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US Elections Rasmussen Markets data shows Obama is given a 68.0 % chance of winning in November; With only one month to go before election day the trend towards Obama winning is growing steadily. He now leads ...

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Old 10-04-08, 06:27 PM   #1 (permalink)
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fyi Rasmussen Markets data shows Obama is given a 68.0 % chance of winning in November

With only one month to go before election day the trend towards Obama winning is growing steadily. He now leads in every current poll for popular vote and has a commanding lead in the more important electoral college.

Rasmussen Reports considered by many to be the most accurate of the pollsters has Obama with a solid 6% lead and has had Obama with 50% or 51% of the popular vote for the last nine days.

Rasmussen Reports™: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election.

The electoral map now has Obama with a 338-185 advantage with NC tied (15 EVs).

Can anyone see a realistic (emphasis on realistic) way for Obama to lose and McCain to win?

Obama is not in jeopardy of losing any states that Kerry won and has more or less locked up adding Iowa and New Mexico and Obama also now leads in OH, FL, CO, VA and NV all states that previously were Red in 2004. If Obama holds the Kerry states and if you cede Iowa and NM to him too that means that Obama only needs to win one out the five other states to get elected...also keep in mind that NC is tied and even in a totally red state like MO the lead is down to 1% and in IN it's only 2%.

So again I ask: Does anyone see a realistic way that McCain can win? I'm really interested to hear your thoughts, especially from the Republicans in this community.

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Old 10-04-08, 06:35 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Re: Rasmussen Markets data shows Obama is given a 68.0 % chance of winning in Novemb

Word on the street is that Obama needs 10 points to beat the racism gap. But, I think, barring some sort of disaster Obama's got this election. There is a sick desperation in McCain at this point that makes it hard to watch him speak.
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Old 10-04-08, 06:38 PM   #3 (permalink)
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Thread Starter Re: Rasmussen Markets data shows Obama is given a 68.0 % chance of winning in Novemb

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Originally Posted by faminedynasty View Post
Word on the street is that Obama needs 10 points to beat the racism gap. But, I think, barring some sort of disaster Obama's got this election. There is a sick desperation in McCain at this point that makes it hard to watch him speak.
I'm thinking that out of desperation the McPalins will really turn up the negative ads against Obama. The problem is that their claims are too transparently obvious as contrived and not of any substance and the only people who will believe them are the people already voting for McPalin.
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Old 10-04-08, 06:42 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Re: Rasmussen Markets data shows Obama is given a 68.0 % chance of winning in Novemb

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I'm thinking that out of desperation the McPalins will really turn up the negative ads against Obama. The problem is that their claims are too transparently obvious as contrived and not of any substance and the only people who will believe them are the people already voting for McPalin.
McCain will win this election for Obama if he comes out with another onslaught of baseless allegations. McCain is already viewed as dishonest by many for the last round of lying ads. A second round will virtually assure he is seen as dishonest by the majority -- and that will lose this election for him.
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Old 10-04-08, 06:46 PM   #5 (permalink)
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Thread Starter Re: Rasmussen Markets data shows Obama is given a 68.0 % chance of winning in Novemb

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McCain will win this election for Obama if he comes out with another onslaught of baseless allegations. McCain is already viewed as dishonest by many for the last round of lying ads. A second round will virtually assure he is seen as dishonest by the majority -- and that will lose this election for him.
Despite my being clearly for Obama I just cannot see a realistic/logical way that McCain can win. If he and Bush were actually on the same side I could see Bush invading Iran to rabble rouse and to generate the way that the GOP won the last two elections, through fear and loathing.
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