...send in the military.
Crimea joins Russia.
All russians in Crimea pack their stuff and leave. Border changes intolerable in the 21c.
All stays as it is.
It's a dead end.
Start WWIII now!
I don't know
Crimea will become part of Russia. It's a done deal. Russian troops are on the ground in tens of thousands. Russian troops control all areas of Crimea, and have pinned Ukrainian troops inside their barracks.
The search for solutions was irrelevant before it ever began. The moment Putin took over the peninsula, Crimea became Russian territory.
The only question now is how much of the Ukraine is Russian going to invade and commandeer? Some of it, all of it? Because Crimea is gone, period.
I just want the people of the Crimea to decide what they want...period.
'What kind of sick and twisted toy factory is this?'
'We are all the sum of our tears. Too little and the ground is not fertile, and nothing can grow there. Too much, the best of us is washed away.'
"Better to be dead and cool, than alive and uncool."
khanate of the Crimea (historical state, Ukraine) -- Encyclopedia Britannica
History of Crimea
Crimea (republic, Ukraine) :: History -- Encyclopedia Britannica
For example, but the wikipedia pages also have most of this information, among others.
Dutch Medal count Paralympics Rio 17 gold 19 silver 26 bronze
BLADE BABE STRIKES AGAIN!!!
Tatars wanted independence of Crimea since 1917, where it became autonomous in 1921. Stalin perished many Tatars among other minorities where the remaining Tatars were moved by force to Siberia and Central Asia. Russians then gave Crimea to Ukraine in 1954 to commemorate a Pereyaslav Agreement according to Britannica.
After Stalin and Kruschchev fell the deported minorities were allowed back except for Tatars. They got back after 1990's when the Soviet Union fell in numbers of 300,000 at 21st century.
It was autonomous during the Soviet Union in 1991 but fell to Ukraine when the Soviet Union collapsed. It is a largely made of Russian civilians there now whom wanted independence from Ukraine since 1994! But Russia and Ukraine made a "Treaty of Friendship" in 1997 when Crimea was left to Ukrainians once more. The rest is known.
This brings new insight as to who has claims in Crimea. Tatars lived longer there but are a minority now. Suppose if they are not discriminated as a minority there the Russians could have it since they are a majority and wanted independence and were autonomous several times in History then.
But I was only differentiating Dardania with Crimea in my original post. Thought Ukrainians were natives like we were. Guess I was wrong.
The Huffington post makes clear distinctions between Crimea and Dardania:
Crimea Is Not Kosovo*|*David L. Phillips
One of the issues is that there was an international presence to secure the issue of minorities in Dardania. Russia expelled foreign members and it is now left to them to assure the right of Tatar minorities without international observation that they do so.
Who believes that Russians would watch over Tatar and other minorities in Crimea?
On another development I saw in my local news that there are some talks of trading recognitions. Yes Crimea did declare independence but that is a worthless piece of paper if other countries do not recognize it.
Currently it is refused to be recognized:
Obama refuses to recognize a Russian Crimea. But is secession illegal? (+video) - CSMonitor.com
Canada says won't recognize Crimea referendum | GlobalPost
But what I saw in my local news is that perhaps recognitions could be traded. I saw Merkel and Putin with a happy face and the narrator of our local news said that: Crimea may be recognized if Russia recognizes Dardania (see signature where Dardania is).
I cannot find such links online today. The best I have is this:
Blic Online | Putin not to recognize Kosovo because of Crimea
So perhaps the best solution to Crimea is to trade recognitions then. What do you say about this?
Firstly, the present Crimean (pro-Russian) authorities have not provided enough time for Crimean voters to acquire and digest important information. There are vast differences between aspects of Ukrainian law and Russian law that will negatively impact people and business. About the only population segment that could come out ahead by joining Russia are pensioners. For example, do young men know that military conscription is mandatory in Russia but only voluntary in Ukraine? Do the people understand that they will have far fewer rights under Russian criminal law?
Secondly, communication links between Ukraine and Crimea have been severed. The only television stations allowed to broadcast in Crimea now are Russian. Phone and internet links to Ukraine have also been severed. The entrance to the Crimean peninsula at Armyansk is now controlled by Russian security/military forces and former Berkut police who fled Kiev. Controls on who may enter are very strict. International observers have been turned away and this border area is now laced with minefields. The Crimean parliament building is guarded by Russian forces and only those approved by the new (Russian installed) Prime Minister can enter. Opposition lawmakers are excluded. Ergo - the "free and fair" referendum - is a tightly controlled exercise.
Thirdly, the Crimean referendum set for 16 March 2014 is a "stacked deck". There are two questions on the referendum:
1) Are you in favor of the reunification of Crimea with Russia as a part of the Russian Federation?
2) Are you in favor of restoring the 1992 Constitution and the status of Crimea as a part of Ukraine?
Although it appears that ticking #2 is a vote to remain allied with Ukraine, this is not the case. The 1992 Constitution (abolished) allowed the Crimean Rada (parliament) to make this decision for the people. In reality then, this is just a convoluted way of voting for option #1 and - although a slightly longer course - results in the same outcome as option #1.
No boxes ticked will be considered a spoiled ballot as will both boxes ticked. Thus, there is no meaningful way that the referendum can fail to achieve a specific outcome.
With the Crimea occupied by an invading Russian army, talk of an election is absurd. It's like having a vote in France after conquered by the Germans.
There are 2 choices:
1. Do you surrender to the Russian army?
2. Do you refuse to surrender to Russia?