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Romney Predicted to win November election[W:172]

Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

jdxprs said:
moot, if you want some free money, buy romney now and sell right after the convention. then do the same with obama.
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Sounds like a win/win strategy. lol
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

it is a win win. you see, the bump they each get from their convention always raises the price on a candidate. My guess is Romney will be up around 4.80 after next week. probably wont stay up there long, but it should hit.
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

Velvet Elvis said:
In 1980, Reagan trailed Carter by 8% in October. It's not even September, and there are polls out now that show dead heats, and even some that show Romney up by 1-2%. If you think Dear Ruler has this in the bag, then you don't know your history very well.
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I did not say predictions were based on polls. I just said they were easy.
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

Bronson said:
His failed policies prolonged the Great Depression by 10 years
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That would actually be Hoover.

What happens when you start a dirty trade war? The part of your economy that relies upon that (Roughly 14% at the time) disappears.

Which President cursed the bill that started the trade war? Hoover. Which President signed that bill? Hoover.
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

obvious Child said:
The fact that people put money where their mouths are says way more to me than anything else.

Intrade got all 50 states right in 2004.
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Really, I didn't know that. But isn't betting on elections in this country illegal?
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

tererun said:
About the only one of those that was hard would have been Clinton beating the incumbent. However, given the people advertising for clinton and energizing the youth and minorities like they did it was not hard to figure out.
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You forget the one factor that made Bubba win with 43% of the vote (same percentage Adolph Hitler got) ... Ross Perot. That 3rd party candidate is the SINGULAR reason Bubba got elected.

A L
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

obvious Child said:
That would actually be Hoover.

What happens when you start a dirty trade war? The part of your economy that relies upon that (Roughly 14% at the time) disappears.

Which President cursed the bill that started the trade war? Hoover. Which President signed that bill? Hoover.
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Which president saw a major improvement in the economy, and then (another) major downswing in the economy? Roosevelt. If he'd have been successful, the upswing would have continued. Just like today, everything is George Bush's fault.

Democrats: Accept the positive. Scapegoat the negative.
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

Velvet Elvis said:
Democrats: Accept the positive. Scapegoat the negative.
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And Republicans create the negative and scapegoat the negative...plus deny the scapegoating of course.
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

obvious Child said:
The fact that people put money where their mouths are says way more to me than anything else.

Intrade got all 50 states right in 2004.
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how did intrade do in 2008?

people put their money where their mouths were on the packers in the playoffs last season too.... just sayin...
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

There are a lot of people here that are either not paying attention or are in outright denial.

It started in Massachusetts when Scott Brown, a REPUBLICAN, won Ted Kennedy's vacant senate seat.

Next it was on to the bloodbath known as the 2010 midterms.

Then, just a few months ago, it was on to Wisconsin where incumbent Governor Scott Walker beat back the best efforts of the liberal machine and took down his opponent by an even larger margin than he did the first time... and the first time wasn't all that close.

This wave hasn't stopped. It hasn't even slowed down. Obama is toast. I'm predicting a blowout. Something like 7%ish.
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

Jack Fabulous said:
There are a lot of people here that are either not paying attention or are in outright denial.

It started in Massachusetts when Scott Brown, a REPUBLICAN, won Ted Kennedy's vacant senate seat.

Next it was on to the bloodbath known as the 2010 midterms.

Then, just a few months ago, it was on to Wisconsin where incumbent Governor Scott Walker beat back the best efforts of the liberal machine and took down his opponent by an even larger margin than he did the first time... and the first time wasn't all that close.

This wave hasn't stopped. It hasn't even slowed down. Obama is toast. I'm predicting a blowout. Something like 7%ish.
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I agree that Obama is history... and he knows that his future and legacy is in deep trouble. Otherwise he wouldn't be sending out so many attack ads as he continues to avoid speaking about the issues and his record. I missed his latest press conference but heard he only took 4 questions and filibustered. Speaking to the Scott Walker 2nd election.. If I remember right, he never visited the state and for good reason. They didn't want him and knew he would do more damage than good.
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

Moot said:
Of course the disclaimer always seems to come at the end.....

"...The authors of the study said an incumbent Democratic president loses advantages of incumbency when unemployment hits the level of 5.6 percent. Current official unemployment is reported at 8.3 percent. They said the study will be updated with additional economic data available in September and that some of the states closed to 50-50 status might change upon that revision of the study."


Interesting that they would put the states that closed at 50-50 in Romney's column and note that could change upon revision of the study. Not to mention they're basing their prediction on an unemployment rate that was already at the 8.3 percent level when Obama took office and who knows what criteria they had when they looked at each state. This has been abnormal economy for the last five or six years and it doesn't have a valid comparison going back six elections to Reagan. So I predict this will be the election that proves the UoC wrong and ruins their streak.
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There are a lot of factors that you are ignoring about the Obama record which makes me wonder what is wrong with people who simply buy rhetoric and ignore results? If any Republican President had the results of Obama people like you would be going nuts in oppositiion yet with Obama it is like you have such low standards that results don't matter. It really is a shame that this country has come to this but we cannot afford four more years of Obama and you better learn that before it is too late
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

vauge said:
I wonder if they factored in that the swing states needed to win the election all have marijuana on the ballot?
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Some people sure have strange priorities. Without a good economy and strong national security nothing else matters
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

Compatibilist said:
I agree that Obama is history... and he knows that his future and legacy is in deep trouble. Otherwise he wouldn't be sending out so many attack ads as he continues to avoid speaking about the issues and his record. I missed his latest press conference but heard he only took 4 questions and filibustered. Speaking to the Scott Walker 2nd election.. If I remember right, he never visited the state and for good reason. They didn't want him and knew he would do more damage than good.
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You are correct about Obama staying away from Wisconsin. The funny thing is that Wisconsin went rather big for Obama in 08.
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

Compatibilist said:
I Otherwise he wouldn't be sending out so many attack ads as he continues to avoid speaking about the issues and his record.
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And you don't think the right has been sending attack ads? Puuuuhlease.
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

TheNextEra said:
And you don't think the right has been sending attack ads? Puuuuhlease.
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I fully understand why Obama supporters want to ignore the Obama record and see any ad that focuses on that record as being an attack ad but the reality is it will be that record on the ballot in November. It will take paid ads to get that record out to the public because the media will never vet it.
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

Conservative said:
I fully understand why Obama supporters want to ignore the Obama record and see any ad that focuses on that record as being an attack ad but the reality is it will be that record on the ballot in November. It will take paid ads to get that record out to the public because the media will never vet it.
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Translation "It's ok for romney to do it, but not Obama".

Thank you Con, we understand perfectly your position on attack ads now.
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

TheNextEra said:
Translation "It's ok for romney to do it, but not Obama".

Thank you Con, we understand perfectly your position on attack ads now.
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Do what, post the Obama record? yes, I can see how that is an attack ad to a liberal Obama supporter
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

Conservative said:
Do what, post the Obama record? yes, I can see how that is an attack ad to a liberal Obama supporter
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No you support romney doing attack ads, but not Obama. Thanks for demonstrating your hypocrisy.

You're dismissed.
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

TheNextEra said:
No you support romney doing attack ads, but not Obama. Thanks for demonstrating your hypocrisy.

You're dismissed.
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Aw, gee, look at this, dismissed by another liberal. thanks for showing that posting the actual Obama record is considered an attack ad by liberals. Being dimissed by the "American Idol" liberal is a badge of honor. You see, liberals care more about appearance and rhetoric than actual substance and facts. Liberals love seeing Obama singing, appearing on shows like the View, fainting at his functions, and swooning over his every action but since liberals don't seem to understand leadership nor care about his results, that is going to become irrelevant in November when he is fired by the majority in this country
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

Conservative said:
blah blah blah liberals are the fault of everything, blah blah blah liberals blah blah blah
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The short version.
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

Romney will win by outspending Obama at least three or four to one over the last four weeks of the campaign using ads and appeals that make the formerly infamous swift boat campaign look like childs play.

He will win a narrow election - perhaps a repeat of the Bush vs. Gore situation - which will be studied for years to come for its disenfranchising of voters and deceitful manipulation of the truth.

But he will win.

It will be the period at the end of the sentence predicting the destruction of our electoral system due to the Citizens United ruling.
 
Re: Romney Predicted to win November election

haymarket said:
Romney will win by outspending Obama at least three or four to one over the last four weeks of the campaign using ads and appeals that make the formerly infamous swift boat campaign look like childs play.

He will win a narrow election - perhaps a repeat of the Bush vs. Gore situation - which will be studied for years to come for its disenfranchising of voters and deceitful manipulation of the truth.

But he will win.

It will be the period at the end of the sentence predicting the destruction of our electoral system due to the Citizens United ruling.
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Obama wouldn't have to spend a dime if he had the results he promised and results that showed positive leadership and strong economic results
 
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