I realize it is way way too early to predict who will win their party's nomination. But it seems to me that the mainstream media wants Jeb Bush to be the Republican nominee. They seem to be promoting his candidacy. They would love to have the matchup because it would be a money maker for them. A presidential heavy weight fight.
Here are the polling options:
Your theory is bunk
Your theory is correct but the matchup won't happen
Your theory is correct and the matchup WILL happen
I am entering my own prediction