- Joined
- Sep 3, 2011
- Messages
- 34,817
- Reaction score
- 18,576
- Location
- Look to your right... I'm that guy.
- Gender
- Undisclosed
- Political Leaning
- Centrist
Ernst is indeed catching crap for not working with the local press, but in a way I don't blame her. It's not like she's going to get their nomination anyway, and she can better control her message if she does it herself. Newspapers and such have become so yesterday that I wonder how much effect that really has anymore.In Iowa, polls are close to a tie and early voting numbers look pretty good for Braley. Democratic support has slightly overperformed polls here in the past so I think that might push him ahead as well as the blowback Ernst is receiving in the local press for not responding to their requests for interviews.
Braley's biggest failure, in my estimation, is that he has run an almost 100% negative campaign against Ernst, and almost nothing positive about himself. Negative ads work (regardless what most people say), but I think the depth of his negativity might have a negative effect on him.
Ernst has run negative ads as well, but not nearly as much.
Even with all that, I am still predicting a Braley win, albeit close.