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2010 Midterm Election Predictions

What do you think the results are going to be in 2010

  • Democrats gain in house and senate

    Votes: 2 6.7%

  • Democrats gain in house, senate relatively unchanged

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Republicans gain in house but not a majority, senate relatively unchanged

    Votes: 18 60.0%

  • Republicans gain a majority in house, senate relatively unchanged

    Votes: 8 26.7%

  • Status quo, no significant changes in house or senate

    Votes: 2 6.7%
  • Total voters
    30
Redress said:
I have talked about this a few times actually. The biggest problem with the GOP right now is the people who are talking for the GOP. Every time Rush, Coulter, Steele and Palin open their mouths, they say something either so stupid, or so inflammatory, that they turn off people. So step one would be get some actual effective party leaders.

Secondly, stop with the over the top rhetoric. The GOP is most effective when they stick to simple, straightforward political messages. I forget who it was standing at a podium with the stimulus bill, saying that no one had read it all, and yet they had to vote on it. That was effective.

lastly, instead of just being anti-democrat, really put forward your own proposals, and work to publicize them. When Steele is asked what the republican plan is, and he says he does not do legislation, he just makes you all look silly. When the house senator from Michigan(I forget his name) is on MSNBC talking about a health bill he was working on, and offering concrete proposals, he came off as effective.

The problem I see with republicans as far as elections is not their stand on issues as much as their presentation.
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On the other hand, Dems were anti-Repub for 8 years.
 
Holy crap, when did Truth Detectors kid join the forum?
 
Redress said:
If I had to guess, I think the republicans make a small gain in the house, and the Senate will be basically as it is now, with democrats maybe gaining 1 seat.
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That is exactly what I see happening.

In the House, Rasmussen has Republicans barely ahead, with everyone else showing Democrats to be barely ahead. Since in the past, Republicans have made huge gains in the months leading up to the actual elections, they will probably end up gaining many seats. They are far too much in the minority now to gain a majority, however.

As for the Senate, Republicans and Democrats seem equally vulnerable:
senjuly.PNG

(Listed in order of vulnerability, from FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right)
 
Bassman said:
So aside from the Democrats ramming this bill down our throats,which they will, what hope will the GOP have of:

1) retaking either or both houses of Congress

2) Fielding a decent, Conservative candidate for 2012

and


3) What of the future of the GOP??
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So long as the GOP doesn't learn from their mistakes and the Democrats don't make a massive, blindingly-stupid mistake, they're never going to retake anything. The GOP doesn't field conservatives anymore, they field neo-cons who are fundamentalist Christian Democrats. They don't believe in fiscal responsibility and keeping the government out of our lives, the GOP hasn't been like that in 20+ years. They've sold the party out to the evangelical Christian right-wing and until they actually become real conservatives again, I really don't want to see them in office ever again.

They haven't earned it.
 
Bassman said:
The problem as I see it, is that the Libs were the ones who started this catterwalling when they lost in 1994, but especially in the 2000 election. since then, all we heard were unrelenting attacks on President GW Bush 24/7. So I think, as guilty of it as I am, we do need to take a breather and reassess our priorites.
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You mean... like Rush and Beck and the rest of the Republican mouthpieces are doing right this second with Obama?

Pot, meet kettle. :doh

The GOP has no room whatsoever to claim the moral high ground, they've put their foot in it more times than I can count and they're always quick to point out when someone else even remotely slights them. Yes, they do need to take a breather and reassess their priorities, they had that opportunity after they lost the Presidency, but instead of learning from their mistakes, they rededicated themselves to the same mistakes that cost them the election in the first place.

They're just not that bright these days.
 
Bassman said:
So then tell me. Since you're all giddy with the current incompetent empty skulls in DC, what is your IDEAL government in DC??
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Certainly not the incompetent empty skulls we had in the Bush years. I'd be more than happy to find non-empty, entirely competent skulls, but those people know better than to run for high public office.
 
The behavior and records of almost the entire house and senate has been deplorable. If I could get the result I most desired it would be for each and every incumbent to lose his/her seat. Pelosi and Reid et.al. should be tried for their actions against the US in a time of war and exiled to Cuba.
 
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Redress said:
I think you are off your meds.
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Could not agree more..What makes these conservatives the way they are?
Could it be that deep in their psyche they know that they are wrong, but are unable to change??
 
How in the **** did this thread manage to get 688 votes in it?
 
Caine said:
How in the **** did this thread manage to get 688 votes in it?
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23 members voted in it, which should tell you something.
 
Bassman said:
So lemme ask. You favor a permanent Democrat majority with no opposition except a few token Conservatives?? Sick indeed!!
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I hate to burst your bubble, but the Republicans are acting like they really don't want to re-gain control. When they start choosing candidates like Paul (KY), Martinez (FL), Angle (NV) and Buck (CO), they are unduly challenging themselves (perhaps shooting themselves in the foot) in otherwise gimme races....
 
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upsideguy said:
I hate to burst your bubble, but the Republicans are acting like they really don't want to re-gain control. When they start choosing candidates like Paul (KY), Martinez (FL), Angle (NV) and Buck (CO), they are unduly challenging themselves (perhaps shooting themselves in the foot) in otherwise gimme races....
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You left out the whackjob Fiorini in California. Tom Campbell would have beaten Boxer. Instead, the GOP in California chose a woman fired from Hewlett-Packard for her incompetence. Is that really the best the GOP has in California?
 
I chose "Republicans gain in House, Senate relatively unchanged" because that is closest to what I think will happen, but not quite.

I believe that the GOP will make gains in both House and Senate. Dems will still control both houses, but Republicans will be able to effectively filibuster ALL Democratic proposals, and I believe that this is what they will do. My prediction is that the GOP will pretty much shut down the legislative process, except on a very few bills. I also predict that, as a result, Democrats will at least give serious consideration as to changing the number of what constitutes a filibuster, which, IMHO, is a dangerous move.
 
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I've already posted predictions in another thread. I think Democrats hold a majority in both houses.
 
danarhea said:
I chose "Republicans gain in House, Senate relatively unchanged" because that is closest to what I think will happen, but not quite.

I believe that the GOP will make gains in both House and Senate. Dems will still control both houses, but Republicans will be able to effectively filibuster ALL Democratic proposals, and I believe that this is what they will do. My prediction is that the GOP will pretty much shut down the legislative process, except on a very few bills. I also predict that, as a result, Democrats will at least give serious consideration as to changing the number of what constitutes a filibuster, which, IMHO, is a dangerous move.
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I was looking at how many voted, and realized I did a poor job with the poll questions. Maybe I should do a new one, this one is quite old.
 
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