Senate Elections thread - Page 2

the makeout hobo · 06-05-08, 11:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DarkWizard12

I disagree with mississippi, the governor there is pretty popular and a conservative despite being conservative. Either way, none of us really needs to worry about mississippi, all the democrats that come out of there are pretty much conservatives.

I think for the mid-term elections, Mississippi will be the most overexagerrated election in 2008. Mississippi is only going from republican to democrat, not conservative to liberal.

If it isn't a worry, why is Ronnie Musgrove doing to well there?

Kandahar · 06-05-08, 01:15 PM

Of the seats Galen mentioned, I think the Democrats will win Mississippi, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Virginia, Colorado, and Louisiana. I think the Republicans will win Kentucky, Minnesota, North Carolina, Maine, Alaska, Oregon, and Texas.

galenrox · 06-05-08, 03:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kandahar

Of the seats Galen mentioned, I think the Democrats will win Mississippi, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Virginia, Colorado, and Louisiana. I think the Republicans will win Kentucky, Minnesota, North Carolina, Maine, Alaska, Oregon, and Texas.

I think this may be the first time you've had a more flowery view of what the Republicans have coming than me! I'd certainly be pleased with this result, considering 4 of those are a given, so winning all but 2 competitive seats wouldn't be too bad (considering the alternative)

Navy Pride · 06-05-08, 03:59 PM

I wonder how much effect the poor approval rating of the democratic controlled congress will have on the 2008 congressional elections......I tink the last time I saw a poll they were at 13% the lowest in history.........It just may be a wild card in the whole scenario.....

What is that old saying? "Kick the bums out."

galenrox · 06-05-08, 04:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Navy Pride

I wonder how much effect the poor approval rating of the democratic controlled congress will have on the 2008 congressional elections......I tink the last time I saw a poll they were at 13% the lowest in history.........It just may be a wild card in the whole scenario.....

What is that old saying? "Kick the bums out."

It'll have almost none in 2008. Maybe by 2012 it'll be significant, but as it is now everything is still seen as being a product of the previous Republican congresses.

partier9 · 06-05-08, 04:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by galenrox

I'm all about cautious optimism, but for an incumbent starting a campaign it's generally bad news if you're under 50%, starting out 10% behind your opponent as an incumbent is real ****ing bad news. Maybe you're right, it's something I'd be ecstatic to be wrong about, but lets just say law of averages isn't going in your favor right now.

Sununu isn't like Craig in NH, hes not as well known as Shaheen anyways. Hes very subtle about everything he's done. Shaheens campiagn is going like the election tomorrow, thier commercials never stop running. Sununu doesn't have one out yet. Also Shaheen is very bad at debates he will destroy her when those come around. And he beat her the first time around for the seat. She was a much better caimpagner then to.

DarkWizard12 · 06-05-08, 04:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the makeout hobo

If it isn't a worry, why is Ronnie Musgrove doing to well there?

I mean "Conservative despite being a democrat." Now, reread again because I already answered your question.

galenrox · 06-05-08, 06:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by partier9

Sununu isn't like Craig in NH, hes not as well known as Shaheen anyways. Hes very subtle about everything he's done. Shaheens campiagn is going like the election tomorrow, thier commercials never stop running. Sununu doesn't have one out yet. Also Shaheen is very bad at debates he will destroy her when those come around. And he beat her the first time around for the seat. She was a much better caimpagner then to.

I hope you're right, I'll eat my words happily, but I'd be very surprised to see Sununu pull it off. That said, if she's spending as much as all that, I can't imagine she'll have a lot later on.

the makeout hobo · 06-05-08, 06:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by galenrox

I hope you're right, I'll eat my words happily, but I'd be very surprised to see Sununu pull it off. That said, if she's spending as much as all that, I can't imagine she'll have a lot later on.

I just don't see anyone overtaking a 20 point lead, short of a macaca moment. I just don't see it happening. NH and VA are practically safe dem at this point.

galenrox · 06-05-08, 06:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the makeout hobo

I just don't see anyone overtaking a 20 point lead, short of a macaca moment. I just don't see it happening. NH and VA are practically safe dem at this point.

That's how it looks to me, but New Hampshire has always had a propensity to swing back and forth, I'd never call New Hampshire safe anything.