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Constitutionally, I think Lincoln was in his rights to defend Union military interests in the South. So, once the Confederates attacked Ft Sumter, he had no choice but to declare war. However, during the lead up, Lincoln certainly didn't look for a diplomatic solution. So, it could be argued that he instigated said attack.
Imagine if he simply played coy. Let the South go. Watch them implode. Maybe, the union could even help the inevitable failure along by...I don't know, arming slaves and creating unrest. How long would the backward new nation survive?
We know a few things with certainty. 1.) the Brits would have immediately allied themselves with the rebelious new country. 2.) the new country would never have adapted for the industrial revolution. 3.) Northern states would have become rich beyond belief without civil war and reconstruction draining our treasury.
Did Lincoln screw up?
Imagine if he simply played coy. Let the South go. Watch them implode. Maybe, the union could even help the inevitable failure along by...I don't know, arming slaves and creating unrest. How long would the backward new nation survive?
We know a few things with certainty. 1.) the Brits would have immediately allied themselves with the rebelious new country. 2.) the new country would never have adapted for the industrial revolution. 3.) Northern states would have become rich beyond belief without civil war and reconstruction draining our treasury.
Did Lincoln screw up?