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Every 10 years, a census is taken on April 1st. After that, the seats (and therefore electors) are reapportioned to match the population distribution change. Since 1913, the amount of house seats remained fixed at 435 which means that states growing slwoer than the national average lose seats to the ones growing above national average.
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » Updated 2020 Reapportionment Projections
Unsurprisingly, each of the rust belt states (except Indiana) are expected to lose a seat. New York has lost a seat in every reapportionment since 1950 (when it had 45 seats) and Rhode Island is also expected to lose a seat. Alabama is also growing well below average and will lose a seat.
It comes at no surprise that Texas, Florida, and North Carolina will gain seats. Texas, in particular, will gain three seats. Colorado, Oregon, Arizona, and Virginia could also gain seats. California has gained a seat every census since its statehood but given the state's declining growth, this chain could be broken in the 2030 redistribution.
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » Updated 2020 Reapportionment Projections
Unsurprisingly, each of the rust belt states (except Indiana) are expected to lose a seat. New York has lost a seat in every reapportionment since 1950 (when it had 45 seats) and Rhode Island is also expected to lose a seat. Alabama is also growing well below average and will lose a seat.
It comes at no surprise that Texas, Florida, and North Carolina will gain seats. Texas, in particular, will gain three seats. Colorado, Oregon, Arizona, and Virginia could also gain seats. California has gained a seat every census since its statehood but given the state's declining growth, this chain could be broken in the 2030 redistribution.