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Enourmous amounts of hidden state debt

What is your prediction

  • Impoverment of the west

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Things will improve(for everyone except the west)

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • We can just forfeit our debts and dont worry about other approaching disasters

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    11
No, it's not EUs PPP is not catching up to the US and predictions show low PPP growth for the coming years. The argument that because they have high wage growth, but not so high inflation is flawed and wrong. GDP (ppp) is based on productivity.

Its not flawed at all... Its completely correct.
You seem to be delusional about the economic reality. European purchasing power is increasing, while American puchasing power is decreasing.

European countries have passed the US in nominal GDP. You are still living in an economic world where you think there is one currency, and that you can keep using the most favourable numbers for the benefit of your own US nationalism.
Italies nominal GDP has not risen much, although its a part of the Eurozone, something that is very interesting. Wages are declining in Italy, while prices rose, which reflects in even worse PPP numbers for them. But we were comparing Germany and France with the US and the UK. And clearly economic prospects look far better in Germany and France then they do in the US and the UK.



Also, we base ourself on PPP number. Because Iceland halved it's nominal GDP the last year, but does that mean the productivity of Iceland is halved. Of course not.

Again for your own delusional purposes you try to pick apart my argumentation that the French and German economies are far more solidly anchored, stable and prosperous than the UK and US economis. And you do this by mentioning Iceland? :lol:

When people start saying that we shouldn't concern ourself about GDP, productivity and similar, then they just try to defend their own country poor performance.

Like I showed, nominal GDP is higher in most of Europe than the US now. It wasnt before. Also PP is catching up incredibly fast, because US wages are declining and prices are rising. In Europe wages are increasing faster than prices.

Those are the things that really matter, thats what the people will feel, and in the US things are getting desperate these days. All your large companies are in crisis, even traditional companies such as Ford and GM.. Same is not happening in Europe. Volkswagen is about to become the largest car manufacturer in the world, competing with a declining GM and a relatively healthy Toyota.

In todays world. You need to compete to be able to live, because if you don't then there are no guarantees for future wealth. Look around yourself, how much was made in your home country?

Most durable goods, most good machinery are made in Europe. Software and such is made in the US, and good movies, congrats!

The Eurozone is a bigger economy than the US now, and the European Union is the largest economic zone in the world, by large margin. Europe is the most diverse investment region, and the most diverse and exciting market, and it offers far superior oppertunities to the US. How can the US compete with a reunited Europe west(who makes better things) and east(who maker cheaper things)?


Not like Europe. Many countries in Europe have nearly had none productivity growth. In the US productivity has slowed down, but it hasn't stopped. Don't take future wealth for granted. Beeing rich yesterday is not a promise for future wealth.

Delusions? Yes.. Like I told you, we already passed the US in nominal GDP, and are about to do so in PPP also.


Of course per hour is increasing. What do you excpect when people work less hours? I However, my point is that Europe is performing badly, and there are a lot of future problems to come, and they are not opportunities. They are problems.

There are future problems for the world, and non of those are European problems, mostly global problems, but also problems created by the type of economy the US is.



1 General Electric United States
6 HSBC Holdings United Kingdom Banking
7 AT&T United States Telecommunications Services
8 Wal-Mart Stores United States Retailing
9 Banco Santander Spain Banking
15 Volkswagen Group Germany Consumer Durables
16 JPMorgan Chase United States Banking
17 GDF Suez France Utilities
19 Berkshire Hathaway United States Diversified Financials
20 Vodafone United Kingdom Telecommunications
22 Procter & Gamble United States Household & Personal Products
24 Verizon Communications United States Telecommunications Services
27 EDF Group France Utilities
28 IBM United States Software & Services
29 BNP Paribas France Banking


You really are delusional.. Market value?
Ahah.. Besides European banks are well capitalized like I said, perhaps its time for you to digg deeper into things instead of just understanding the pretty picture shown at you or scratching the surface...

Anyways, I told you to do it sector by sector.. But you didnt.
 
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You seem to be delusional about the economic reality. European purchasing power is increasing, while American puchasing power is decreasing.

European countries have passed the US in nominal GDP. You are still living in an economic world where you think there is one currency, and that you can keep using the most favourable numbers for the benefit of your own US nationalism.
Italies nominal GDP has not risen much, although its a part of the Eurozone, something that is very interesting. Wages are declining in Italy, while prices rose, which reflects in even worse PPP numbers for them. But we were comparing Germany and France with the US and the UK. And clearly economic prospects look far better in Germany and France then they do in the US and the UK.
No, I use the GDP value I would always use. Read your own wikipedia article. They also say that GDP (nominal) is not for comparisons.

Its not flawed at all... Its completely correct.
You seem to be delusional about the economic reality. European purchasing power is increasing, while American puchasing power is decreasing.
No it''s not real GDP growth per capita for the US is larger than the EU. EU-15 from 2001 had a average growth rate of 1.5%, while the US had a growth rate of 2.6%. You are delusional about the world and you don't even know the real GDP growth for the US and EU. How the heck should you be able to compare which country who perform best? When you don't know such basic facts, then you should admit that you don't really know very much about the economy. And I'm not even from the US, so why should I be a US nationalist. I'm from Europe. In reality it is you who are the nationalist.
http://www.house.gov/jec/publications/109/rr109-25.pdf


Again for your own delusional purposes you try to pick apart my argumentation that the French and German economies are far more solidly anchored, stable and prosperous than the UK and US economis. And you do this by mentioning Iceland? :lol:
No, I'm just using iceland as an example to show how wrong you are by using nominal figures. It doesn't matter what state Iceland is, is the productivity halved?

Like I showed, nominal GDP is higher in most of Europe than the US now. It wasnt before. Also PP is catching up incredibly fast, because US wages are declining and prices are rising. In Europe wages are increasing faster than prices.

Those are the things that really matter, thats what the people will feel, and in the US things are getting desperate these days. All your large companies are in crisis, even traditional companies such as Ford and GM.. Same is not happening in Europe. Volkswagen is about to become the largest car manufacturer in the world, competing with a declining GM and a relatively healthy Toyota.
Your argument that GDP PPP is catching up is completly wrong. Companies are doing badly in Europe too. What did recently happend with Saab? That's certinally a traditional company. I would also prefer to use statistics, rather than listing companies who failed. Although GM didn't fail, Saab did.



Most durable goods, most good machinery are made in Europe. Software and such is made in the US, and good movies, congrats!

The Eurozone is a bigger economy than the US now, and the European Union is the largest economic zone in the world, by large margin. Europe is the most diverse investment region, and the most diverse and exciting market, and it offers far superior oppertunities to the US. How can the US compete with a reunited Europe west(who makes better things) and east(who maker cheaper things)?
I didn't ask what is made in Europe, although certinally not all good machinery is produced in Europe.

I asked you how much in your house is made by your home country. The fact is Europe is heavily dependant on trade, much more than the US too. Hence, you need to compete, because beeing rich today doesn't mean beeing rich tomorrow. If all goods you produce in your own country has low value in the market, then you won't be able to import very much either.

There are future problems for the world, and non of those are European problems, mostly global problems, but also problems created by the type of economy the US is.
You really think you are flawless, do you? Everything you do is perfect? What about the problems I listed, which your answer was interesting and no answer. Aren't those problems? No, they are not opportunities.

You also hate the US, don't you?

You really are delusional.. Market value?
Ahah.. Besides European banks are well capitalized like I said, perhaps its time for you to digg deeper into things instead of just understanding the pretty picture shown at you or scratching the surface...

Anyways, I told you to do it sector by sector.. But you didnt.
I just used the ranking like your source made it. So if I am delusional for using the ranking, then those making the list must also be delusional.

You have pretty much no knowledge of the world, and in your head you think yourself are perfect. You are not. One of the reason EU has got so many problems is because of people like you. People who can never acknowledge their own mistakes. In good times people like you yell out how good you are. When things go badly, then you start denying and when everything is so bad there is no possible way to deny it, then you become cry babies and blame your own mistakes on everyone else.

Why didn't you answer the problems I listed. Do you feel you are too important to answer me? If EU is in so good shape, why don't you answer me, and tell me how they are not problems? And please do it better than last time when you just said they weren't problems, just opportunities and completly ignored some of them.
 
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- Skjuler enorme mengder statsgjeld | Nyhetsarkivet | Børs og finans | E24
Article is not in English, sorry. Cant find the equivilant English one. This however is a serious scandinavian economics newspaper.



He goes on to talk about how the real debts og governments are even higher than they admit, and that they hide real numbers. The official debt is scarily high, but real numbers are even more scary.

The point of this thread,is that Zulauf is talking about something that is inevitable in all scenarios. That the indebted western governments will have to start taxing more and cutting spendings to avoid a complete economic meltdown. He goes on to mention how states have tried to solve a debt faith crisis by taking on more debt and how this further damages the economies.

He talks about how higher taxes will be detrimental to an already vulnerable position we have with weak economies in financial crisis(which is really just a correction IMO).

Topping this with the end of the stimulous spending will create a situation where the population of the west have to face the reality.

What is your prediction?

No prediction, just a comment.

Oh Fy Fan!

I think we should trust government with more.

Give them health care, funding student loans... let them micro manage everything.

They know best and are most responsible with our money.

They'd never do anything to deceive us. Never. Ever.


.
 
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No prediction, just a comment.

Oh Fy Fan!

I think we should trust government with more.

Give them health care, funding student loans... let them micro manage everything.

They know best and are most responsible with our money.

They'd never do anything to deceive us. Never. Ever.


.

This is true as long as the government represent the people. With current democracy, clown election and country elite/rich in power of politics, this is not the case. But ideally yes, the people knows best how to come to verious agreements of how to best micromanage themself.

I am sure in a sane functioning society, everyone can agree that preventive measures such as bans on unhealthy food(defined by the people), and preventive exercise/activity partly funded by the state, would be far better for the people than sitting on their asses all the time eating sugar cane containing things and unhealthy food.

But hey, what your sarcasm is describing Zimmer, is not a sane society. Its a society where the elite feeds the people with addictions, to keep letting them know what the **** ever they want without the people understanding anything, being enslaved by corporations, media, government and such through manipulative media..

But hey, then again, you probably have abolutely no idea about what I am talking about.
 
No, I use the GDP value I would always use. Read your own wikipedia article. They also say that GDP (nominal) is not for comparisons.

Of course it is for comparison. The numbers are real, but who gives a **** about someone on wikipedias OPINION. You my friend need to learn to seperate valuable information from junk.

No it''s not real GDP growth per capita for the US is larger than the EU. EU-15 from 2001 had a average growth rate of 1.5%, while the US had a growth rate of 2.6%.

Those numbers seem true enough. Yet the productive growth per hour is better in Europe, because people are now enjoying expanded rights to hollidays and time of from work, while productivity is increasing.
Its wrong to think a society with high GDP per capita where people have a less good lifestyle is a better place than a society with a better lifestyle and slightly lower GDP.

This is why GDP is fallacy, and doesnt really represent economic and social reality in a good way.

You are delusional about the world and you don't even know the real GDP growth for the US and EU.

:lol:

Funny then that you quote Eurozone numbers and leave EU numbers outside. No I dont know them in my head, but I can easily find them for you on eurostat if you would like?

How the heck should you be able to compare which country who perform best?

Thats the best question you have asked. It should definetely not be defined by GDP only, nor human development index. Statistics cant show the real differences between societies.

I believe a broad measure of different statistics, and all economic indicators, the lifestyle of the people, their leisure, the success of companies, the generosity of the state, diversity and several other things, make up my impression of how successfull a state is.

When you don't know such basic facts, then you should admit that you don't really know very much about the economy. And I'm not even from the US, so why should I be a US nationalist. I'm from Europe. In reality it is you who are the nationalist.

I like discussing with you, you are funny :mrgreen:

Norwegian, just like me.. Norwegians are completely delusional about the reality, and enjoy the same US brainwashing they do in the US(almost).. There is a reason I left Norway, not just one, but many actually.

No, I'm just using iceland as an example to show how wrong you are by using nominal figures. It doesn't matter what state Iceland is, is the productivity halved?

A country like Canada just ranks slightly above United Arab Emirates in GDP PPP, yet people are far richer in Canada on average than they are in UAE, and there is far less poverty.

Learn that production isnt everything, and you will START to understand economics. :2wave:

Your argument that GDP PPP is catching up is completly wrong. Companies are doing badly in Europe too. What did recently happend with Saab? That's certinally a traditional company. I would also prefer to use statistics, rather than listing companies who failed. Although GM didn't fail, Saab did.

No it isnt.. European global purcashing power is amazing. The strong Euro, makes Europeans rich, wherever they go, while Americans with their lousy dollar are poorer and poorer.
Shall I also explain why European purchasing power is increasing and American one decreasing for the same reason?

Lower currency value = higher price of goods from abroad, higher producer prices, higher inflation
Higher currency value = lower cost of goods from abroad, lower producer prices and in general room for REAL income growth(increase wages - inflation).

Saab was owned by GM man... Of course they failed.


I didn't ask what is made in Europe, although certinally not all good machinery is produced in Europe.

Fair enough, but I asked you to look at all sectors in forbes 2000, and you didnt. If you did, and started weighting up the different sectors where European companies dominate vs Americans ones, you would see the favourable European advantage. Being that they dominate more important sectors.

I asked you how much in your house is made by your home country. The fact is Europe is heavily dependant on trade, much more than the US too.

Untrue. Americans imports more from outside its borders than does the EU, while the EU exports more to outside its borders than the US. These two factors completely invalidate your absurd claim, especially taken into consideration that European GDP is higher than the US GDP.

Hence, you need to compete, because beeing rich today doesn't mean beeing rich tomorrow. If all goods you produce in your own country has low value in the market, then you won't be able to import very much either.

Since you are Norwegian, I do advise you to listen to your own words and agree with me, that its time for our country to take action and prepare for our future instead of wasting our time and money.

Good thing durable goods, machinery, chemicals and such are highly valued goods then. More so than media and software.


You really think you are flawless, do you?

Not at all. I know much better than thinking that.

Everything you do is perfect?

No, but I have a much broader area of knowledge to base my conclusions on. Understanding for example ONLY economics since you were educated in that, doesnt mean you actually understand economics better than a person who understands a broad range of topics included economics, without being an expert in any of them, he can compete in all of them, because he have so much additional information.

What about the problems I listed, which your answer was interesting and no answer. Aren't those problems? No, they are not opportunities.

I didnt have time. Sorry!

I also think a population decrease would be a positive thing for our future. Its not about increasing everything, thats not the way to go, the way to go is to make everything better.

I certainly hope things will get much worse, that immigrants will be expelled, that birthrates go down drastically. In the end that would be very positive.

You also hate the US, don't you?

No, but I am not in love and delusional about it.

I just used the ranking like your source made it. So if I am delusional for using the ranking, then those making the list must also be delusional.

Again, I told you to go through every sector, but you didnt.

You have pretty much no knowledge of the world, and in your head you think yourself are perfect. You are not.

Incorrect, incorrect, correct.
 
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