View Poll Results: Who wins the Senate next week?

Voters
46. You may not vote on this poll
  • Im a right leaning American, the Republicans win.

    23 50.00%
  • Im a left leaning American, the Republicans win.

    14 30.43%
  • Im not American, the Republicans win.

    1 2.17%
  • Im a right leaning American, the Democrats win.

    2 4.35%
  • Im a left leaning American, the Democrats win.

    6 13.04%
  • Im not American, the Democrats win.

    0 0%
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Thread: Who wins the senate?

  1. #41
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    Re: Who wins the senate?

    Quote Originally Posted by polgara View Post
    Greetings, Pero.

    I'd like to go to sleep until then, but I'm so curious I know I can't! So...... : The mail has really been packed this time with campaign flyers, too - unusual for a midterm! I'm already dreading 2016!
    Good Morning Pol, Quick rule of thumb for those who want to go to bed early. From a Georgia and Kentucky, if the Republicans retain them and pick up West Virginia plus either North Carolina or New Hampshire or both. Go to bed with a 90% plus confidence the Republicans will win the senate.

    On the other hand if the Democrats can pick up either Kentucky or Georgia or both and hang onto North Carolina and New Hampshire, go to be as the odds on the Democrats at least retaining a 50-50 split with Biden providing the tie breaking vote is 80%.

    Now there are other combinations to include Georgia going to a runoff that changes the above. But as a rule of thumb for those who want to go to be early.
    This Reform Party member thinks it is high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first and their political party further down the line. But for way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.

  2. #42
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    Re: Who wins the senate?

    I dearly hope the GOP does take the Senate by a vote or two margin. It is one of the key components in a landslide coast to coast Democratic victory in 2016.
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  3. #43
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    Re: Who wins the senate?

    I *think* the Republicans will take the Senate but then again, I thought the NY Rangers would never make it past Pittsburgh in the playoffs last year, and I'm a lifetime Rangers fan so what do I know?

    Tonight I'll be at the Scott Brown/Jeanne Shaheen debate which is probably one of the most important debates of this election cycle. NH is a very centrist state if not somewhat left leaning due to the migration of Massholes here in recent years. This debate IMO will sway many of the undecideds one way or another. I'll be with the Brown campaign and can't wait to see what happens. Still not sure he can put himself over the top but he's sure made it close and very interesting.

    Colorado is the state I'm watching most closely now.
    Horse sense is the thing a horse has which keeps it from betting on people. ~W.C. Fields

  4. #44
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    Re: Who wins the senate?

    Quote Originally Posted by Juanita View Post
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    I wouldn't chalk up Colorado as a Republican gain just yet! I believe it will go Democrat!
    Colorado with mail in ballots etc. could be hard to gauge. But the polls has been pretty solid for Gardner:

    RealClearPolitics - Election 2014 - Colorado Senate - Gardner vs. Udall

    As you can see RCP's average lead for Gardner, 7 polls is 3.3 points with 10% undecided. The way I view this as Udall would have to win 70% of the undecided at this point which would be unheard of. But still things like early voting, mail in ballots, have thrown some pollsters for a loop. But in Colorado's case we have 7 recent polls in which 6 show Gardner in the lead and in 3 of those 6, Gardner's lead is outside the margin of error. All in all without going into detail, I would say Gardner has a 75% chance of winning, but that still leave Udall with a 25% chance.

    After all, the only real poll that counts is on election day.
    This Reform Party member thinks it is high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first and their political party further down the line. But for way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.

  5. #45
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    Re: Who wins the senate?

    Assuming no rampant voter fraud, a tie in most races this election cycle is looking like a Republican win. Take New Hampshire for example. Back in April Brown had a 5 point lead over Sheehan and that gap closed but Sheehan has struggled to maintain a clear lead. And this past week another poll came out and showed Brown 1.5 ahead of Sheehan. In true blue New Hampshire, that's saying something. But every time I have heard Brown speak, he has put much emphasis on closing down our borders for security reasons which is something across this country that seems to resonate with especially female voters. Many up to this week have called New Hampshire and North Carolina for the Democrats. It won't surprise me in the least if Republicans take both of them.

  6. #46
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    Re: Who wins the senate?

    Where is the "I am a centrist American."

    I don't subscribe to either ideology completely as do many others. I do think however the Republicans will take it by a close margin.
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  7. #47
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    Re: Who wins the senate?

    Quote Originally Posted by tres borrachos View Post
    I *think* the Republicans will take the Senate but then again, I thought the NY Rangers would never make it past Pittsburgh in the playoffs last year, and I'm a lifetime Rangers fan so what do I know?

    Tonight I'll be at the Scott Brown/Jeanne Shaheen debate which is probably one of the most important debates of this election cycle. NH is a very centrist state if not somewhat left leaning due to the migration of Massholes here in recent years. This debate IMO will sway many of the undecideds one way or another. I'll be with the Brown campaign and can't wait to see what happens. Still not sure he can put himself over the top but he's sure made it close and very interesting.

    Colorado is the state I'm watching most closely now.
    Let us know how it goes!

  8. #48
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    Re: Who wins the senate?

    Quote Originally Posted by US Conservative View Post
    Let us know how it goes!
    Check out the Congressional Ballot polls at Real Clear Politics
    RealClearPolitics - RealClearPolitics Poll Averages
    The average for Republicans is still +3. This is huge this late in the game.
    But also look at those who are polling and the left leaning pollsters are showing huge numbers in favor of Republicans and places like Fox are giving an advantage to Democrats +1.
    At this point one has to wonder if these polls are designed to get the vote out oh say to the left to stop a Republican gain or in Fox's case to show the need for every able Republican to get out and vote with a 1+ in the margin. Real Clear Poliitics today finally with all their averages of polls officially gave the Republicans the lead in the races for Senate.

  9. #49
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    Re: Who wins the senate?

    Quote Originally Posted by vesper View Post
    Check out the Congressional Ballot polls at Real Clear Politics
    RealClearPolitics - RealClearPolitics Poll Averages
    The average for Republicans is still +3. This is huge this late in the game.
    But also look at those who are polling and the left leaning pollsters are showing huge numbers in favor of Republicans and places like Fox are giving an advantage to Democrats +1.
    At this point one has to wonder if these polls are designed to get the vote out oh say to the left to stop a Republican gain or in Fox's case to show the need for every able Republican to get out and vote with a 1+ in the margin. Real Clear Poliitics today finally with all their averages of polls officially gave the Republicans the lead in the races for Senate.
    Interesting. I read that a small majority of Harvard kids are also pro republican. Crazy time.

  10. #50
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    Re: Who wins the senate?

    Quote Originally Posted by vesper View Post
    Check out the Congressional Ballot polls at Real Clear Politics
    RealClearPolitics - RealClearPolitics Poll Averages
    The average for Republicans is still +3. This is huge this late in the game.
    But also look at those who are polling and the left leaning pollsters are showing huge numbers in favor of Republicans and places like Fox are giving an advantage to Democrats +1.
    At this point one has to wonder if these polls are designed to get the vote out oh say to the left to stop a Republican gain or in Fox's case to show the need for every able Republican to get out and vote with a 1+ in the margin. Real Clear Poliitics today finally with all their averages of polls officially gave the Republicans the lead in the races for Senate.
    Greetings, Vesper.

    You may have a good point! I haven't seen this much interest in a midterm in a long time. I'm not including the 2010 midterms - I believe the outrage over the ACA was deliberately downplayed at that time, but people didn't care what the polls said, they voted how they felt! Even Obama called it a "shellacking" for the Dems!

    It sounds like you had a great time tonight with your trick or treaters! Fun reading!

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