Senate Elections thread

[galenrox]

Originally Posted by the makeout hobo

Really? Small sample size, but other than that, a fairly reputable poll. I'd be worried if I was Lautenburg, at least until new polling comes out.

500 is a pretty good sample size for the state of New Jersey, when you consider most national polls are around or less than 1000. I'd be worried if I was Lautenburg too, as you said, at least until more polls come out.

[galenrox]

Some more polls have come out. The ones of notes are these:
Minnesota:
R (I) Coleman 48
D Franken 45

Oregon:
R (I) Smith 47
D Merkley 38

North Carolina
R (I) Dole 53
D Hagan 39

[galenrox]

Two polls came out yesterday:
Alaska:
Stevens 46
Begich: 44

Kentucky:
McConnell 50
Lunsford 46

[the makeout hobo]

Originally Posted by galenrox

Two polls came out yesterday:
Alaska:
Stevens 46
Begich: 44

Kentucky:
McConnell 50
Lunsford 46

I never thought I'd see Alaska and the Senate Minority Leaders seats so close.

[galenrox]

Originally Posted by the makeout hobo

I never thought I'd see Alaska and the Senate Minority Leaders seats so close.

I don't ever like seeing Democrats beat Republicans, but both Stevens and McConnell are pieces of ****. They should've taken them both out during the primaries!

[the makeout hobo]

Originally Posted by galenrox

I don't ever like seeing Democrats beat Republicans, but both Stevens and McConnell are pieces of ****. They should've taken them both out during the primaries!

So how badly do you think the beating is going to be in november?

[galenrox]

Originally Posted by the makeout hobo

So how badly do you think the beating is going to be in november?

I dunno. I could see McConnell holding on while Stevens goes down, Collins, Dole, Landrieu and Smith may be pulling away, I'd say Mississippi is a true tossup, Sununu will likely go down (unless partier's insight is valid, which is a distinct possibility that I won't discount), the Virginia seat is Warner's, I'd say the New Jersey seat is a true tossup, and I like Norm Coleman's chances, I don't see Al Franken endearing himself in a campaign. I mean, obviously, still a notable Dem year, but a filibuster-buster is seeming less and less likely, thank God.

[independent_thinker2002]

Originally Posted by galenrox

I don't ever like seeing Democrats beat Republicans, but both Stevens and McConnell are pieces of ****. They should've taken them both out during the primaries!

Add +1 to your respect from me.

[galenrox]

Alright, new polls of import:
Maine: Republican Incumbent Sue Collins leading 49-42
Kentucky: Republican Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell leading 50-39
Colorado: Democrat Mark Udall is leading Republican Bob Schafer by 9
New Hampshire: Democrat challenger Shaheen 53 Republican incumbent Sununu 39

And in case there's any question about that other senate seat in Virginia, most recent poll has Warner up by 31 points - 59-28. Real close one they've got going over there!

[DarkWizard12]

Originally Posted by galenrox

Alright, new polls of import:
Maine: Republican Incumbent Sue Collins leading 49-42
Kentucky: Republican Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell leading 50-39
Colorado: Democrat Mark Udall is leading Republican Bob Schafer by 9
New Hampshire: Democrat challenger Shaheen 53 Republican incumbent Sununu 39

And in case there's any question about that other senate seat in Virginia, most recent poll has Warner up by 31 points - 59-28. Real close one they've got going over there!

Despite polls, this is my prediction:

NH - Sununu holds on and wins
Kentucky: I hope so badly McConnell loses but I doubt it...
Colorado: Udall will win
Main: Sue Collins wins, but I hate her too...
VA= despite polls, I know I know, its a longshot, but I just have a gut feeling Gilmore will win.