View Poll Results: Which of these tech predictions do you think will be true in 2020?

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  • Computers are embedded everywhere in the environment, such as in clothing.

    7 25.93%
  • People communicate with their computers via speech and gestures, instead of with keyboards.

    14 51.85%
  • Household robots are ubiquitous and reliable.

    3 11.11%
  • Retinal implants allow the blind to see, and spinal implants allow the paralyzed to walk.

    13 48.15%
  • Pinhead-sized cameras are everywhere.

    15 55.56%
  • Computers have made paper books and documents almost completely obsolete.

    10 37.04%
  • Most learning is accomplished through courseware presented by computer-simulated teachers.

    4 14.81%
  • quLanguage translating machines are routinely used in conversations.

    4 14.81%
  • Virtual reality is the preferred sexual medium.

    2 7.41%
  • Computers do most of the vehicle driving.

    9 33.33%
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Thread: What are your technology predictions for the next decade?

  1. #11
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    Re: What are your technology predictions for the next decade?

    Quote Originally Posted by Ikari View Post
    Aye, they do. It's currently passive I believe. The goal is to make it active. And the Real ID act was meant to expand that technology to our driver's license.
    Seems like I read that the passport ID cards had active RFID, but the designers left the information completely unencrypted.

    I swear, it takes government to royally screw something up that badly.

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    Re: What are your technology predictions for the next decade?

    Quote Originally Posted by Coronado View Post
    Seems like I read that the passport ID cards had active RFID, but the designers left the information completely unencrypted.

    I swear, it takes government to royally screw something up that badly.
    I'm not sure it's active yet. I know the goal is to eventually have a system by which a device can actively read the passports of incoming people on a plane.
    You know the time is right to take control, we gotta take offense against the status quo

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  3. #13
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    Re: What are your technology predictions for the next decade?

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Computers are embedded everywhere in the environment, such as inside furniture, jewelry, walls, and clothing.
    I own a shirt that has a video of Pong being played on it, an actually video, not just a picture. I don't doubt this at all.

    • People communicate with their computers via speech and gestures instead of with keyboards.
    Project Natal is already making this likely, but even with advancements in NUI, GUI will never be obsolete, just like CLI is still used.

    • Household robots are ubiquitous and reliable.
    Doubt this one. Maybe basic ones like Roomba, but yeah, doubt it.

    • Retinal implants allow the blind to see, and spinal implants coupled with mechanical legs allow the paralyzed to walk.
    I have no doubts about this one. Whether this is a generally available thing, or just something that is available to test subjects, is another matter.

    • Pinhead-sized cameras are everywhere, forcing society to reconsider its definition of privacy.
    When I voted on this, I was thinking you meant people would be using pin sized cameras as personal recording devices, not the government using it. I doubt the gov will actually install smaller and smaller cameras. But as for people themselves using them, well, I have a camera the size of a small pen on my desk.

    • Computers have made paper books and documents almost completely obsolete.
    Nope. We have had E-Books for longer than you might think. Some things will never go away.

    • Most learning is accomplished through adaptive courseware presented by computer-simulated teachers.
    Humans can't be easily replaced by computers when it comes to education.
    • Language translating machines are of much higher quality, and are routinely used in conversations.
    Probably they will be better, but being used a lot? Probably not.
    • Virtual reality is the preferred sexual medium, since it is convincing, safe, and enhances the experience.
    We are a long way from having this technology.

    • Computers do most of the vehicle driving—humans are in fact prohibited from driving on highways unassisted. As a result, there are very few transportation accidents.
    Nope. Driving is much much harder than you might think. There a millions of observations and calculations that must be made each minute, and computers are a long way from doing that.

  4. #14
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    Re: What are your technology predictions for the next decade?

    I believe this to be the century of biology where as the 1900's was the century of chemistry. So I predict medical breakthroughs of all types.
    It is not very unreasonable that the rich should contribute to the public expense, not only in proportion to their revenue, but something more than in that proportion.
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  5. #15
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    Post Re: What are your technology predictions for the next decade?

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Computers are embedded everywhere in the environment, such as inside furniture, jewelry, walls, and clothing.
    I would say computers are embedded (almost) anywhere in the environment. By the end of the decade computer dust will be available (though i do not know how expensive it will be.) It would be able to work together for specific tasks like motion detectors and determine whether particular cars on the road are speeding, be able to communicate with other types of computers such as Web Phones, Out Patient Medical Services monitors , etc.

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • People communicate with their computers via speech and gestures instead of with keyboards.
    will be primaraly used for adding emoticons to email if that is still around.

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Household robots are ubiquitous and reliable.
    Maybe such things as a motorized guttering cleaners, automated lawn mowers, and a rudimentary guard Quadruped (TM) which monitors the house while house is vacant and then notifies the security company of intruders. It could even tell the burglars that the police is comming and to give up.

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Retinal implants allow the blind to see, and spinal implants coupled with mechanical legs allow the paralyzed to walk.
    I read recently that a breakthrough in retinal implants would allow people who had damage to the receptors in the eye to have the implant replace the receptors and then it would communicate through the rest of the system that is in the eye. I don't know about the spinal implant maybe regeneration of spinal nerves would be more practical.


    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Pinhead-sized cameras are everywhere, forcing society to reconsider its definition of privacy.
    Quite probably true but to what extent ( Remember to replace anywhere with everywhere.) I imagine would be used in area that are being renovated that border dangerous neighborhoods and places like malls, some community buildings, some factories, business offices, etc.


    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Computers have made paper books and documents almost completely obsolete.
    More accurately computers have made causal documents (some informational pamphlets, any document that has no more use than a few hours or so, and adverts ) and some books like basic textbooks , pulp romance novels, most magazines, nearly obsolete.

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Most learning is accomplished through adaptive courseware presented by computer-simulated teachers.
    Probably not though advanced courseware would supplement existing tools and would possibly reduce some of the time a teacher would need to instruct some of the students. Give it a little longer and maybe it will come true.

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Language translating machines are of much higher quality, and are routinely used in conversations.
    Possibly, if one is still careful of idioms, dialect, and slang usage i.e. professionals may only apply. This means doctors, police officers, and any professionals which may have to communicate with other professionals in another language.


    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Virtual reality is the preferred sexual medium, since it is convincing, safe, and enhances the experience.
    I predict that at the end of the decade Futurists will predict that at the end of the next decade "Virtual reality is the prefered sexual medium, since it is convincing, safe, and enhances the experience."



    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    • Computers do most of the vehicle driving—humans are in fact prohibited from driving on highways unassisted. As a result, there are very few transportation accidents.
    Maybe in 30 years. That idea goes back to the Domed Cities in the City of Tomorrow. And from an American Standpoint just as likely as the Domed Cities.

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    What do YOU think technology will be like ten years from now?
    A large number of products will be designed better. Toothpaste that is much more effective ( imagine an ingredient that rids the coating of dental bacteria and another that coats the teeth to prevent bacteria of reapplying).

    The use in "phobic" substances making life easier and less stressful (imagine packages in which you can get every drop of product out of it.)
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    Re: What are your technology predictions for the next decade?

    I would like to see rocket packs for transportation purposes.....We have had the technology since 1961 but the automobile and oil companies hold the patents......Can you imagine getting up in the morning strapping on your rocket pack, elevating about 10 ft or so and going to work or really anywhere.........
    "God Bless Our Troops in Harms Way."

  7. #17
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    Re: What are your technology predictions for the next decade?

    Quote Originally Posted by Navy Pride View Post
    I would like to see rocket packs for transportation purposes.....We have had the technology since 1961 but the automobile and oil companies hold the patents......Can you imagine getting up in the morning strapping on your rocket pack, elevating about 10 ft or so and going to work or really anywhere.........
    Even if possible, that doesn't sound very safe. Aim the rocket pack in the wrong direction and you suddenly have third-degree burns all over yourself.
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  8. #18
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    Re: What are your technology predictions for the next decade?

    Here is Microsoft's interpretation of the world in 2020. It's not quite as optimistic as Kurzweil's overall vision, although a lot of these predictions do overlap with his. What do you think? Personally I think this one is more likely (as a whole) than the predictions I cited in the OP...I think almost everything in this video will happen by 2020.

    [ame="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uug8m0BHzZo&feature=fvw"]YouTube- TECHNOLOGY IN THE YEAR 2020[/ame]
    Last edited by Kandahar; 01-07-10 at 11:25 PM.
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  9. #19
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    Re: What are your technology predictions for the next decade?

    Quote Originally Posted by ScottD View Post
    When I voted on this, I was thinking you meant people would be using pin sized cameras as personal recording devices, not the government using it. I doubt the gov will actually install smaller and smaller cameras. But as for people themselves using them, well, I have a camera the size of a small pen on my desk.
    Just to clarify...I didn't specify in my poll question, but if you think pinhead-sized cameras will be available to ANYONE, go ahead and vote yes for that one.

    Personally I think pinhead-sized cameras will be widely available. I can definitely see governments using smaller and smaller cameras. They would be the ultimate spy weapon, as you could literally be a fly on the wall in the enemy's war room and/or follow a terrorist around every day to see what he's up to. And they'd be a way to watch criminals without being detected.

    Obviously there would be some civil liberties and privacy-related issues here...especially once these cameras become publicly available. It probably wouldn't be long before pinhead-sized cameras started showing up in unsuspecting people's showers.
    Last edited by Kandahar; 01-07-10 at 11:19 PM.
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  10. #20
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    Re: What are your technology predictions for the next decade?

    Computers are embedded everywhere in the environment, such as in clothing.
    No I do not see that happening. UNless they figure a way to make such devices washable,reliable and cheap.

    People communicate with their computers via speech and gestures, instead of with keyboards.
    I see voice recognition being part of a computer but not replacing the keyboard.

    Household robots are ubiquitous and reliable.
    If you mean things like robotic vacuum cleaners and mowers then yes.

    Retinal implants allow the blind to see, and spinal implants allow the paralyzed to walk.
    Maybe a retinal implant but not a spinal implant. They have Cochlear implants for people who lost their hearing or people born deaf.So a similar device for seeing sounds possible in the near future.


    Pinhead-sized cameras are everywhere.
    We already have those things now, so it is possible for them to be everywhere.

    Computers have made paper books and documents almost completely obsolete.
    I doubt it. People like books, Books can become valuable. Books can not easily be erased as something on a disk can or memory chip. I can see more and more people downloading PDFs for the fraction of the price of a book just like they do now to a PDA type device.

    Most learning is accomplished through courseware presented by computer-simulated teachers.
    I can see it being alternative to real eduction just like those online degrees that you can earn but not replacing actual teachers.


    quLanguage translating machines are routinely used in conversations.
    Businesses maybe, but not personal use.


    Virtual reality is the preferred sexual medium.
    Never.Only for lonely people, people with fetishes that can not really ever happen in real life, people with non-legal sexual attractions and sex addicts.

    Computers do most of the vehicle driving.
    They may have that stuff for parallel parking but I think it will be a very long time before someone is willing to put their life in the hands of a machine running on its own. I think they already do some that stuff on passenger rail service,but driving on a track is nowhere near comparable to driving on the streets.
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