View Poll Results: Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

Voters
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  • Mitt Romney

    41 15.30%
  • Tim Pawlenty

    9 3.36%
  • John Huntsman

    0 0%
  • Mitch Daniels

    15 5.60%
  • Sarah Palin

    4 1.49%
  • Newt Gingrich

    6 2.24%
  • Michele Bachmann

    2 0.75%
  • Donald Trump

    3 1.12%
  • Ron Paul

    172 64.18%
  • Other (specify)

    16 5.97%
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Thread: Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

  1. #421
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    Re: Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

    Quote Originally Posted by Barbbtx View Post
    No, I don't think he is a long shot at all. He may not have as much chance as Romney, but he no long shot.
    i think he may have gained some status very lately, but is still a long shot to actually get the nod. even the wsj hardly mentions him in this latest article.

    Mitch Daniels Won't Run for President; Tim Pawlenty Announces Candidacy - WSJ.com

    Originally Posted by johnny_rebson:

    These are the same liberals who forgot how Iraq attacked us on 9/11.


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    Re: Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

    Quote Originally Posted by Barbbtx View Post
    I wish fox news was backing him. Even when they mention him, (when they even bother) they call him a long shot, Ceo of GF pizza, even though his resume is much more than that. Nope, Fox wants to help get an establishment republican nominated, just like the rest of the media. Pawlenty, or Romney will be their choice. Even Neil Cavuto who I think supports Cain, can't keep his mouth shut about the odds. Well dang, maybe his odds wouldn't be so bad if they'd all quit saying how hopeless his chances are.
    This could be a good time to check out what the rest of the media has to say. Maybe Fox is dropping the ball, but they're not the be-all and end-all.

  3. #423
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    Re: Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    Looks like Mitch Daniels is out. Although I did think he was somewhat overrated as a presidential candidate, there is no question that he is a great governor. Despite the fact that he is a conservative Republican and I'm a liberal Democrat, I don't think it's an exaggeration for me to say that Mitch Daniels is one of the two or three best governors in America right now.

    As I see it, the number of viable Republican candidates is now down to just three: Mitt Romney, Tim Pawlenty, and Jon Huntsman. Other potentially viable candidates (e.g. Chris Christie, Rick Perry) have not declared any intention to enter the race yet, although it's not too late. The rest of the field mostly consists of vanity candidates at this point.

    I think the nominee will probably be either Romney, Pawlenty, or Huntsman...with Romney still the most likely choice.
    Sadly I think at this point you are correct. I guess I'll have to be a T-Paw fellow unless Perry throws his hat in.

    With the exception of Huntsman - that man is more Romney-lite than Bachmann is Palin-lite. I don't see him gaining much traction - traditionally a Republican Primary goes as thus: one leading candidate wins Iowa. another wins New Hampshire. They battle between them for South Carolina, who picks the winner.

    Huntsman is (as I recall) skipping Iowa all-together, and with good reason; he has little chance there. Romney has New Hampshire pretty solid in his corner assuming no amazing break-away candidate; and Huntsman would have to be competing with Romney for the same folks.

    He may be a good candidate (I know little of him personally), but he doesn't have the support.
    Last edited by cpwill; 05-23-11 at 06:20 PM.

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    Re: Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

    Quote Originally Posted by JohnWOlin View Post
    I think it depends on how far right the rest of the republican primary voters have gotten. If you are to believe polls Romney and pawlenty are the two likely with palin even closing in. If the real right truly thinks like fox and limbaugh make it out then Herman Cain and yes even palin.
    an interesting analogy might be drawn now between the Republican base of 2012 and the Democrat base of 2008. Any Candidate who has to defend a healthcare mandate, big spending, or an otherwise fiscally liberal record will find themself in the same awkward position as Hillary explaining her vote for the war in Iraq.

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    Re: Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

    Quote Originally Posted by cpwill View Post
    Sadly I think at this point you are correct. I guess I'll have to be a T-Paw fellow unless Perry throws his hat in.

    With the exception of Huntsman - that man is more Romney-lite than Bachmann is Palin-lite. I don't see him gaining much traction - traditionally a Republican Primary goes as thus: one leading candidate wins Iowa. another wins New Hampshire. They battle between them for South Carolina, who picks the winner.

    Huntsman is (as I recall) skipping Iowa all-together, and with good reason; he has little chance there. Romney has New Hampshire pretty solid in his corner assuming no amazing break-away candidate; and Huntsman would have to be competing with Romney for the same folks.

    He may be a good candidate (I know little of him personally), but he doesn't have the support.
    What makes you support Pawlenty? I need to know who to vote for in the repub primary so I need more info from your lot.

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    Re: Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

    Mitt Romney - Too much baggage regarding his successful Health Care system in Massachussetts that the national policy is based on. Any Republican candidate will need help from the lunatic fringe that is controlling the right wing currently, and I doubt that help will be extended to the author of RomneyCare.

    Tim Pawlenty - T-Paw didn't impress the lunatic fringe in the first debate, as the feeling was that he wasn't sincere in his comments, and that he seemed to be playing politics with his answers. Initially he seemed to be an interesting choice, but he seems to have lost his fire.

    John Huntsman - Too soon to tell for the Ambassador. He may have a good shot at the nomination, but some of his views are right of center, which will not play well with the Lunatic Fringe. He still isn't very will known by most, and if he can package himself around his more conservative views he may be a good candidate for the Nomination. Time will tell.

    Mitch Daniels - Daniels is the current front runner. He has Lunatic Fringe cred due to his recent actions in his state, but may be politically savvy enough to move to the center effectively if he wins the nomination.

    Sarah Palin - Certainly a favorite with the Lunatic Fringe, but with few others outside of that small group. She is too much of a punch line for anyone to vote for her in the general election, and she may be smart enough to realize that she is better as a pundit than a politician.

    Newt Gingrich - Newton's candidacy was over before it started. Few Republicans are friendly with him as it is, and he put the nail in his coffin with his "right wing social engineering" remark.

    Michele Bachmann - While she would be a Democrat's dream opponent, I doubt she will win the Iowa caucasus which is where she has been concentrating lately. Even if she does, I find it unlikely that she will stand up well against Huntsman and Daniels.

    Donald Trump - RIP. Trump is back to NBC.

    Ron Paul - It would be interesting if Mr. Paul got the nomination, but I have a better chance of winning the lottery. Paul is smart and sincere about his cause, but while that is his greatest asset it is also his greatest weakness. Already pundits are mocking his willingness to legalize drugs such as heroine and cocaine. The GOP is simply not ready for that kind of social liberalism.

    Herman Cain - My first impression of him was that of a bumper sticker politician; a guy who can say the quick and witty things, but can that translate into a thinking statesman. After I pealed the onion I saw him as a passionate conservative who could be a threat to Obama. But for that to happen the conservatives will need to be able to peal the onion as well, which I don't think they will do. Too bad too, as a Obama-Cain debate would be good to watch.
    Last edited by ADG; 05-23-11 at 06:48 PM.
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    Re: Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

    Quote Originally Posted by ADG View Post
    Herman Cain - My first impression of him was that of a bumper sticker politician; a guy who can say the quick and witty things, but can that translate into a thinking statesman. After I pealed the onion I saw him as a passionate conservative who could be a threat to Obama. But for that to happen the conservatives will need to be able to peal the onion as well, which I don't think they will do. Too bad too, as a Obama-Cain debate would be good to watch.
    Common Sense Solutions, his book, doesn't give any answers but talking points. What is there to peal back?

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    Re: Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

    Quote Originally Posted by Barbbtx View Post
    I'll just say, in my opinion the LAST thing Cain needs to do is hire experts to help him with his speeches.
    Then he probably will not make it too far in the campaign if he is too stubborn to have people to help him better cultivate his image.
    Quote Originally Posted by Barbbtx View Post
    His answer on Afghanistan was perfect. I guess he could have said "When I am elected, I'll bring all our troops home by July! I'll close Gitmo within a year. Everyone will be able to afford college and healthcare! There will be no more torture on my watch!

    That is not who Cain is. He said he would have to have all the inside information that he is not privy to, before he could answer the question about what he would do about Afghanistan.

    Seems Obama had all kinds of answers during his campaign until he became privy to the secret stuff. Then he had to back track.
    Although I view his answer about what he would do about Afghanistan as a cop out, that is not the answer I have a problem with.

    What I mentioned was when he said he did not know what the current plan is for Afghanistan. I could answer that with ease and I am not running for any political office. Is it too much to ask the same of Cain so at least I can know if he even has the slightest clue about American foreign policy? With the answer he gave I now assume he knows little about the situation in Afghanistan.

    You criticize President Obama for pandering to his audience, but how is Herman Cain any different? Or do you expect that his energy policy, the FairTax, or any other of his more outlandish ideas will actually come to fruition? I can tell you right now that the same bureaucracy that stalled Obama's plans will stall Cain's as well.
    Quote Originally Posted by Barbbtx View Post
    His energy plan sounds great to me too. Maybe it won't be easy to execute exactly as he wants, by I promise you, it will get more than lip service.
    It sounds great to anyone who agrees with him on energy policy. That is until reality hits them in the face that it will not have nearly the effect he claims.

  9. #429
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    Re: Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

    Quote Originally Posted by xpiher View Post
    What makes you support Pawlenty? I need to know who to vote for in the repub primary so I need more info from your lot.
    at this point? he's the credible conservative with executive experience who isn't Romney. I could have given you a thousand reasons for Daniels, but then he dropped.


    I will give him this, however. The man went to Iowa (which he needs to take on Romney, and which threatens to slip from him if Bachmann tosses her hat in) and declared himself in favor of ending agricultural subsidies. I gotta admit, that's gutsy.

  10. #430
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    Re: Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

    Quote Originally Posted by ADG View Post
    Mitt Romney - Too much baggage regarding his successful Health Care system in Massachussetts that the national policy is based on. Any Republican candidate will need help from the lunatic fringe that is controlling the right wing currently, and I doubt that help will be extended to the author of RomneyCare.

    Tim Pawlenty - T-Paw didn't impress the lunatic fringe in the first debate, as the feeling was that he wasn't sincere in his comments, and that he seemed to be playing politics with his answers. Initially he seemed to be an interesting choice, but he seems to have lost his fire.

    John Huntsman - Too soon to tell for the Ambassador. He may have a good shot at the nomination, but some of his views are right of center, which will not play well with the Lunatic Fringe. He still isn't very will known by most, and if he can package himself around his more conservative views he may be a good candidate for the Nomination. Time will tell.

    Mitch Daniels - Daniels is the current front runner. He has Lunatic Fringe cred due to his recent actions in his state, but may be politically savvy enough to move to the center effectively if he wins the nomination.

    Sarah Palin - Certainly a favorite with the Lunatic Fringe, but with few others outside of that small group. She is too much of a punch line for anyone to vote for her in the general election, and she may be smart enough to realize that she is better as a pundit than a politician.

    Newt Gingrich - Newton's candidacy was over before it started. Few Republicans are friendly with him as it is, and he put the nail in his coffin with his "right wing social engineering" remark.

    Michele Bachmann - While she would be a Democrat's dream opponent, I doubt she will win the Iowa caucasus which is where she has been concentrating lately. Even if she does, I find it unlikely that she will stand up well against Huntsman and Daniels.

    Donald Trump - RIP. Trump is back to NBC.

    Ron Paul - It would be interesting if Mr. Paul got the nomination, but I have a better chance of winning the lottery. Paul is smart and sincere about his cause, but while that is his greatest asset it is also his greatest weakness. Already pundits are mocking his willingness to legalize drugs such as heroine and cocaine. The GOP is simply not ready for that kind of social liberalism.

    Herman Cain - My first impression of him was that of a bumper sticker politician; a guy who can say the quick and witty things, but can that translate into a thinking statesman. After I pealed the onion I saw him as a passionate conservative who could be a threat to Obama. But for that to happen the conservatives will need to be able to peal the onion as well, which I don't think they will do. Too bad too, as a Obama-Cain debate would be good to watch.
    I think it's interesting how you substitute "Lunatic Fringe" for "Conservatives".

    You do know that we are the largest ideological bloc in the country? And that independents are drifting solidly conservative?

    The entire country has shifted right while the Democratic Party leadership and a key active component of their base has drifted left. we aren't the "Fringe". We are the plurality.

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