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That's a very good point about Graham and Bush. I did not think of that at first but would Graham give up his support if he sees Christie win NH and do much better than Bush in NV and SC? Currently it's a battle for NH, and Christie and Kasich are doing much better than Bush. They each have nearly twice as much support.
I don't think Graham gives up support for Bush until after SC and only if Bush decides not to go on, which I find unlikely. As for Christie and Kasich doing twice as well as Bush in NH, I follow only the internal NH polls and Bush is between 8 and 10% in those, 4 to 2% out of second, with over a month to go. And remember, neither Christie nor Kasich have the ground game and money that Bush has once the serious voting begins.
But it's all speculation at this point.