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Nevada Caucuses 4Feb2012 Thread

Redress

Redress

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Romney won here is 2008. 28 Delegates, awarded proportionally.
 
Jredbaron96 said:
Question is, can he win again?
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The real question is not if he can win but how much. For Gingrich and Santorum, Being able to collect a substantial amount of delegates is almost as important as a win itself. Gingrich has gone on to say that he will fight through to the convention. In reality he will only be fighting until he is mathmatically eliminated. I believe the only reason why Santorum is still in the race is because Romney is still a very weak frontrunner. Santorum knows the base is not happy with Romney. I don't think he would still be in it if Romney had a stronger support from the base. He also knows that other have started slowly and then gone on to win. Clinton had a slow start in 92.
 
I think Romney may have the edge. Paul also got a nice amount of votes here in 08 so a possible 2nd is likely if Newt doesn't contest.
 
jasonxe said:
I think Romney may have the edge. Paul also got a nice amount of votes here in 08 so a possible 2nd is likely if Newt doesn't contest.
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A Paul victory wouldn't surprise me here or in Maine. His campaign is pretty much tailor made to win caucuses, and he seems to have a more rabid following in the western states than elsewhere.
 
Frankly, I wouldn't be suprised if Paul wraps up serveral of the caucuses. He's definetly aiming for them. Question is where he can string those together to get a nomination.
 
Nevada has a significant Mormon population, all of whom will turn out for Romney, handing him the win. Paul's advantage here is grossly overstated. I think Santorum will appeal much more to non-urban Nevada conservatives.
 
Jeezy said:
Nevada has a significant Mormon population, all of whom will turn out for Romney, handing him the win. Paul's advantage here is grossly overstated. I think Santorum will appeal much more to non-urban Nevada conservatives.
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I'm a Nevada Mormon, and I haven't made up my mind yet. I'm still hoping that somehow, someway, Marco Rubio will step up to the plate and win this thing for us.
 
Nevada: A state where Ron Paul has a chance of coming in second.

BTW - where are all these young college-age libertarians who were supposed to help paul? I guess it's hard to vote stoned.
 
Anagram said:
A Paul victory wouldn't surprise me here or in Maine. His campaign is pretty much tailor made to win caucuses, and he seems to have a more rabid following in the western states than elsewhere.
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I take this back. It looks like Romney's got Nevada locked down.
 
The last polling before the vote has Romney up by either 20 or 25, depending on poll, over Gingrich. Santorum and Paul vie for the boobie prize. Vote is tomorrow
 
Redress said:
The last polling before the vote has Romney up by either 20 or 25, depending on poll, over Gingrich. Santorum and Paul vie for the boobie prize. Vote is tomorrow
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A boobie prize in a state where brothels are legal? I wonder which candidate will end up there.
 
johnny_rebson said:
A boobie prize in a state where brothels are legal? I wonder which candidate will end up there.
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HA! Some one whose mind works kinda like mine. That is what I was thinking as I typed that post.
 
results are starting to come in. With 1 % of precincts reporting:

Romney: 51%
Gingrich: 19%
Paul: 19%
Santorum: 9%

Again, too early to read much into these numbers.
 
Results are coming in slowly. 8 % reporting:

Romney: 45%
Gingrich: 21%
Paul: 20%
Santorum: 11%
 
Only 13 % of precincts reporting yet, but enough where it has been called for Romney. Big win, probably got more votes than second and third place combines. Santorum needs to find a state to at least beat Paul in soon. Coming in behind Paul is like the ultimate embarrassment.
 
Romney wins! Now there is a big surprise, eh? Is anyone making predictions yet on the order the remaining 3 will drop out?
 
Is it over, can we watch the super bowl now?
 
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