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Re: Newt To Force Brokered Convention So Palin Can Enter And Take Nomination From Mit
It's fantasy land to suggest that Palin pulled McCain out of his slump completely and thus could do far better against Obama. It helped him among the base, but Palin herself could not have withstood what Obama could pull out in a debate nor in a campaign. Palin at best might be trying to have some manner of influence on who the prospective nominee will be. It would not be herself. Such matters reek of Hollywood extravagance rather than realistic political insight.
The suggestion that his abandoning the campaign to focus on the bailout dramatically hurt him ignores the rapid redeployment of his resources into the campaign after the "I'm going to help fix this crisis" gamble backfired with congress. Furthermore, it is idiocy to suggest that McCain, "had no chance." Many political scientists argued that like any other race, it had its ups and downs for either candidate. In this race in particular, it was not out of the picture to see a Republican like McCain winning the election. The momentum was against McCain, but for a significant amount of time in the summer and fall of 2008, McCain was doing quite well against Obama (with suggestion of neck to neck). The errors of hindsight and over-reliance upon momentum blind people from seeing that the race, for a significant amount of time, was fairly close. The greatest thing that went for Obama was by far the economic fallout. After that the tide switched in Obama's direction.
It's fantasy land to suggest that Palin pulled McCain out of his slump completely and thus could do far better against Obama. It helped him among the base, but Palin herself could not have withstood what Obama could pull out in a debate nor in a campaign. Palin at best might be trying to have some manner of influence on who the prospective nominee will be. It would not be herself. Such matters reek of Hollywood extravagance rather than realistic political insight.
The suggestion that his abandoning the campaign to focus on the bailout dramatically hurt him ignores the rapid redeployment of his resources into the campaign after the "I'm going to help fix this crisis" gamble backfired with congress. Furthermore, it is idiocy to suggest that McCain, "had no chance." Many political scientists argued that like any other race, it had its ups and downs for either candidate. In this race in particular, it was not out of the picture to see a Republican like McCain winning the election. The momentum was against McCain, but for a significant amount of time in the summer and fall of 2008, McCain was doing quite well against Obama (with suggestion of neck to neck). The errors of hindsight and over-reliance upon momentum blind people from seeing that the race, for a significant amount of time, was fairly close. The greatest thing that went for Obama was by far the economic fallout. After that the tide switched in Obama's direction.
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