View Poll Results: Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

Voters
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  • Mitt Romney

    41 15.30%
  • Tim Pawlenty

    9 3.36%
  • John Huntsman

    0 0%
  • Mitch Daniels

    15 5.60%
  • Sarah Palin

    4 1.49%
  • Newt Gingrich

    6 2.24%
  • Michele Bachmann

    2 0.75%
  • Donald Trump

    3 1.12%
  • Ron Paul

    172 64.18%
  • Other (specify)

    16 5.97%
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Thread: Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

  1. #171
    Sage

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    Re: Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

    Quote Originally Posted by StillBallin75 View Post
    Alright, I'm not actually clear on what the Michigan state legislature did and how people responded. Could someone enlighten me?
    here it part of the disaster brought to you courtesy of "I'm from the government and I'm here to help"

    Michigan's 'Emergency Manager Law' Epitomizes State-Level 'Shock Doctrine' | Common Dreams
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    There are two novels that can change a bookish fourteen-year old's life: The Lord of the Rings and Atlas Shrugged. One is a childish fantasy that often engenders a lifelong obsession with its unbelievable heroes, leading to an emotionally stunted, socially crippled adulthood, unable to deal with the real world. The other, of course, involves orcs.... John Rogers

  2. #172
    Professor xpiher's Avatar
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    Re: Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

    Quote Originally Posted by tessaesque View Post
    And yet he just managed a huge bipartisan victory by passing a largely leftist budget plan with both houses having a republican majority.

    We don't elect city managers in Texas, either...and I'm not aware of them being responsible to anybody but the city council (slightly variance there).

    Do you have links to the negative effects of this method of governance he has chosen?
    If you are conservative, you should be against edit its not city manages, its an emergency manage who has the power to dissolve local elected bodies and give the power to himself. It takes control away from the local population and places it in the power of 1 person. That is anti-american FFS.
    Last edited by xpiher; 05-16-11 at 07:42 PM.

  3. #173
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    Re: Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

    Quote Originally Posted by xpiher View Post
    If you are conservative, you should be against city managers dissolving local elected bodies and giving the power to himself. It takes control away from the local population and places it in the power of 1 person. That is anti-american FFS.
    I'm neither for nor against it at this point in time. Michigan elected the governor, who asked the legislature (which Michigan elected) to pass legislation allowing him to select city managers. Though indirectly, the entire process was completed through representative government. If the city managers begin dictating outside of existing laws I'll have an issue.
    "Hmmm...Can't decide if I want to watch "Four Houses" or give myself an Icy Hot pee hole enema..." - Blake Shelton


  4. #174
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    Re: Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

    Quote Originally Posted by tessaesque View Post
    I'm neither for nor against it at this point in time. Michigan elected the governor, who asked the legislature (which Michigan elected) to pass legislation allowing him to select city managers. Though indirectly, the entire process was completed through representative government. If the city managers begin dictating outside of existing laws I'll have an issue.
    Emergency managers remove local control.

  5. #175
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    Re: Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

    Quote Originally Posted by xpiher View Post
    Emergency managers remove local control.
    Again, are they dictating outside of existing law? Are they creating rules that aren't on the books to control the citizenry? Have they lined the streets with armed mercenaries with orders to shoot-to-kill for any violations? Are they instituting citywide curfews for all residents? Are they dictating which businesses can open when and why? Are they stopping cars into and out of the city for inspections?

    What are they doing?
    "Hmmm...Can't decide if I want to watch "Four Houses" or give myself an Icy Hot pee hole enema..." - Blake Shelton


  6. #176
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    Re: Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

    Quote Originally Posted by ReverendHellh0und View Post
    Who are these "true believers" you repeat ad nauseum?
    conservatives. You know, 42% of the Populace?


  7. #177
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    Re: Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

    Quote Originally Posted by StillBallin75 View Post
    I say again, the GOP should put up Red Forman/Archie Bunker.
    Nah.. we need to vote for this guy.
    Here's someones book report on him.
    I'm old....is this how book reports are done these day?...on video? Anyway, it has his bio and everything. More entertaining than just reading.
    Catawa is my favorite bleeding heart liberal.
    1/27/12

  8. #178
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    Re: Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    For what it's worth, here are the current probabilities on each of the Republican contenders winning the nomination according to InTrade. I'm including all of them who have at least a 1% chance, as of today:

    Mitt Romney: 25.3% chance of winning the nomination
    Tim Pawlenty: 18.5%
    John Huntsman: 12.0%
    Mitch Daniels: 10.8%
    Herman Cain: 6.9%
    Sarah Palin: 6.0%
    Newt Gingrich: 5.0%
    Michele Bachmann: 5.0%
    Ron Paul: 3.1%
    Chris Christie: 3.0%
    Paul Ryan: 1.1%

    As I see it, the top four candidates (plus Chris Christie who says he isn't running) are the ones that could actually mount a serious challenge to Obama. Their chances of winning the nomination increase if Obama's poll numbers decline, because Republicans will be more likely to nominate a potential president instead of merely a conservative standard-bearer. The other six candidates on that list are, in my opinion, vanity candidates. They won't win the nomination unless Obama looks unbeatable, and Republicans decide to nominate an ideological purist as a sacrificial lamb.
    Intrade Prediction Markets

    Do you know how this intrade works and what the numbers could mean?
    I found Cain bid 5.6 ask 7.2
    Everyone else had less than a dollar difference, some as little as a penny.
    Does this mean people are expecting his chances to up a lot? Or is that just wishful thinking on my part?
    Catawa is my favorite bleeding heart liberal.
    1/27/12

  9. #179
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    Re: Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

    dangit, if i were a betting man I could make some money.

    how do you bet on this thing?
    Last edited by cpwill; 05-16-11 at 09:24 PM.

  10. #180
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    Re: Who do you think will win the Republican nomination?

    Quote Originally Posted by cpwill View Post
    dangit, if i were a betting man I could make some money.

    how do you bet on this thing?
    Vegas hasn't come out with any odds?
    Nobody who wins a war indulges in a bifurcated definition of victory. War is a political act; victory and defeat have meaning only in political terms. A country incapable of achieving its political objectives at an acceptable cost is losing the war, regardless of battlefield events.

    Bifurcating victory (e.g. winning militarily, losing politically) is a useful salve for defeated armies. The "stab in the back" narrative helped take the sting out of failure for German generals after WWI and their American counterparts after Vietnam.

    All the same, it's nonsense. To paraphrase Vince Lombardi, show me a political loser, and I'll show you a loser.
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