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It Wasn't the Polls That Missed, It Was the Pundits | RealClearPoliticsWhat occurred wasn’t a failure of the polls. As with Brexit, it was a failure of punditry. Pundits saw Clinton with a 1.9 percent lead in Pennsylvania and assumed she would win. The correct interpretation was that, if Clinton’s actual vote share were just one point lower and Trump’s just one point higher, Trump would be tied or even a bit ahead.
Instead, people gravitated toward unreliable approaches such as reading the tea leaves on early voting or putting faith in Big Blue Walls, while ignoring things like the high number of undecided voters. They selected these data points rather than other possible indicators, such as the significant late break in the generic ballot that could have led them in a different direction. To be blunt, people saw what they wanted to see, and then found the data to support that view.
So don’t blame the polls. They did what they were supposed to do, and in fact, did their job as well as they did in 2012. Instead, blame the analysts and pundits, and their stubborn resistance to considering the possibility of a Trump presidency.
See the problem I have with this theory is that if it is true that the pollsters watched their product be lied about all across the Corporate Class Propaganda Machine.... AKA the mouthpiece of the elite....... then the pollsters completely ****ed us. On the other hand if the polls were actually wrong then they made a bad protect. So either way we know that the pollsters were wrong, so is there much point in arguing if the polls were wrong?
Why not declare "THE POLLSTERS WERE WRONG....THAT'S WHY NO ONE KNEW THE TRUTH ABOUT THIS RACE"?
And leave it at that till the historians get to it?
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