View Poll Results: Which of these tech predictions do you think will be true in 2020?

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  • Computers are embedded everywhere in the environment, such as in clothing.

    7 25.93%
  • People communicate with their computers via speech and gestures, instead of with keyboards.

    14 51.85%
  • Household robots are ubiquitous and reliable.

    3 11.11%
  • Retinal implants allow the blind to see, and spinal implants allow the paralyzed to walk.

    13 48.15%
  • Pinhead-sized cameras are everywhere.

    15 55.56%
  • Computers have made paper books and documents almost completely obsolete.

    10 37.04%
  • Most learning is accomplished through courseware presented by computer-simulated teachers.

    4 14.81%
  • quLanguage translating machines are routinely used in conversations.

    4 14.81%
  • Virtual reality is the preferred sexual medium.

    2 7.41%
  • Computers do most of the vehicle driving.

    9 33.33%
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Thread: What are your technology predictions for the next decade?

  1. #21
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    Re: What are your technology predictions for the next decade?

    Quote Originally Posted by Goldenboy219 View Post
    I believe this to be the century of biology where as the 1900's was the century of chemistry. So I predict medical breakthroughs of all types.
    Want to pay for a subscription to the journal Cell for me? It's only $202 per year. I'll translate the articles for you.

    This quote actually might not be too far off. One of the big discoveries in this decade was induced pluripotent stem cells in mice. You can induce regular cells in your body to become stem cells if treated with the right proteins. All of the research now is trying to fix the problem that we currently have that these stem cells, when implanted into an adult, create the tissues of desire, but also tumors. The answer to that problem may be solved this decade.

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  2. #22
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    Re: What are your technology predictions for the next decade?

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    Just to clarify...I didn't specify in my poll question, but if you think pinhead-sized cameras will be available to ANYONE, go ahead and vote yes for that one.

    Personally I think pinhead-sized cameras will be widely available. I can definitely see governments using smaller and smaller cameras. They would be the ultimate spy weapon, as you could literally be a fly on the wall in the enemy's war room and/or follow a terrorist around every day to see what he's up to. And they'd be a way to watch criminals without being detected.

    Obviously there would be some civil liberties and privacy-related issues here...especially once these cameras become publicly available. It probably wouldn't be long before pinhead-sized cameras started showing up in unsuspecting people's showers.
    One of the advantages of a security camera is the psychological aspect. A criminal is less likely to commit a crime when he sees a camera looking at him.

    I bet the government already uses pin-sized cameras for covert purposes, but for day to day surveillance, I doubt that pin-sized cameras would serve better than the cameras in current use.

    I do suspect though that the cameras will be of a higher quality so that they can make out faces more easily.

  3. #23
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    Re: What are your technology predictions for the next decade?

    Quote Originally Posted by Martin_Kaine View Post
    We are not in a new decade yet. There was no year 0. The new decade doesn't begin until January 1, 2011.


    If you had a new decade party this year, no matter how much fun you had, you and all your guests were partying a lie, and are therefore quite lame.
    That's how it works with centuries, not decades. Decades are referred to by their digit: the sixties, the seventies, etc. Nobody is calling this (coming) decade the "102nd decade".

  4. #24
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    Re: What are your technology predictions for the next decade?

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Computers are embedded everywhere in the environment, such as inside furniture, jewelry, walls, and clothing.
    Probably, yes. Judging from current trends, there is no way to avoid that.

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • People communicate with their computers via speech and gestures instead of with keyboards.
    I kind of did already. Mouse gestures for example. I have added voice commands in my mobile phone. Several companies(sony,nintendo etc) have working gesture solutions for their gaming systems.
    Controlling my computer with voicecommands and reading text instead of typing is going to be very inefficient and noise polluting.

    I dont think it will become a norm in the way you are thinking about it.

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Household robots are ubiquitous and reliable.
    Electrolux trilobite vacum cleaner is a household robot and reliable.

    Irobot also have similar type of cleaning products, more technologies, although not as reliable.


    But hey, this decade is not the decade of robot technology. Definetely not. Biotechnology and medical technology. Do you know why? Because its the most high value industry in the world, with the best paid jobs and the highest necessity. Personally I thought the 00-10 decade would be the bio-med decade, but it turned out to be a nothing decade with just imrovement of old technologies with no actual importance, as oppose to any huge breakthough. Our last decade was wasted on political extremism and government expansions.


    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Retinal implants allow the blind to see, and spinal implants coupled with mechanical legs allow the paralyzed to walk.
    Yes. Although not that way. There is already created a prototype artificial eye that has proven to make blind people be able to see.
    I believe more in spinal surgery and use of advanced electrical works to repair spines and allowed paralyzed to walk, rather than use of rather primitive mechanical technology.

    I in other words believe more in our electrical technology and find our mechanical technology rather primitive. Which is also the reason I dont believe this will be a robotic decade.

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Pinhead-sized cameras are everywhere, forcing society to reconsider its definition of privacy.
    Yes. Not only that, but literally bugs with cameras and advanced surveilance teqnique that will render the state supreme and the people captives.

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Computers have made paper books and documents almost completely obsolete.
    What kind of idiot would ruin his eyes reading a book in electronic format. No thanks. The technology will be big, but definetely not render paper books obsolte. Documents however. Hmm.

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Most learning is accomplished through adaptive courseware presented by computer-simulated teachers.
    Considering the lack of integreation of already current technology into general education, I highly doubt that concept. Who would want that anyways? It will certainly supplement. But passive learning is not as good as active/communicative learning, and will not be for many decades when computer simulated teaching is made active.

    I mean this the same way that you dont learn something nearly as good by watching it on TV as you do by actually doing the thing.

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Language translating machines are of much higher quality, and are routinely used in conversations.
    Nah. Limited usability. I certainly hope this will be worked into mobile phones, but the technology at the moment is rather primitive.

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Virtual reality is the preferred sexual medium, since it is convincing, safe, and enhances the experience.


    Nah man.. You just need to get laid.

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Computers do most of the vehicle driving—humans are in fact prohibited from driving on highways unassisted. As a result, there are very few transportation accidents.
    I think there will be more computer control, yet more accident because the technology is introduced in too primitive a stage, because of commercial considerations.
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  5. #25
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    Re: What are your technology predictions for the next decade?

    Quote Originally Posted by Martin_Kaine View Post
    We are not in a new decade yet. There was no year 0. The new decade doesn't begin until January 1, 2011.


    If you had a new decade party this year, no matter how much fun you had, you and all your guests were partying a lie, and are therefore quite lame.
    There was a year 0.. You think everything came to be in year 1?
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  6. #26
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    Re: What are your technology predictions for the next decade?

    One prediction: The RIAA, MPAA, and BSA will still fail to stop piracy no matter what absurd technical means they try.
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  7. #27
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    Re: What are your technology predictions for the next decade?

    To me, making papers almost obsolete is the most likely. Its like using candles. A majority of the population uses candles for decoration or non-practical purposes.
    Or if candles were to be used for practical purposes, it would be because electricity is out or other forms of light are unavailable. In other words, electricity comes first before candle light.

    I would say the same about papers. We will probably get to a point where people use papers for (for a lack of a better word) sentimental value or non-practicality; or like I said, because electricity is not available.

    This is especially important for many careers and fields in which papers add burden or slow things down, like a hospital. Since I will be in the medical field, this affects me directly. Keeping track of patients, documentation, legalities, financial info, it should all be on computer if that tech is available.


    Next I would say the interactivity of common objects to the point that everything has a computer. Okay not everything, but maybe things like chalkboards, window blinds, the kitchen, doors, things like that. The best example I can think of is in the Bond film "Quantum of Solace," in M's office, one of her assistants is using a computerized table to show information, all controlled by finger touches; no papers, no mess, no clutter, no problem.


  8. #28
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    Re: What are your technology predictions for the next decade?

    I think that most of the "advances" will be entering by 2015 but not until 2030 will they be commonplace. Its all a matter of economics. I'd rather see social strides, better communications, more honesty. And we need serious upgrades in respect and tolerance..

  9. #29
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    Re: What are your technology predictions for the next decade?

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Computers are embedded everywhere in the environment, such as inside furniture, jewelry, walls, and clothing.
    Already happening to some extent, so I think it likely.
    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • People communicate with their computers via speech and gestures instead of with keyboards.
    I think this more likely: "People communicating with their computers via speech and gestures in addition to keyboards."
    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Household robots are ubiquitous and reliable.
    Unlikely, IMO.
    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Retinal implants allow the blind to see, and spinal implants coupled with mechanical legs allow the paralyzed to walk.
    As far as I am aware, retinal implants are already being tested in humans, so that is quite likely. I think testing of spinal implants is also under way, although at a lesser level of advancement.
    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Pinhead-sized cameras are everywhere, forcing society to reconsider its definition of privacy.
    If they are aware of them... I think this prediction possible, but not probable.
    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Computers have made paper books and documents almost completely obsolete.
    Perhaps. I personally prefer reading an actual book, but who knows?
    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Most learning is accomplished through adaptive courseware presented by computer-simulated teachers.
    I doubt this unless major advancements are made. Human contact in learning seems to me to be of high importance. However, I think this prediction likely in a supportive role.
    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Language translating machines are of much higher quality, and are routinely used in conversations.
    Perhaps. More likely in my mind for non-verbal conversations. (like IM/texting, etc.).
    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Virtual reality is the preferred sexual medium, since it is convincing, safe, and enhances the experience.
    Unlikely, IMO. A novelty, perhaps, or something for those with "interesting" sexual interests, but unlikely to be the preferred medium.
    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Computers do most of the vehicle driving—humans are in fact prohibited from driving on highways unassisted. As a result, there are very few transportation accidents.
    I doubt this. Perhaps in 30 years, but not 10. I personally am currently driving a vehicle at least 10 years old, and unless major changes in job availability (how close to your home , etc.) and travel methods (if more mass transport were put in place, or alternative modes of transportation) occur, it seems likely that a portion of the population will be doing the same in the next 10 years.
    Last edited by The Mark; 01-10-10 at 09:43 PM.
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  10. #30
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    Re: What are your technology predictions for the next decade?

    One more thing I wanted to ask/clarify, since it looks like almost no one agreed with the "household robots are ubiquitous and reliable" prediction (including me):

    "Household robots" don't necessarily have to look or act like Rosie from The Jetsons. Think about the Roomba or the iMower...do you think there will be similar machines in ten years for most other household chores?

    Personally I still say no. Most tasks are much more complicated than sweeping the floor or mowing the lawn (which can easily be mapped on a grid), and even with an extra ten years technology I can't foresee this happening. Maybe they'll exist for a few other simple tasks like cleaning the kitchen/bathroom counters...but I really doubt we'll have robots than can do our laundry, pick up our junk, or cook our meals.
    Last edited by Kandahar; 01-10-10 at 10:01 PM.
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