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current rueters/ipsos poll has obama up by 6 points

J

jdxprs

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the current rueters/ipsos polls show obama up by 6 points, plus they have his job approval rating at only -1.

according to their polls, obama doing much better than polls from abc, washington post, gallup, and rasmussen indicate.

who is right???
 
No one. Because these polls dont mean ****.
 
jdxprs said:
the current rueters/ipsos polls show obama up by 6 points, plus they have his job approval rating at only -1.

according to their polls, obama doing much better than polls from abc, washington post, gallup, and rasmussen indicate.

who is right???
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polls, schmolls. The only poll that counts is the one on election day.
 
I think the polls are accurate with the margin of error but they lean a little right compared to the elections. Rasmussen leans more right that the others. What I generally do is mentally subtract about 1 to 2% from the right and give it to the left on these polls. 2 to 4% is its Rasmussen. I think the margin of error is around 4% so we're still within the estimates.

I'm not sure how they find respondents but they historically have used phone call outs. In 2012 much of the public have ditched their land-line phones and use just cell phones, Skype or Internet based VIOP and contacting them isn't as easy as contacting people with traditional phone service. IMHO the people most likely to still have an old school phone are conservatives and older more established people, which might account for the right leaning skew.

Exit polls however IMHO are the most accurate, where the survey people right after they've voted right on the sidewalk and ask them how did they just vote. Early voting and absentee voting play with those outcomes though.

BTW: I don't approve of the TV networks calling winners when the election is still underway so if asked I plan to give the pollster inaccurate information. I hope that's not unethical. I don't feel that it is considering I'm doing so to preserve the integrity of an an election.
 
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jerry7 said:
Carter was up 7 points on Reagan in late October and then they debated. Anything can happen in 4 months.
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Well thanks for agreeing with me.
 
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