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Are Neocons A Threat to World Peace?

Are Neocons A Threat To World Peace?

  • Yes

    Votes: 36 59.0%
  • No

    Votes: 25 41.0%

  • Total voters
    61
Furthermore, we also happen to know that Eisenhower was wrong. The Japanese were not about to surrender. That is why they didn't surrender after the first A-Bomb. It is also why even after the second A-Bomb they didn't surrender, and after we threatened them (a bluff) that we had more (we were plumb out) and were going to turn the entirety of the Home Islands into ash that the vote on whether or not to surrender was still tied, forcing the Emperor to break the tie. And even then portions of the military revolted, kidnapped the Emperor, and attempted to force Japan to fight down to the bitter, honorable end. If it hadn't been for the actions of a very small number of brave individuals, the Emperor's message would never have gotten out on the radio, and we would have had to invade.

No you don't know that he was wrong. And furthermore what you just said contradicts your notion that the bombings ended the war early. What was giving the Japanese problems was the condition of unconditional surrender. It was days after Hiroshima was bombed before they meet for the first time to seriously consider that condition. Why? It was the decision by the Soviet Union to enter the war that was the game changer. They knew they could not fight the US and the Soviet Union at the same time, so that is what made the emperor change is mind and disregard the hard liners who wanted to fight on.
 
Now, towards the end of the war, we were seeing combat kill rates of a little better than 1 to 5 in the US' favor. In Okinawa, for example, the U.S. lost 14,009 men, while the Japanese Imperial Army lost 77,166. Operation Downfall was anticipating 100,000 casualties in the first four days of the invasion of the main island group. However, they weren't facing the same, experienced, Imperial Army.

Although there were varying estimates Marshall estimated that the casualties for the invasion of Kyūshū, scheduled for November 1, 1945, would be 31,000 in the first 30 days.
 
I can be classified as a Neocon and believe in peace through strength and am appalled by this current social government led by the biggest socialist of all Obama who is destroying the strongest military in the world and turning it into a 3rd rate one.

Too much of anything is a bad thing, shipmate...and that includes military spending. If you'll pull yourself away from the right-wing echo chamber and look at what we really have compared to the rest of the world - especially concerning the overwhelming quality of our forces - you'll see that we're still #1 by a long shot. If the rest of the world came against us in a conventional war, we'd win hands down...though we'd eventually lose because there's so much that we import - particularly rare metals - that is crucial to our economy. But militarily speaking...we're too powerful...which is why Your Boy Dubya thought Iraq would be a cakewalk...

...where he found that his daddy was right - Iraq was a cakewalk...but the exit strategy was a bitch.
 
Your post reminds me of a rather interesting scene from a movie that I saw a while ago. I think it's quite illuminating



That's not a kid's game that is being played in Ukraine. The thinking people here among the foreign policy establishment had better think this out and think it out well. Otherwise the world may be headed for a big catastrophe.


And I'd love to hear what, exactly, the conservatives think should be done instead of economic sanctions.
 
No you don't know that he was wrong. And furthermore what you just said contradicts your notion that the bombings ended the war early. What was giving the Japanese problems was the condition of unconditional surrender. It was days after Hiroshima was bombed before they meet for the first time to seriously consider that condition. Why? It was the decision by the Soviet Union to enter the war that was the game changer. They knew they could not fight the US and the Soviet Union at the same time, so that is what made the emperor change is mind and disregard the hard liners who wanted to fight on.

I've often thought that the wiser choice would have been to let the Japanese know that X location was going to get A-bombed, so that they could go watch it and understand just what would happen if they didn't surrender...and that said location should have been in plain view of the Imperial Palace.

But we should also bear in mind that the two A-bombs only did 2% of the total bombing damage we did to the Japanese mainland - the firebombing was the other 98%. On March 10th, 1945, we firebombed Tokyo...and 110,000 people died in the resulting firestorm. The next morning was nearly freezing cold. I remember this from Martin Caidin's "A Torch to the Enemy" which is likely out of print now...and I think it was then that I started to understand that the better one understands war, the more one hates it. But I still love military history.
 
It most certainly is debatable. Japan was on the ropes from the destruction that had been inflicted due to aerial bombardment. The Japanese had sent people to seek peace through Russia. MacArthur even said that if the US had included the offer for the Japanese to keep the emperor, they probably would have surrendered in a couple of weeks without an invasion or without a fission bomb.

Most counterfactual history is debatable. Theoretically there is a world in which Harry Turtledoves' imagined alien invasion halted WWII and redirected it into a global effort against large lizards. That does not make it plausibile. Japan sustained not one, but two nuclear bombings without being willing to surrender, only coming to a tied vote on the matter when more were threatened. They were certainly not about to surrender under the vague threat of a single new bomb whose effects they had not seen.

To advise means to give advice. Anyone who has had a teenager knows that you advise them even though you know that they have already made a decision.

Eisenhower said he expressed doubts because he thought Japan was beaten. It turns out that inasmuch as that meant they were ready to surrender, that was incorrect.

I didn't ask you to give me a precise measurement as I doubt you could even tell me what was the difference between precision and accuracy without referring to some reference. And as far as usage goes, again, people use different points of reference. There is no doubt that the fire bombing of Tokyo was part of the nuclear era because indeed nuclear weapons were being developed at the time. There is no "by your own precision you are wrong."

You are the one who insisted that the nuclear era began with the Hiroshima/Nagasaki bombings. It's not my fault you don't know your history. However, as to the actual matter under discussion it is irrelevant for the simple enough fact that violence has been declining for centuries.

What is shocking is that you are so desperate that you will use any lame excuse to try to score some points. It wasn't a racist remark. The usage connoted the notion that there is a bias in vision due to background, specifically that of a white male who wants to whitewash the sins of the wars the US and it's allies have waged. By contrast, a racist remark would have been to say that what you said what typical of stupid white people. That would be racist. Get it?

Racism is to impugn characteristics on an individual because of his ethnicity. So, for example, your decree that historians and social scientists who point out that violence has been relatively declining among humans both in peace and in wartime for centuries must be attempting to white-wash American history because he is white is a racist declaration that because the guy is white he is trying to whitewash our nations sins. In reality, his race, my race, your race, none of them have any bearing on whether or not violence has, in fact, declined over the past few centuries - but you tried to make it about that, indicating that you are, in fact, a racist.

It's also ridiculous, and indicates (again) that you have no idea what you are talking about. Steven Pinker is a leftist. Hint: He does interviews for Al-Jazeera. He does TED talks, he's featured on NPR. Furthermore, he's not exactly a WASP - he's Jewish.

War has become more gruesome due to the types of weapons that modern armies have at their disposal. When you consider that with one bomb, one third of the population of Hiroshima was killed, that is more gruesome that anything in history. When you consider that two thirds of Hiroshima was destroyed with one bomb by the US, that is more gruesome than anything in history. When you consider the effects that poisonous radiation had on the people that survived Hiroshima, that is more gruesome than anything in history. You tell those people who suffered from such an atrocity that war is less gruesome and see what they say. Yeah, again some white guy who wants to believe such nonsense will engage in self deception and put that notion forward.

That an interesting claim. "More Gruesome Than Anything in History". More gruesome than the Holocaust? More gruesome than the firebombings of Dresden or Tokyo? More gruesome than the genocides and ethnic cleansings that marked warfare for millennia? The Aztec temples reached an industrial rate of human sacrifice that outpaced Auschwitz, ripping the beating hearts from their screaming victims while their families looked on in helpless, terrified horror at what was about to happen to them - now that's gruesome. A flash of light that instantly incinerates you before you even know what has happened? That's less gruesome. Being tied between two boats and painted with honey so that you could be eaten alive by insects? More gruesome. Being executed by bullet or electric chair? Less gruesome.

Genghis Khan would be laugh at your claim that the U.S. or the a-bombs were uniquely gruesome. Then he would kill everyone in a hundred miles and have his lieutenants built a pyramid from the skulls. Hell - we dropped leaflets warning the Japanese civilians what was about to happen and warning them to leave the cities. In the annals of military bastardlyness, we're weak sauce.

In reality, the technological advances that have brought us greater weapons have coincided with an increase in human empathy that have demanded - over time - more conscientious rules governing their use. Today, for example, we talk about "collateral damage" and try to avoid it. For most of human history, raping massacring civilians was just what you did to blow off steam after winning the battle. The ancient stories in the Bible that horrify us now about killing every man, woman, child, and animal of an entire enemy tribe or ethnicity was just how you made a statement. The Romans were masters of that sort of public statement - we don't get the phrase sow the earth with salt because that was their fertilizer technique, after all. Even in the horrors of WWII, sides fed and took care of prisoners of war and helped the surviving populaces rebuild. But the ability to end an individual or factory without killing the entire city it is in has come to necessitate doing so.

As for talking to people including those in Japan about actual warfare - I have. I lived in Japan for three years, and served alongside their military. I have actually experienced the modern face of warfare (having fought it, and advised others in the fighting of it), and professionally studied warfare of the past. So I wouldn't claim to be John Keegan, but I come to this debate actually having an idea what I am talking about.
 
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Oh, Hey, and I can't help but notice that I asked you to actually - you know - demonstrate your claims that the U.S. had encroached on Russia via the Ukraine and you sort of failed to provide that or even quote it in your response...
 
I've often thought that the wiser choice would have been to let the Japanese know that X location was going to get A-bombed, so that they could go watch it and understand just what would happen if they didn't surrender...and that said location should have been in plain view of the Imperial Palace.

We tried that at a place called Hiroshima. It didn't work.

But we should also bear in mind that the two A-bombs only did 2% of the total bombing damage we did to the Japanese mainland - the firebombing was the other 98%. On March 10th, 1945, we firebombed Tokyo...and 110,000 people died in the resulting firestorm. The next morning was nearly freezing cold. I remember this from Martin Caidin's "A Torch to the Enemy" which is likely out of print now...and I think it was then that I started to understand that the better one understands war, the more one hates it. But I still love military history.

It is fascinating. People are at their best and their worst, often the same people, often within short time-spans of each other.
 
Putin is a threat to world peace. Iran and North Korea are threats to world peace. Islamic extremist fanatics are most definitely a threat to world peace. Neo Conservatives not so much.
 
Putin is a threat to world peace. Iran and North Korea are threats to world peace. Islamic extremist fanatics are most definitely a threat to world peace. Neo Conservatives not so much.

Neo-Cons are the greatest threat to World Peace. They want an Empire called the New World Order.
 
And I'd love to hear what, exactly, the conservatives think should be done instead of economic sanctions.

I say we increase sanctions and begin to install a missile defense system to protect Europe. Or we could sit back and wait to see what Neville Chamberlain I mean Barack Obama doesn't do next. After Putin invades and conquers Sudetenland, I mean Ukraine we should hold a conference with the Russians in someplace neutral, like oh I don't know maybe Munich! I'm sure Putin will come to his senses and put an end to his dream of Soviet glory if only we let him keep Crimea and Ukraine.
 
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Which Neo-Cons in particular? Care to name names??

You name the Neo Cons as you claim to be the only one on this board who knows who they are. Wolfowotz, Perle, Cheney, Bushes, and all the signatories to the PNAC document, among others.
 
You name the Neo Cons as you claim to be the only one on this board who knows who they are. Wolfowotz, Perle, Cheney, Bushes, and all the signatories to the PNAC document, among others.

Wolfowitz-Yes.

Perle-Yes.

Bush: Sr-No, Jr.-Maybe (domestic policy can be similar, foreign policy neo-reaganites would agree with him). Jeb: Maybe (domestic policy is similar) but still iffy.

Cheney-No.
 
We tried that at a place called Hiroshima. It didn't work.

Wrong answer. Hiroshima was about 420 miles away from Tokyo, and by that time Japan had precious little in the way of communication, whether by air or by road or by train. Their communications in the area would have gone bye-bye in the flash of the Bomb. The Japanese High Command certainly had not witnessed what had happened.

I remember reading that the Japanese High Command simply didn't know what to make of what happened to Hiroshima - they couldn't believe the scattered claims that one plane had done all the damage they were being told occurred. They were sure that the initial reports were erroneous for whatever reason, that it was simply another one of the horrendous firebombing attacks like that which had destroyed 15.8 square miles of Tokyo in one night in the previous March...and they had seen that with their own eyes.

So...no, guy, they didn't know for sure what had happened, much less how it happened. After a few days they began to think that maybe some kind of super bomb had indeed destroyed that city...but that did not allow them time enough to decide what to do before Nagasaki was bombed.
 
I say we increase sanctions and begin to install a missile defense system to protect Europe. Or we could sit back and wait to see what Neville Chamberlain I mean Barack Obama doesn't do next. After Putin invades and conquers Sudetenland, I mean Ukraine we should hold a conference with the Russians in someplace neutral, like oh I don't know maybe Munich! I'm sure Putin will come to his senses and put an end to his dream of Soviet glory if only we let him keep Crimea and Ukraine.

Missile defense. Big whoop. Putin isn't interested in a general thermonuclear exchange, and so those don't mean a whole lot to him. So exactly how is this military posturing supposed to stop him from marching on Kiev, hm?
 
Wrong answer. Hiroshima was about 420 miles away from Tokyo, and by that time Japan had precious little in the way of communication, whether by air or by road or by train. Their communications in the area would have gone bye-bye in the flash of the Bomb. The Japanese High Command certainly had not witnessed what had happened.

I remember reading that the Japanese High Command simply didn't know what to make of what happened to Hiroshima - they couldn't believe the scattered claims that one plane had done all the damage they were being told occurred. They were sure that the initial reports were erroneous for whatever reason, that it was simply another one of the horrendous firebombing attacks like that which had destroyed 15.8 square miles of Tokyo in one night in the previous March...and they had seen that with their own eyes.

So...no, guy, they didn't know for sure what had happened, much less how it happened. After a few days they began to think that maybe some kind of super bomb had indeed destroyed that city...but that did not allow them time enough to decide what to do before Nagasaki was bombed.

In fact they did - they had enough time certainly to vote to reject surrender. Just as they rejected surrender (again) after Nagasaki. It wasn't until we threatened them with a hundred more of the things, which we claimed we would use to turn the entire home island chain into ash, that the votes in favor of surrender even managed to tie the votes in favor of fighting to the honorable end. You point out that they had witnessed the firebombing of Tokyo - don't forget that the firebombing of Tokyo was the single most destructive air raid in history, more destructive than either of the Atomic bombs. A single bombing less powerful than that which didn't even kill anyone would have been less impressive than a single bombing less powerful than that which did wipe out plenty, and that single bombing wasn't enough to do it.

The "oh, well, had the Japanese high command realized that their people would have suffered they would have quite" argument is a mirror-image fallacy; imputing western values onto early 20th Century Japanese decision-makers. Similarly, the claim that they couldn't have received enough direct information from Hiroshima, but did from Nagasaki is flawed, as Nagasaki is almost twice as far from Tokyo as Hiroshima is.
 
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Missile defense. Big whoop. Putin isn't interested in a general thermonuclear exchange, and so those don't mean a whole lot to him. So exactly how is this military posturing supposed to stop him from marching on Kiev, hm?

Getting rid of American missile defense in Poland was a major Russian foreign policy achievement under Putin. The question is not whether or not he would consider it a "big whoop" (he would), but whether or not Eastern Europe leadership is willing to trust us on that again after we betrayed them on the subject in 2009.
 
If you want to play semantics go play semantics. I'm here to enjoy refuting your hilariously self-centered and naive notion that the fact that some state department lady was married to a writer is why Putin invaded Crimea.

I fail to see the humor in the Assistant Secretary of State of the United States directly fomenting protest against a democratically elected leader right before she is to meet with him. What was self centered and arrogant was her "f*** the EU" remark.

You appear to be unaware of the history of the intellectual movement you are attacking. That's not terribly surprising, but you may want to engage in some basic background research. Neoconservatives reached their apex after the Cold War, they didn't need it.

What they need is a conflict. They need to keep the people of the United States in a perpetual state of war so that they can feel secure. It doesn't matter whether it's the Cold War, the Iraq war, the war on terrorism, they have to have something to feed their destructive desire to control the world.

fantastic. Demonstrate it.

I have already done it. Go back and read the thread.

Wait. You are admitting that Putin took Crimea because he could and still blaming some out-of-power intellectuals in the U.S.?

The neocons like yourself want to strangle Russia. Putin did it because he had to after Victoria Nuland, essentially brought down the government of Yanukovych after he rejected the EU association offer. He did it because he had to and he had the ability to.

Not least because that is an idiotic idea. You seem to be unable to grasp that opposition to pacifism and weakness abroad does not require a single solution, similar to the inability of advocates of large government to differentiate between small government and anarchy.

You seem to be unable to grasp there is a difference between pacifism and promoting ideas such as preempting the rise of states like Russia and China that will lead to perpetual war. The concept is just over your head.

That is certainly one reason, though hardly the only one.

But flip the math. What would have caused Putin to decide not to invade Georgia? What would have caused him to decide not to invade Crimea? What would have made him decide not to launch a cyber-attack on Estonia?

U.S. military capability and will to defend the territorial integrity of other nations under threat by nearby autocrats.

And that's your problem right there. You want the US to go to war with Russia over Ukraine. Your position requires that the US be willing to go to war with Russia over Ukraine if necessary. What it ignores is that Ukraine, specifically Crimea, is a high vital interest for Russia. It's do or die for them. For the US, Ukraine simply does not fall into that level of interest. And therefore it is not worth going to war with Russia over Ukraine.

That's an interesting statement. Which neocons are urging the United States to go to war with the U.S. over Crimea?

No one is urging that the US go to war with the US over Crimea. What you have put forward is the notion that US military capability should be used to deter Putin in Crimea. The only way to make that credible is that the US would have to be prepared to go to war with Russia over Crimea.
 
My point is that as far as potentially dangerous approaches to foreign policy, neoconservatism is very low on the list, especially when considering it opposes the much more threatening and sinister belief systems in regards to international relations.

Like I said, I'm not going to make a ranked list. Let me put it like this, neoconservatives are a high priority on the list because they are very influential in the foreign policy establishment of the United States in terms of ideology and access to positions of power in government.

Here's a fine example of an attitude towards international relations that is much more troublesome than the one that neocons typically hold. You clearly believe that powerful states states violating the territorial integrity of neighboring nations in the name of protecting their own "interests" (which are rarely static and which do not ever extend to ethnic irredentism) is a perfectly reasonable behavior, or at least that it is somewhat tolerable. Sovereignty, human rights, and cooperative diplomacy are chucked out the window in favor of countries doing whatever they please in order to satisfy oligarchs; a might-makes-right international order, in other words. What's worse is that you consider any attempt to oppose this psychopathic behavior as threatening to world peace. We tried that in the 1930s and it failed miserably, so what makes you think it would work now?

The problem with your position is that it completely ignores the significance of the breakup of the Soviet Union and the effect that has on Russia's position today. Not only that but it ignores the role that the United States played in bringing about the fall of the democratically elected leader of Ukraine, Yanukovych, and it's motivation for doing so. When we take into account these factors, i.e. that Ukraine is a vital interest to Russia and that the US is essentially trying to strangle Russia through it's activities in Ukraine, then it becomes clear that the territorial considerations that you mentioned are simply an excuse by the US to achieve it's goals of trying to preempt the rise of another power. This preemption, which is advocated by proponents of neocon ideology, is what is troubling. Therefore, neocons are a threat to world peace.

On a side note, what are you referring to vis-a-vis Gorbachev and the promise not to extend NATO? Are you sure it wasn't only designed to apply to a world in which the Soviet Union still existed?

Are you really trying to put forward the notion that the breakup of the Soviet Union means that NATO is no longer a threat to Russia?
 
Japan sustained not one, but two nuclear bombings without being willing to surrender, only coming to a tied vote on the matter when more were threatened. They were certainly not about to surrender under the vague threat of a single new bomb whose effects they had not seen.

You want to put forward the notion that the bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki were necessary to end the war, but at the same time you acknowledge that the bombing did not cause them to surrender. Your position is ridiculous. What caused them to want to surrender was the entrance by the Soviet Union into the war.


Eisenhower said he expressed doubts because he thought Japan was beaten. It turns out that inasmuch as that meant they were ready to surrender, that was incorrect.

What you fail to understand is the fact they were already beaten meant that there was no good reason to use such a terrible weapon against Japan.

You are the one who insisted that the nuclear era began with the Hiroshima/Nagasaki bombings. It's not my fault you don't know your history. However, as to the actual matter under discussion it is irrelevant for the simple enough fact that violence has been declining for centuries.

I didn't say it began with the bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. What I said was that the fire bombing of Tokyo was part of the nuclear era because nuclear weapons were being developed at the time. You don't even know the history of what was said in this thread, what to speak of what happened in WWII.

Racism is to impugn characteristics on an individual because of his ethnicity. So, for example, your decree that historians and social scientists who point out that violence has been relatively declining among humans both in peace and in wartime for centuries must be attempting to white-wash American history because he is white is a racist declaration that because the guy is white he is trying to whitewash our nations sins. In reality, his race, my race, your race, none of them have any bearing on whether or not violence has, in fact, declined over the past few centuries - but you tried to make it about that, indicating that you are, in fact, a racist.

Again, you don't know the history of what was said in this thread. What was said is that some white guy wants to engage in the self deception that war has become less gruesome. That is not racist because it is not derogatory to point out that people of white European descent have engaged in the practice of colonizing non European countries and enslaving non Europeans such as Africans and their descendants. That is simply a fact. As a result of this and the effect that it such activities are having on the world today some have a tendency to want to whitewash the associated guilt. That is also a fact. It is not racist to point that out. It is also a fact that people of European descent have done things like drop nuclear bombs on innocent people on purpose. Therefore to say that a white male wants to whitewash the guilt associated with to gruesome effects of modern warfare is not racist, although you would like for it to be.

It's also ridiculous, and indicates (again) that you have no idea what you are talking about.

It's not ridiculous and your response indicates you are desperate and need to play the race card. Amazing.
 
Oh, Hey, and I can't help but notice that I asked you to actually - you know - demonstrate your claims that the U.S. had encroached on Russia via the Ukraine and you sort of failed to provide that or even quote it in your response...

Yes I did. Like I said, read the thread. I'm not going to do it again.
 
In fact they did - they had enough time certainly to vote to reject surrender. Just as they rejected surrender (again) after Nagasaki. It wasn't until we threatened them with a hundred more of the things, which we claimed we would use to turn the entire home island chain into ash, that the votes in favor of surrender even managed to tie the votes in favor of fighting to the honorable end. You point out that they had witnessed the firebombing of Tokyo - don't forget that the firebombing of Tokyo was the single most destructive air raid in history, more destructive than either of the Atomic bombs. A single bombing less powerful than that which didn't even kill anyone would have been less impressive than a single bombing less powerful than that which did wipe out plenty, and that single bombing wasn't enough to do it.

The "oh, well, had the Japanese high command realized that their people would have suffered they would have quite" argument is a mirror-image fallacy; imputing western values onto early 20th Century Japanese decision-makers. Similarly, the claim that they couldn't have received enough direct information from Hiroshima, but did from Nagasaki is flawed, as Nagasaki is almost twice as far from Tokyo as Hiroshima is.

Wrong. The Tokyo devastation wasn't all caused by those firebombs - most of it was caused by the fact that most of the buildings were constructed of bamboo - they were a tinderbox waiting to catch fire. What the firebombing did was to make enough of a fire that the fire brigades were overwhelmed and a bigger-than-Dresden firestorm (essentially, a fire tornado) began. In Nagoya - which was 98% destroyed - it went one step further - instead of a firestorm, it was a 'sweep conflagration', a kind of 'tidal wave of fire' which traveled "slower than a man could run, but faster than a man could walk". Why did this make them decide to surrender?

What you don't understand is that when the Japanese High Command looked at the devastation of Tokyo, they didn't think of giving up - they thought of how Tokyo, Yokohama, and the surrounding prefectures had been devastated by the 1923 earthquake. They thought of how many MORE people died in that earthquake and the resulting fires than in the March 10, 1945 firebombing of Tokyo...and they thought of how they had been able to recover from that great earthquake that was even worse than the bombing.

On the other hand, if they had personally seen a single plane that drops a single bomb that does a full one-third of the damage of that earlier firebombing raid (which had involved 300 bombers)...THAT, sir, would have gotten their attention.
 
Getting rid of American missile defense in Poland was a major Russian foreign policy achievement under Putin. The question is not whether or not he would consider it a "big whoop" (he would), but whether or not Eastern Europe leadership is willing to trust us on that again after we betrayed them on the subject in 2009.

Again, you're confusing perception and reality. The reality - which the leaders of every nation involved realize - is that Putin isn't about to launch ballistic missiles against the EEC goose that pays golden eggs for the gas he's selling them, upon which Russia's economy depends. He isn't about to risk nuclear war. What he is likely to do is to push conventional efforts just as far as he thinks he can get away with.
 
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