.turkey will capitulate to whom ? Turkey has been playing the other great role in this war game but I dont know for now what it will lead to in long term but I can say turkey is being pushed into a trouble with islamists no matter what kind of alliance we are in with them or US
"Sovereignty is not given, it is taken." ATATÜRK
32 “Whoever acknowledges me before others, I will also acknowledge before my Father in heaven. 33 But whoever disowns me before others, I will disown before my Father in heaven.
Greatness lies not in being strong, but in the right use of strength - Henry Ward Beecher
Baby sister, I was born game and I intend to go out that way - Rooster Cogburn
Bashar al-Assad was (is) only an issue for the US because of whom he primarily aligns himself with. Russia. There is a history there between Syria and Russia going back long enough involving everything from weapons to energy, so far back that we have several instances of Russia using their UN Security Council position to obstruct resolutions concerning Syria (namely the force the Syrian government uses against opposition, that goes back to before the civil war and is a reason of many for it starting in the first place.) France, the UK, Germany, US, Italy and others have all wanted stronger actions against the Syrian government for years now, and it speaks volumes as to why the US took such an awkward role today. Think how the US protects Israel, similar story with how Russia protects Syria.
It points to right back to our long term hypocritical and confusing foreign policy.
As an example we overlook the power the Saudi Arabian government use against their opposition over the years but look at Syria as a problem for taking similar action. Exclusively because with Syria there is little in it for the US, or most European countries, for looking the other way. If Syria was to the US what they are to Russia, I guarantee we would be arming the Syrian government to the teeth against their various opposition in this multiple way long term civil war.
The truth is al-Assad in power in Syria is far better than ISIS being in control in any sense, but the question is inherently flawed. The US is responsible for ISIS but not because of Syria, but because of how we left Iraq behind. A weakened government and an even weaker military power allowed ISIS to capitalize, a military in Iraq especially that dropped their US issued weapons and ran like hell back to Baghdad at the first sight of ISIS leaving the Kurds to defend themselves (as usual.)
ISIS is a development of pure opportunity and it took both al-Assad unable to control his own population resulting in faction civil war *and* the US for allowing Iraq to become an even bigger political fiasco by removing Saddam Hussein and installing pure weakness. The US has plenty of culpability, but we are not the only ones responsible for ISIS being able to capitalize.
"Every time something really bad happens, people cry out for safety, and the government answers by taking rights away from good people." - Penn Jillette.
Both situations are consequences of our involvement in Iraq.
The best we can hope to achieve is to learn the lesson of unintended consequences and avoid such entanglements in the future.
That said, Assad is a manageable player. I'm not aware of any realistic replacements. His family has been running the show there for nearly 50 years.
"A nation can survive its fools, and even the ambitious. But it cannot survive treason from within. An enemy at the gates is less formidable, for he is known and carries his banner openly. But the traitor moves amongst those within the gate freely, his sly whispers rustling through all the alleys, heard in the very halls of government itself. For the traitor appears not a traitor; he speaks in accents familiar to his victims, and he wears their face and their arguments, he appeals to the baseness that lies deep in the hearts of all men. He rots the soul of a nation, he works secretly and unknown in the night to undermine the pillars of the city, he infects the body politic so that it can no longer resist. A murder is less to fear"
Cicero Marcus Tullius