View Poll Results: If President Obama were running for re-election today, could he win?

Voters
44. You may not vote on this poll
  • Yes, absolutely.

    13 29.55%
  • Maybe, but it'd have to be a pretty crappy opponent.

    17 38.64%
  • Phfft! No way. He's too damaged now.

    11 25.00%
  • Other

    3 6.82%
Page 1 of 4 123 ... LastLast
Results 1 to 10 of 35

Thread: If President Obama were running for re-election today, could he win?

  1. #1
    Phonetic Mnemonic ©
    radcen's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2011
    Location
    Look to your right... I'm that guy.
    Last Seen
    Today @ 01:10 AM
    Lean
    Centrist
    Posts
    33,438

    If President Obama were running for re-election today, could he win?

    If President Obama were running for re-election today, could he win?

    In a literal sense, "...it depends on the opponent" is the correct answer, as all things are relative. But, this question is intended to explore the man's stature in the political world in general, and how it has fallen and/or survived.
    If you claim sexual harassment to be wrong, yet you defend anyone on your side for any reason,
    then you are a hypocrite and everything you say on the matter is just babble.

  2. #2
    Banned
    Join Date
    Jun 2013
    Location
    Melbourne Florida
    Last Seen
    04-18-17 @ 03:15 AM
    Gender
    Lean
    Other
    Posts
    16,763

    Re: If President Obama were running for re-election today, could he win?

    Mostly because he clearly relies on stupid voters. And really the republicans have no one to put up against him.

  3. #3
    Sage
    Skeptic Bob's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Last Seen
    Today @ 02:12 AM
    Gender
    Lean
    Libertarian - Left
    Posts
    10,284

    Re: If President Obama were running for re-election today, could he win?

    Maybe. I mean is he really any worse now than he was when he was re-elected just a couple years ago?

  4. #4
    Phonetic Mnemonic ©
    radcen's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2011
    Location
    Look to your right... I'm that guy.
    Last Seen
    Today @ 01:10 AM
    Lean
    Centrist
    Posts
    33,438

    Re: If President Obama were running for re-election today, could he win?

    Quote Originally Posted by BrewerBob View Post
    Maybe. I mean is he really any worse now than he was when he was re-elected just a couple years ago?
    I would say he's not any worse, but I would say that the populace is wiser to his shortcomings.
    If you claim sexual harassment to be wrong, yet you defend anyone on your side for any reason,
    then you are a hypocrite and everything you say on the matter is just babble.

  5. #5
    Sage
    Skeptic Bob's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Last Seen
    Today @ 02:12 AM
    Gender
    Lean
    Libertarian - Left
    Posts
    10,284

    Re: If President Obama were running for re-election today, could he win?

    Quote Originally Posted by radcen View Post
    I would say he's not any worse, but I would say that the populace is wiser to his shortcomings.
    That's fair.

  6. #6
    Guru
    soot's Avatar
    Join Date
    Apr 2013
    Last Seen
    04-25-17 @ 03:28 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Independent
    Posts
    4,308

    Re: If President Obama were running for re-election today, could he win?

    I said "yes, absolutely".

    If there had been an option for something like, "yes, unless he ran against a very strong opponent" I would probably have taken that.

    I'm not really encouraged that the Republicans have anyone who could realistically touch him in spite of his many flaws.
    “Now it is not good for the Christian’s health to hustle the Aryan brown,
    For the Christian riles, and the Aryan smiles and he weareth the Christian down;
    And the end of the fight is a tombstone white with the name of the late deceased,
    And the epitaph drear: “A Fool lies here who tried to hustle the East.”

  7. #7
    Sage
    Perotista's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2013
    Location
    Georgia
    Last Seen
    Yesterday @ 11:26 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Other
    Posts
    17,961
    Blog Entries
    25

    Re: If President Obama were running for re-election today, could he win?

    Quote Originally Posted by radcen View Post
    If President Obama were running for re-election today, could he win?

    In a literal sense, "...it depends on the opponent" is the correct answer, as all things are relative. But, this question is intended to explore the man's stature in the political world in general, and how it has fallen and/or survived.
    Let’s rephrase the question, could a president win re-election with a 40% approval rating which the president is at today? Obama won re-election with a 52% approval rating back in 2012. There is more to it than just approval ratings as I think one must also take into consideration party affiliation/identification strength. That information I have, but it would take time to compile both approval and party affiliation. So let’s just look at the approval rating
    .
    Bush the second was at 53% approval when he won re-election in November of 2004, Bush won a fairly close race 51-48%. Obama’s re-election he won 51-47 with almost the identical approval rating.
    Clinton was at 58% in 1996, he won easily over Bob Dole
    Bush the first 1992 was at 34% and he lost decisively
    Reagan 1984 was at 61% and it was no contest
    Carter 1980 was at 37% and he got whopped.
    Ford is more an asterisk in that he was completing Nixon’s second term, but he was at 45% when he narrowly lost to Jimmy Carter.
    Nixon in 1972 was at 62% when he gave McGovern a drubbing
    JFK was assassinated and LBJ decided not to run.
    Eisenhower was at 68% and another easy winner

    This is where presidential approval ratings end that are of any use. I think we can safely assume the closer to the 50% mark in the approval ratings the closer the election is for the winner. But every president with an approval rating of 50% or higher above won his re-election bid. We can safely assume that any president below 40% is a loser as seen in Carter and Bush the first. Ford barely lost, he was below 50% at 45%. Can we safely assume that any president at 45% approval rating or lower would lose, no. One example is just that, an example. But I do think a president running for re-election at least has to be in the upper 40’s. Perhaps 48% is the cut off, but that is just an educated guess, SWAG.

    To be certain I would have to go back and add the political party affiliation to the equation. But just based on the above if President Obama was running for re-election today, he would lose.
    This Reform Party member thinks it is high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first and their political party further down the line. But for way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.

  8. #8
    Sage
    Cephus's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Location
    CA
    Last Seen
    Yesterday @ 10:09 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Slightly Conservative
    Posts
    29,803

    Re: If President Obama were running for re-election today, could he win?

    I don't think so, given that his party just took a major defeat in the recent elections, had he been running in that same election, he would have been taken down by a reasonable opponent, just like most Congressmen were. The American people have realized that Obama's policies just aren't working. That doesn't mean that a Republican's policies would fare any better, or a third-party candidate's policies would far any better, but that's how American voters work. They're not happy, vote in someone else... ANYONE else... and then repeat the same process a couple of years later.
    There is nothing demonstrably true that religion can provide the world that cannot be achieved more rationally through entirely secular means.

    Blog me! YouTube me! VidMe me!

  9. #9
    Sage
    Perotista's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2013
    Location
    Georgia
    Last Seen
    Yesterday @ 11:26 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Other
    Posts
    17,961
    Blog Entries
    25

    Re: If President Obama were running for re-election today, could he win?

    Quote Originally Posted by BrewerBob View Post
    Maybe. I mean is he really any worse now than he was when he was re-elected just a couple years ago?
    The voters think so. President Obama's approval rating was at 52% in November of 2012, today it is at 40%. I think more important than that national average is independents gave Obama a 47% approval back in 2012 vs a 36% approval today. Instead of basically splitting down the middle as Independents did in 2012, that block of voters probably would go overwhelmingly to Obama opponent today.
    This Reform Party member thinks it is high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first and their political party further down the line. But for way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.

  10. #10
    Sage


    Join Date
    Feb 2013
    Location
    SW Virginia
    Last Seen
    Yesterday @ 05:19 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Conservative
    Posts
    18,267

    Re: If President Obama were running for re-election today, could he win?

    Could he? Yes. Would he? No. Just look at the posts here already. Most are evaluating whether he's actually bad enough to not warrant re-election or not. I think the country has had enough of his schtick.

Page 1 of 4 123 ... LastLast

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •