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Who Wins Iowa?

Who Wins Iowa?

  • Bachmann

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Gingrich

    Votes: 1 5.6%

  • Huntsman

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Paul

    Votes: 11 61.1%

  • Perry

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Romney

    Votes: 6 33.3%

  • Santorum

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Total voters
    18
  • Poll closed .
Redress

Redress

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Who do you think will win in Iowa? This is not who you want to win, but who seems likely. With 2 weeks to go, there are multiple possibilities. Those who are right will win a fabulous prize: a pat on the back!
 
My heart says Romney, but my head says Ron Paul and Michele Bachmann may surprise the political pundits.
 
Maybe I'm biased since I'm currently backing Paul, but I think he has a steady gain (not a quick pop-up due to positive media attention) due to educating voters and the highest retention rates. He's not a flavor of the month, though I won't deny the possibility that he's the last choice.
 
In Iowa, Romney leads with 25% followed by Ron Paul at 20% and Newt Gingrich at 17%. (date:12.23.11)

Paul's mouth is getting the better of him coupled with the fact that he "doesn't know how racist items got in his newsletter" a few years ago...just has no idea. I guess he doesn't check things very well or hires incompetents. Either way he screwed himself.
 
I think Romney will win, everyone wants to try to find another candidate but when push comes to shove and people start voting I think Romney will wipe the floor with the other candidates.
 
I "voted" for Mr. Paul. Not because I really think he will win Iowa but I have a ferment hope he wins Iowa. Then I hope the Romney wins New Hampshire.

That then is the start of a "do over".

My candidate for the GOP nomination is Mr. Perry of Texas.

By then end of February there will have been a number of caucuses and primary election for the total of 302 votes allocated. That's out of a total of 1,121 needs to win the nomination. This is still a very long process.

I opine that by the time the so called "Super Tuesday" (6 MAR) rolls around there will be two, with the outside possibility of three still in the race.
 
I'm going with Paul because he has been rising in the polls in Iowa and their is a significant 'anybody-but-Romney' faction among Iowa's GOP voters. While I don't believe Paul is their first choice, I do believe Romney is their last choice.
 
Who will win.... It is Mitten vs Paul. They're both usually in the margin of error in polls so it depends on which supporter shows up.

I want Paul to win for the simple fact that if Romney wins, then it is Romney vs Obama. Like watching two sides of the same coin. Need some damn excitement in this race. Also Limbaugh, Bill & Levin will go insane and probably leave america.
 
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I think Paul has a good shot. He's got a strong, dedicated following and won't have any problem getting his people to the caucuses. Romney's supporters don't seem nearly as fanatical and dedicated. In fact most pro-Romney people I've spoke to only tout his "electability" or is chances against Obama as the main reason to support him.
 
I'm a Huntsman supporter, so no fear of my choice being biased. He won't win and there's no point in pretending he will. I think Gingrich will win, but I also think that will be the zenith of his campaign. I think he will drop drastically not too long afterward.
 
Redress said:
Who do you think will win in Iowa? This is not who you want to win, but who seems likely. With 2 weeks to go, there are multiple possibilities. Those who are right will win a fabulous prize: a pat on the back!
Click to expand...

If Paul voters actually show up, he'll win. I doubt they will, so it will likely be Romney.
 
I am going to go out on a limb and say that Ron Paul wins Iowa and New Hampshire both. However, he won't get the nomination because he will be shredded by the time Super Tuesday arrives.
 
Redress said:
Who do you think will win in Iowa? This is not who you want to win, but who seems likely. With 2 weeks to go, there are multiple possibilities. Those who are right will win a fabulous prize: a pat on the back!
Click to expand...

Ron Paul is gaining more and more in Iowa, so I wouldn't be surprised if he was the one who won it.
 
As odd as Pual is, I would still like to see the shake up that would happen if he won Iowa and/or NC.
 
he wrote NC ^^

:-D
 
a777pilot said:
Good catch. I missed that. Mr. Pual will be long out of the running by the time NC votes on 8 MAY 2012.
Click to expand...

Actually, he has the delegates for a long run campaign next to Mitt. It seems the only four who can make it in the long haul is Mitt, Paul, Newt, and Perry.

If he loses Iowa or doesn't get a near tie for second then I would agree with you.
 
ksu_aviator said:
As odd as Pual is, I would still like to see the shake up that would happen if he won Iowa and/or NC.
Click to expand...

There would be no real shakeup. Paul is painfully vulnerable to campaign ads with all the bat**** insane stuff he has said. If he wins a state, people will stop being nice to the old geezer. Plus the republican establishment know better than to do anything to help him and would throw themselves behind Romney.
 
jasonxe said:
Actually, he has the delegates for a long run campaign next to Mitt. It seems the only four who can make it in the long haul is Mitt, Paul, Newt, and Perry.

If he loses Iowa or doesn't get a near tie for second then I would agree with you.
Click to expand...

I hope Paul wins Iowa and Mit wins NH. That way we get a do over because near one of those will be the GOP nominee. The race will be between Mit and Newt or Mit and Perry.
 
I voted Paul...but I would not bet my life on it...I think at this point he has the best shot being wacky as Iowa is...

I read something interesting whether its fact or not...Ill leave to you to decide...that iowa is the biggest beneficiaries of ethanol revenues and subsidies and anyone that is for continuing them forever is for iowans....Is paul for continuing the subsidies, I would think not
 
Redress said:
There would be no real shakeup. Paul is painfully vulnerable to campaign ads with all the bat**** insane stuff he has said. If he wins a state, people will stop being nice to the old geezer. Plus the republican establishment know better than to do anything to help him and would throw themselves behind Romney.
Click to expand...

I dunno about ads but MSM has been playing the newsletter bit for a couple of days now. Then you have elitist msm pundits saying Iowa won't count anymore and Gov pretty much saying to ignore Paul and look at mitt & Newt. I think the 2nd story made the gop/msm attentions clear that they're purposely going after him which softens or makes the newsletter effect negligible (or work in favor of Paul). The result is people will think there is a conspiracy to make Romney win and media is bought type of thing.

Eventually this will be old news, faded into talking points. It doesn't help gop/msm played their biggest card (newsletter) so earlier. Something will come up and will divert MSM attention. All that matters is winning in Iowa so it can bounce to NH.
 
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