IMHO: The 2016 Republican Race

ModerateGOP said:

That's a very good point about Graham and Bush. I did not think of that at first but would Graham give up his support if he sees Christie win NH and do much better than Bush in NV and SC? Currently it's a battle for NH, and Christie and Kasich are doing much better than Bush. They each have nearly twice as much support.

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I don't think Graham gives up support for Bush until after SC and only if Bush decides not to go on, which I find unlikely. As for Christie and Kasich doing twice as well as Bush in NH, I follow only the internal NH polls and Bush is between 8 and 10% in those, 4 to 2% out of second, with over a month to go. And remember, neither Christie nor Kasich have the ground game and money that Bush has once the serious voting begins.

But it's all speculation at this point.

ModerateGOP said:

That's a very good point about Graham and Bush. I did not think of that at first but would Graham give up his support if he sees Christie win NH and do much better than Bush in NV and SC? Currently it's a battle for NH, and Christie and Kasich are doing much better than Bush. They each have nearly twice as much support.

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It's irrelevent what Graham does. At this point it is irrelevent what Christie does. Bush is trying to withdraw gracefully. Rubio would not want 'endorsement' from any of them...it would make it an 'old school vs Trump' race...a disaster for Rubio in 2020. Th forces in 2020 will be supporters of Trump and Cruz (at 61% in polls today) vs Rubio.

It's over. Trump or Cruz. Cruz will support Trump.

It's almost January, 2016, not January 2015.

Iamjesus said:

It's irrelevent what Graham does. At this point it is irrelevent what Christie does. Bush is trying to withdraw gracefully. Rubio would not want 'endorsement' from any of them...it would make it an 'old school vs Trump' race...a disaster for Rubio in 2020. Th forces in 2020 will be supporters of Trump and Cruz (at 61% in polls today) vs Rubio.

It's over. Trump or Cruz. Cruz will support Trump.

It's almost January, 2016, not January 2015.

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Just by saying that Rubio wouldn't want endorsements from any other Republican proves you don't know what you are talking about. Whoever wins will want support from the other politicians in the party. Otherwise, they wouldn't get anything done once they are President. This is part of Obama's problem today. He took all this support and didn't play nice with the Democrats who supported him. People may like an outsider, but outsiders usually don't make friends easy. If Rubio wins the nomination, he will of course want all those endorsements and would rightfully expect them. They are all members of the same party. Rubio isn't the maverick to go against the grain that you are looking for. As the potential leader of a political party one has to show unity and leadership! Not just support and be friends with whoever agrees with him.

Iamjesus said:

Not really

You ask not to be political then you write your critique from a biased view. ' ...a much more intelligent Trump'.

A non political view. Trump is at 39% in polls. Cruz at 18%. Rubio at 10%. Christian Bush, Paul....non entities. A non political view is 'what is' and not what you think 'should be'.

Bookmark this thread...hint, Christie will be out of the race either before or just after New Hampshire. It will be Trump, Cruz, Rubio. A complete sane and non political prediction....an 'easy' one to get right.

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The OP is a Trump hater who has been making failed predictions since the beginning of primary season.

Iamjesus said:

Not really. I have a clue as does anyone with any common sense.

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As we all know, common sense is an oxymoron. What you have appears to be all too common but, unfortunately, signally lacking any sense.