being conservative, I don’t see how Obama can lose,” says Lichtman.



Never-Wrong Pundit Picks Obama to Win in 2012 - Washington Whispers (usnews.com)

One of them is going to be wrong, my bet is on Lichtman especially based upon the economic model and the fact that people always vote their pocketbooks
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

What you fail to recognize is that the Universary of Colorado Analysis has been right ever Presidential election for the last 32 years.

Like I said, not too hard to do. First you have to predict reagan's first term. Not too hard to do. Then you predict his second election. not too hard either. then you have the bush Sr. election. Another pretty much no brainer. Then there was bill clinton winning his first election which was another easy prediction, along with a second term for him. Bush Jr. vs. Gore was an easy pick too. John Kerry was a toss away for the dems. then you had obama. About the only one of those that was hard would have been Clinton beating the incumbent. However, given the people advertising for clinton and energizing the youth and minorities like they did it was not hard to figure out. I am not really impressed by something i could have predicted myself a couple of months from the election. yes, they have a long winning streak of no brainer predictions. Now had they predicted people in their state should have avoided the new Dark Knight movie that might have been something.
Now not sure what polls you are looking at but Gallup and Rasmussen has Romney ahead in the popular vote and all the swing states are within the margin of error with normally all undecideds going for the challenger especially this late in the game.

Sorry, but Romney is failing where it matters. They are not called the battleground states for no reason. but still, every state poll I have seen shows obama with a commanding electoral lead. perhaps you were unaware, the popular vote doesn't make you president? Then you are trying to say all the undecideds will go to Romney? Yes, i guess if you make such an absurd claim then maybe you have a point. However, like I said we have seen obama's dirty laundry, and we have two plus months for more surprises with mitt that are probably not going to go well for the guy who can barely get his own party enthusiastic about him. When you consider undecided voters are looking for a way to go and most polls show obama doing well in battleground states this becomes important. Plus their prediction relies on the sky falling in the christmas season and economic problems being really bad then. I just don't see the sky falling in two months economically, though the republicans are trying.
You really need to get out more and actually do some research to find out how bad things really are. Notice the lack of enthusiasm at college campuses? How about the high unemployment rate for college graduates? How about 23 million unemployed/under employed Americans, and trillion dollar deficits for four years in a row?

That would be great if Romney was capitalizing on those things. He has yet to come out with any plans to make things better aside from give money to rich people. It is one thing if romny was an alternative to obama, but he just isn't. he is also against relief for those students, and no one but the pure republibots actually thinks he is going to cut spending. At best he will spend the same amount of money on different things. Also, since the people who are in troubkle are the same ones he wants to toss under the bus for being poor it would involve the people in trouble voting for a person who wants to screw them. Let us say i am a college kid with lots of debt, or an unemployed person who needs government assistance. Who do i vote for/ Do I vote against Obama because of the bad economy despite the fact he offers me a safety net, or do i vote for romney who wants to eliminate the safety net and only do things for the well off? Your own logic defeats your point. if people are really doing bad and need a break, Romney has repeatedly said he will not give it to them.
I know this is hard for you to understand but the sources you read have been lying to you.

Oh thanks random guy on the internet. i am sure to trust your grabbing at straws over the many sources who are far more reputable than you are. really, you seem to be toting the faux news line. This is a news source that is banned from countries for lying. It is also a source who's owner is facing a huge legal problem in england due to his lack of honesty and bull****. not to mention Faux has been caught lying before, and even their pundits have gone after Romney rather rabidly in the recent past. When rush and coulter start going off the tracks and attacking your candidate you have some problems with the sources you are quoting.
What is it about Obama that causes people like you to ignore actual results and to continue to support this empty suit?

It is not Obama that makes me not trust the right wing news bull**** machine. it is the right wing news bull**** machine that makes me not trust them. blind faith works for your type, but I am not that religious.
Maybe had he spent more time learning the job rather than enjoying the perks of the jobs the results would be better. I don't think there is a snowball's chance in hell that this analysis is wrong this year and it won't be close. The economic numbers don't warrant a close election and people always vote their pocketbooks

if it is true that people vote with their pocketbooks then it is Obama for the win. One of the problems with destroying the affluent middle class of the US was that the republicans took away the money of a large voting block that might have supported them this election because they wanted more **** and better pay. Your claims against Obama is that people will vote for a conservative, despite the fact romney is not conservative at all, in order to straighten things our and bring them back up to their previous levels of affluence.That goes directly against voting for your pocket book. That is voting for paying the bills you got and tightening your belt. If people are going to vote for the person who is giving them stuff that would be obama since the rich are a minority.

The only reason some people will vote for their future wealth is the idea that someday they will be a part of the less than one percent of the rich and be able to treat everyone else like dirt. that is the republican promise. You are treated like crap as the 99 percent, but you might just become lucky enough to be the rich. If you get rid of the opportunity for wasteful wealth then you will never b e able to buy and sell others and piss money away while other people suffer. That is the whole idea of the modern republican party and modern conservatives. It is not about not being wasteful, it is just about being the one percent who can waste money. Under your own logic obama wins because he is giving back to the large majority of poor voters. A majority that has seen massive increases in the Bush presidency due to the bubbles they allowed to be created to strip the middle class of their money, investments, and land values.
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

tererun;1060825991]Like I said, not too hard to do. First you have to predict reagan's first term. Not too hard to do. Then you predict his second election. not too hard either. then you have the bush Sr. election. Another pretty much no brainer. Then there was bill clinton winning his first election which was another easy prediction, along with a second term for him. Bush Jr. vs. Gore was an easy pick too. John Kerry was a toss away for the dems. then you had obama. About the only one of those that was hard would have been Clinton beating the incumbent. However, given the people advertising for clinton and energizing the youth and minorities like they did it was not hard to figure out. I am not really impressed by something i could have predicted myself a couple of months from the election. yes, they have a long winning streak of no brainer predictions. Now had they predicted people in their state should have avoided the new Dark Knight movie that might have been something.

What you fail to recognize is the economy today is every bit as bad as it was when Reagan took office and the 81-82 recession which was actually a double dip. I believe this election is easy to predict as well as the Obama results are as bad as Carter except for the debt which is much worse. You really ought to pay more attention to the actual results and who is really getting hurt than buying the rhetoric


Sorry, but Romney is failing where it matters. They are not called the battleground states for no reason. but still, every state poll I have seen shows obama with a commanding electoral lead. perhaps you were unaware, the popular vote doesn't make you president? Then you are trying to say all the undecideds will go to Romney? Yes, i guess if you make such an absurd claim then maybe you have a point. However, like I said we have seen obama's dirty laundry, and we have two plus months for more surprises with mitt that are probably not going to go well for the guy who can barely get his own party enthusiastic about him. When you consider undecided voters are looking for a way to go and most polls show obama doing well in battleground states this becomes important. Plus their prediction relies on the sky falling in the christmas season and economic problems being really bad then. I just don't see the sky falling in two months economically, though the republicans are trying.

Better take a closer look to the electoral map and see that map changing. The polls have tightened and as the polls get tighter the more Obama runs from his record. He cannot run on his record so the politics of personal destruction take precedence. It will always be the economy and with 23 million unemployed/under employed Americans, 1.5% GDP growth which is a decline for three years in a row, 5.4 trillion added to the debt and trillion dollar deficits four years in a row and more projected for the next four years of Obama, no budget for the past three years the situation is a lot worse for Obama than you want to recognize

That would be great if Romney was capitalizing on those things. He has yet to come out with any plans to make things better aside from give money to rich people. It is one thing if romny was an alternative to obama, but he just isn't. he is also against relief for those students, and no one but the pure republibots actually thinks he is going to cut spending. At best he will spend the same amount of money on different things. Also, since the people who are in troubkle are the same ones he wants to toss under the bus for being poor it would involve the people in trouble voting for a person who wants to screw them. Let us say i am a college kid with lots of debt, or an unemployed person who needs government assistance. Who do i vote for/ Do I vote against Obama because of the bad economy despite the fact he offers me a safety net, or do i vote for romney who wants to eliminate the safety net and only do things for the well off? Your own logic defeats your point. if people are really doing bad and need a break, Romney has repeatedly said he will not give it to them.

You will see more specifics after the convention but what you are seeing now are two candidates, Romney and Ryan, that actually will promote the private sector, won't demonize individual wealth creation, and won't divide the country by claiming that one class needs their wealth redistributed and that small business people "didn't build that."

I liked Romney's answer to the college student in N.H. who asked about what Romney was going to do about her student loan. His answer was create an economy in which she can get a job to pay for her obligations. Imagine that?

You think it is the role of the govt. to take on personal responsibility issues? What has Romney and Ryan proposed to eliminate the safety net for those truly in need?


Oh thanks random guy on the internet. i am sure to trust your grabbing at straws over the many sources who are far more reputable than you are. really, you seem to be toting the faux news line. This is a news source that is banned from countries for lying. It is also a source who's owner is facing a huge legal problem in england due to his lack of honesty and bull****. not to mention Faux has been caught lying before, and even their pundits have gone after Romney rather rabidly in the recent past. When rush and coulter start going off the tracks and attacking your candidate you have some problems with the sources you are quoting.

There you go again bringing out the Fox News charge as if Fox News lacks credibility. I get my data from bea.gov, bls.gov, and the U.S. Treasury. I learned a long time ago to trust but verify. That would be good advice for you. You lack a lot of credibility when you use the term Faux News but that isn't the issue, the issue is refute the numbers I posted about the Obama Administration?

It is not Obama that makes me not trust the right wing news bull**** machine. it is the right wing news bull**** machine that makes me not trust them. blind faith works for your type, but I am not that religious.

I have seen no evidence that you understand facts at all because I haven't seen any from you

if it is true that people vote with their pocketbooks then it is Obama for the win. One of the problems with destroying the affluent middle class of the US was that the republicans took away the money of a large voting block that might have supported them this election because they wanted more **** and better pay. Your claims against Obama is that people will vote for a conservative, despite the fact romney is not conservative at all, in order to straighten things our and bring them back up to their previous levels of affluence.That goes directly against voting for your pocket book. That is voting for paying the bills you got and tightening your belt. If people are going to vote for the person who is giving them stuff that would be obama since the rich are a minority
.

Obama has done more to destroy the middle class than any President in modern history. You think demonizing individual wealth creation and taking away incentive improves the middle class? Stop blaming someone else for your own personal failures. The only one hurting the middle class are liberals who need them dependent to keep their jobs. There is no such thing as a free lunch and you are going to find that out when liberals run out of someone else's money to spend.

The only reason some people will vote for their future wealth is the idea that someday they will be a part of the less than one percent of the rich and be able to treat everyone else like dirt. that is the republican promise. You are treated like crap as the 99 percent, but you might just become lucky enough to be the rich. If you get rid of the opportunity for wasteful wealth then you will never b e able to buy and sell others and piss money away while other people suffer. That is the whole idea of the modern republican party and modern conservatives. It is not about not being wasteful, it is just about being the one percent who can waste money. Under your own logic obama wins because he is giving back to the large majority of poor voters. A majority that has seen massive increases in the Bush presidency due to the bubbles they allowed to be created to strip the middle class of their money, investments, and land values.

I can see why so many Obama supporters will never achieve their piece of the American pie which by the way is a growing pie, not a fixed on. I want to know how any rich person kept you from getting your piece of the pie or made you poorer? You seem very young and if that is the case I certainly hope you change your attitude, do some research, accept some responsibility before you become a bigger part of the problem than you are right now. I always love people whining and complaining about someone else when they have the opportunity to become one of those evil rich people with the opportunity to change things for the better. Your attitude however has to change for that to ever happen.
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

in 2008 Obama won a bunch of states that Bush had previously won. Now a lot of people act like Romney has little chance of winning those same states. Personally, I really don't see how anyone except very liberal people could vote for obama.
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

Like I said, not too hard to do. First you have to predict reagan's first term. Not too hard to do. Then you predict his second election. not too hard either. then you have the bush Sr. election. Another pretty much no brainer. Then there was bill clinton winning his first election which was another easy prediction, along with a second term for him. Bush Jr. vs. Gore was an easy pick too. John Kerry was a toss away for the dems. then you had obama. About the only one of those that was hard would have been Clinton beating the incumbent. However, given the people advertising for clinton and energizing the youth and minorities like they did it was not hard to figure out. I am not really impressed by something i could have predicted myself a couple of months from the election. yes, they have a long winning streak of no brainer predictions.

.

What? First, Reagan's second term was not a given, as much as I like Reagan, there were some issues back then that did not make it a sure thing. Bush losing to Clinton was only possible because of Ross Perot. And Bush vs. Gore??? An easy call? Really? Were you not paying attention during the 2000 election mess?
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

I wonder if they factored in that the swing states needed to win the election all have marijuana on the ballot?
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

I wonder if they factored in that the swing states needed to win the election all have marijuana on the ballot?

You think they are most likely to vote for the pot smoker?
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

So des[pite having a pretty commanding lead in most polls, and the economic situation of battleground states improving, these guys have made the prediction Mitt will somehow overcome the deficit of popular votes, and his rather poor showing of electoral votes in the next two and a half months to beat out a incumbent president that romney has never taken a lead on?
In 1980, Reagan trailed Carter by 8% in October. It's not even September, and there are polls out now that show dead heats, and even some that show Romney up by 1-2%. If you think Dear Ruler has this in the bag, then you don't know your history very well.
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

Μολὼν λαβέ;1060826571 said:
You think they are most likely to vote for the pot smoker?
My point is this will turn out a lot of democratic/independent voters. It is on the dem tickets.
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

Deweytruman12.jpg
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

I wonder if they factored in that the swing states needed to win the election all have marijuana on the ballot?

Smoking the ballots in those states will likely help the GOP win. :lol:
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

Smoking the ballots in those states will likely help the GOP win. :lol:
Isn't that SOP?
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

I'm pretty sure that FDR would have been a one-term president under their model.

His failed policies prolonged the Great Depression by 10 years
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

Here's where the best are on this election. How predictive are oddsmaker? I don't know. Romney had a good day, up 1.9%.


Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012
57.1%
CHANCE
Last prediction was: $5.71 / share
Today's Change: -$0.03 (-0.5%)

Mitt Romney to be elected President in 2012
42.1%
CHANCE
Last prediction was: $4.21 / share
Today's Change: +$0.08 (+1.9%)
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

Of course the disclaimer always seems to come at the end.....

"...The authors of the study said an incumbent Democratic president loses advantages of incumbency when unemployment hits the level of 5.6 percent. Current official unemployment is reported at 8.3 percent. They said the study will be updated with additional economic data available in September and that some of the states closed to 50-50 status might change upon that revision of the study."


Interesting that they would put the states that closed at 50-50 in Romney's column and note that could change upon revision of the study. Not to mention they're basing their prediction on an unemployment rate that was already at the 8.3 percent level when Obama took office and who knows what criteria they had when they looked at each state. This has been abnormal economy for the last five or six years and it doesn't have a valid comparison going back six elections to Reagan. So I predict this will be the election that proves the UoC wrong and ruins their streak.
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

Here's where the best are on this election. How predictive are oddsmaker? I don't know. Romney had a good day, up 1.9%.


Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012
57.1%
CHANCE
Last prediction was: $5.71 / share
Today's Change: -$0.03 (-0.5%)

Mitt Romney to be elected President in 2012
42.1%
CHANCE
Last prediction was: $4.21 / share
Today's Change: +$0.08 (+1.9%)


did you mean BEST or BETS?
 
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