View Poll Results: REPUBLICANS ONLY PLEASE- YOUR TOP CHOICE FOR 2016 REPUBLICAN NOMINATION FOR PRESIDENT

Voters
168. You may not vote on this poll
  • Ted Cruz

    51 30.36%
  • Rand Paul

    50 29.76%
  • Marco Rubio

    2 1.19%
  • Mike Huckabee

    2 1.19%
  • Chris Christie

    18 10.71%
  • Rick Perry

    2 1.19%
  • Rick Santorum

    12 7.14%
  • Jon Huntsman

    12 7.14%
  • Paul Ryan

    4 2.38%
  • Other (Please specify)

    15 8.93%
Page 35 of 42 FirstFirst ... 253334353637 ... LastLast
Results 341 to 350 of 419

Thread: 2016 Republican Primary

  1. #341
    Sage
    Perotista's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2013
    Location
    Georgia
    Last Seen
    Today @ 09:54 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Other
    Posts
    17,934
    Blog Entries
    25

    Re: 2016 Republican Primary

    Quote Originally Posted by Anagram View Post
    That looks like an outlier though. McClatchy/Marist, CNN, and Quinnipiac all have Clinton leading Cruz with independents by double digits. The previous PPP poll had Clinton up by 19 with them too.
    This was the last one I could find that broke down how independents view Cruz and Paul. It was published on 18 December. CNN had one published on the 26th of December but CNN didn't break theirs down into how independents viewed Cruz and Paul. In the CNN one Christie leads Hillary 48-46 instead of 45-42. CNN had Clinton leading Cruz 57-39 instead of 49-41 and Clinton lead Paul 54-41 in the CNN one instead of 48-43. But I was looking for a break down of independents which the latest poll, CNN didn't have so I went with PPP.

    But I am not too worried about the discrepancies with the two polls concerning Cruz and Paul this far out. It is interesting that both give Christie the lead. CNN polled 950 RV with an error margin of plus or minus 3 points, PPP polled 1,316 RV with an error margin of plus or minus 2.7%. So both polls are not that far off from each other if you factor in the plus or minus error margins. Cruz could actually be at 42% in the CNN poll where PPP has him at 41 and he could be at 39% in the PPP poll with the margin error factored. Pretty close.

    This is why I like the way RCP averages all the polls out together. They have 14 polls factored in when RCP does the Approval ratings and 11 when they do their favor/against in health care. This eliminate the wild swings and the margin errors pretty much. One poll can be way off, but when you average 5 or 6 or more, they come pretty close to the money.

    Using RCP polls for December, 4 of them Christie leads Clinton by 0.7%, Clinton leads Cruz by 15 points and Clinton leads Paul by 10 points. I would put more stock in the averages I just listed instead of any single poll.
    This Reform Party member thinks it is high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first and their political party further down the line. But for way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.

  2. #342
    Sage
    Perotista's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2013
    Location
    Georgia
    Last Seen
    Today @ 09:54 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Other
    Posts
    17,934
    Blog Entries
    25

    Re: 2016 Republican Primary

    Quote Originally Posted by The Prophet View Post
    I think that would be an ideal general election matchup. Hillary and socialism vs Cruz and conservatism. Otherwise it would be Hillary and socialism vs <insert RINOS name here> and less socialism. Americans need a clear choice. Every 4 or 8 years we play ping pong between the 2 parties hoping for a change. When is the last time America had a genuine conservative candidate. Ohh, that's right, Raygun. And we all know how that election turned out!

    It would greatly behoove the GOP to nominate a conservative IF they want to win. While Hillary has name recognition going for her, she is still a liberal, and no country has ever taxed itself into prosperity and thrived by adopting progressive policies.
    Yeah, but whoever runs in 2016 will not be facing Jimmy Carter who had a misery index of 20 or higher and hostages held by Iran. Who ever the Republicans had nominated in 1980 would have won going away, a Dole, even a Ford, you just place a name in the blank and he would have won. It was one of those elections it didn't matter who the candidate was. The Republican would have won. Much like the election of 2008, the Democrats could have run just about anybody and won that one.
    This Reform Party member thinks it is high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first and their political party further down the line. But for way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.

  3. #343
    Sage
    Peter King's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2012
    Location
    Netherlands
    Last Seen
    Today @ 10:26 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Other
    Posts
    14,026

    Re: 2016 Republican Primary

    Quote Originally Posted by The Prophet View Post
    I would love for Rand Paul to be President. Some top contenders I wouldn't mind are Ted Cruz, Mike Lee, and Ben Carson, with Allen West as Secretary of Defense. However, someone such as West who voted to lock up US citizens indefinitely, I would never put in a position of too much authority.

    I think the GOP will be making the biggest mistake of their life if they nominate a RINO like Christie, Bush or even Rubio. Sure a Christie will galvanize and lure a portion of moderates, but also he would turn away a key segment of the Republican voting block- real conservatives and libertarians, who are sick and tired of voting against someone, and now are searching 3rd party tickets.

    I think the key will be to portray 2 distinctly different agendas to the American ppl. Clinton and socialism will be on 1 side of the ticket, and you don't want Christie and less socialism on the other side. Cruz or Paul would represent the biggest difference in ideals.
    Yes, as well as guaranteeing the next president will again be a Democrat.
    Former military man (and now babysitter of Donald Trump) John Kelly, is a big loud lying empty barrel!

  4. #344
    Banned Steve Ja's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2013
    Location
    Kansas
    Last Seen
    11-30-15 @ 09:00 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Conservative
    Posts
    1,092
    Blog Entries
    6

    Re: 2016 Republican Primary

    Quote Originally Posted by The Prophet View Post
    That'll be really transparent to gather hispanic votes by nomninating Rubio. It's like saying, "Hey, so you don't agree with our platform, but we nominated a hispanic so..." That's a bit like saying, how can I be racist, I have a black friend? lol


    I don't think just by making one of them the poster boy for Republicanism (because it sure as hell isn't conservatism!) that it'll garner many, if any, votes.
    I agree. I was going more off his public support for immigration reform.

  5. #345
    Sage
    Cephus's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Location
    CA
    Last Seen
    Today @ 06:30 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Slightly Conservative
    Posts
    29,775

    Re: 2016 Republican Primary

    The only two I would ever consider voting for on that list are Chris Christie and Jon Huntsman. I would absolutely never vote for Cruz or Paul under any circumstances. They're both lunatics.
    There is nothing demonstrably true that religion can provide the world that cannot be achieved more rationally through entirely secular means.

    Blog me! YouTube me! VidMe me!

  6. #346
    Sage
    Peter King's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2012
    Location
    Netherlands
    Last Seen
    Today @ 10:26 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Other
    Posts
    14,026

    Re: 2016 Republican Primary

    Last measured popularity:

    Ted Cruz 23% fav, 42% unfav., 21% never heard of, 15% no opinion (October 2013)
    Rand Paul 30% fav, 33% unfav., 37% haven't heard enough, 1% refused (September 2013)
    Marco Rubio 26% fav, 25% unfav., 49% no opinion (June 2013)
    Mike Huckabee 47% fav, 34% unfav., 18% unsure (May 2011)
    Chris Christie 40% fav, 22% unfav., 36% haven't heard enough, 2% refused (September 2013)
    Rick Perry 27% fav, 51% unfav., 11% never heard of, 11% unsure (January 2012)
    Rick Santorum 35% fav, 42% unfav., 13% never heard of, 9% no opinion (March 2012)
    John Huntsman 25% fav, 25% unfav., 31% never heard of, 15% can't say (January 2012)
    Paul Ryan 40% fav, 32% unfav., 19% never heard of, 8% no opinion (June 2013)


    Hillary Clinton 59% fav, 37% unfav., 0% never heard of, 3% unsure (October 2013)


    Sorry, but Hillary Clinton is by far the most popular of these politicians and she has one huge ace up her sleeve to play (hubby Bill Clinton)
    Former military man (and now babysitter of Donald Trump) John Kelly, is a big loud lying empty barrel!

  7. #347
    Sage
    Peter King's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2012
    Location
    Netherlands
    Last Seen
    Today @ 10:26 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Other
    Posts
    14,026

    Re: 2016 Republican Primary

    According to current polls from Real Clear Politics, only a Christie - Clinton match up does not predict a huge Clinton victory

    RealClearPolitics - 2016 Presidential Race

    In the democratic race up to now, Hillary is up an average 55% over the challenger after her in the democratic race (Biden)

    RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - 2016 Democratic Presidential Nomination

    With the republicans Christie is the front runner with 18.8% on average with Paul coming in second with 12.6%.
    The last fox poll shows:
    Christie 16%
    Paul 11%
    Cruz 12%
    Ryan 12%
    Bush 12%
    Rubio 8%
    Walker 6%

    Looks like it is going to be a republican slug fest in the primaries all over.

    RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - 2016 Republican Presidential Nomination
    Former military man (and now babysitter of Donald Trump) John Kelly, is a big loud lying empty barrel!

  8. #348
    Advisor The Prophet's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2011
    Location
    Pennsylvania
    Last Seen
    08-25-16 @ 06:05 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Slightly Conservative
    Posts
    425

    Re: 2016 Republican Primary

    Quote Originally Posted by Cephus View Post
    The only two I would ever consider voting for on that list are Chris Christie and Jon Huntsman. I would absolutely never vote for Cruz or Paul under any circumstances. They're both lunatics.
    Reasonable policies sound crazy to crazy ppl.

    [QUOTE=Peter King Sorry, but Hillary Clinton is by far the most popular of these politicians and she has one huge ace up her sleeve to play (hubby Bill Clinton)]

    Slick Willy can be as huge hindrance as well as a help. He's getting of age where he will say just about anything without thinking through the consequences first.

    But you're right, she has name recognition, and everybody wishes to return to the good old days of the 90s. The Democratic primary will be cake for Hillary, but the General is where she will have problems. Can you even begin to imagine the campaign ads the GOP will run against her?


    I think the Republican party, as it is known today, will look totally different in 2016. It is on the verge of transformation, not unlike the former WHIG party, whom was split between pro and anti slavery factions. Now the tea party and RINOS are split between conservatism and socialism factions.

    I have a feeling that we see RINOS like McCain, Graham, Rubio, Christie, etc. pizzed off at the tea party because they are so used to getting all the GOP vote, and now all of a sudden they are taken to task on their conservative credentials. They now have to earn the GOP vote, and they don't like it 1 iota.

  9. #349
    Sage
    Perotista's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2013
    Location
    Georgia
    Last Seen
    Today @ 09:54 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Other
    Posts
    17,934
    Blog Entries
    25

    Re: 2016 Republican Primary

    [QUOTE=The Prophet;1062759441]Reasonable policies sound crazy to crazy ppl.

    Quote Originally Posted by Peter King Sorry, but Hillary Clinton is by far the most popular of these politicians and she has one huge ace up her sleeve to play (hubby Bill Clinton)

    Slick Willy can be as huge hindrance as well as a help. He's getting of age where he will say just about anything without thinking through the consequences first.

    But you're right, she has name recognition, and everybody wishes to return to the good old days of the 90s. The Democratic primary will be cake for Hillary, but the General is where she will have problems. Can you even begin to imagine the campaign ads the GOP will run against her?


    I think the Republican party, as it is known today, will look totally different in 2016. It is on the verge of transformation, not unlike the former WHIG party, whom was split between pro and anti slavery factions. Now the tea party and RINOS are split between conservatism and socialism factions.

    I have a feeling that we see RINOS like McCain, Graham, Rubio, Christie, etc. pizzed off at the tea party because they are so used to getting all the GOP vote, and now all of a sudden they are taken to task on their conservative credentials. They now have to earn the GOP vote, and they don't like it 1 iota.
    I am not sure Hillary will win even the Democratic nomination. I look for a new face. Hillary does have name recognition and that puts here several football field ahead of any prospective rival at this time. But she has a problem, almost as many people view her unfavorable as favorable. 47% of all people have a favorable view of her, 45% disapprove of her. Her big advantage will be in the democratic primaries where 83% of all Democrats view her favorably vs. 11% who don't. But among independents who usually decide national elections, only 34% of all independents view Hillary favorably while 55% view her unfavorably.

    If this holds there is no way she can win the independent vote. But she doesn't have to. She would need only around 45% of the independent vote as the Democratic base is much larger than the Republican one. 30 vs. 24. So the questions a numbers guy would ask can her 34% low favorability rating transform into the 45% of the independent vote she needs to win? The answer is yes, but it depends on who she is running against. It is like Missouri's senate race in 2012. How can a sitting senator, McCaskill with a very high 61% disapproval rating win? Simple, the Republicans nominate someone who has a 70% disapproval rating. McCaskill won. Candidates matter, in Missouri's case the Republicans threw away a sure win by nominating Aiken. The same thing can happen in 2016. But that is your problem.
    This Reform Party member thinks it is high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first and their political party further down the line. But for way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.

  10. #350
    Sage
    Perotista's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2013
    Location
    Georgia
    Last Seen
    Today @ 09:54 PM
    Gender
    Lean
    Other
    Posts
    17,934
    Blog Entries
    25

    Re: 2016 Republican Primary

    Quote Originally Posted by Peter King View Post
    Last measured popularity:

    Ted Cruz 23% fav, 42% unfav., 21% never heard of, 15% no opinion (October 2013)
    Rand Paul 30% fav, 33% unfav., 37% haven't heard enough, 1% refused (September 2013)
    Marco Rubio 26% fav, 25% unfav., 49% no opinion (June 2013)
    Mike Huckabee 47% fav, 34% unfav., 18% unsure (May 2011)
    Chris Christie 40% fav, 22% unfav., 36% haven't heard enough, 2% refused (September 2013)
    Rick Perry 27% fav, 51% unfav., 11% never heard of, 11% unsure (January 2012)
    Rick Santorum 35% fav, 42% unfav., 13% never heard of, 9% no opinion (March 2012)
    John Huntsman 25% fav, 25% unfav., 31% never heard of, 15% can't say (January 2012)
    Paul Ryan 40% fav, 32% unfav., 19% never heard of, 8% no opinion (June 2013)


    Hillary Clinton 59% fav, 37% unfav., 0% never heard of, 3% unsure (October 2013)


    Sorry, but Hillary Clinton is by far the most popular of these politicians and she has one huge ace up her sleeve to play (hubby Bill Clinton)
    December 2013 Last measured popularity and election results:

    Ted Cruz 26% fav, 40% unfav. Election match up Clinton 49% Cruz 41%
    Rand Paul 34% fav, 39% unfav) Election match up Clinton 48% Paul 43%
    Mike Huckabee 38% fav, 35% unfav. Election match up Clinton 48% Huckabee 42%
    Chris Christie 43% fav, 31% unfav. Election match up Christie 45% Clinton 42%
    Jeb Bush 31% fav, 41% unfav. Election match up Clinton 48% Bush 43%

    Hillary Clinton 47% fav, 45% unfav
    John Kerry 36% fav, 44% unfav.
    Elizabeth Warren 23% Fav, 27% unfav.

    All these polls are dynamic and they continue to change. The others on your list is not being polled anymore. But on the Democratic side John Kerry and Elizabeth Warren are now. The poll matched these two against Christie but none of the others. Christie beat Kerry 46-35 and Warren 49-33.

    I have seen no January polls, so these are the latest numbers. I suspect the ACA is causing the Democrats to lose support, especially among indpendents and has done so for the last two months. As of today it looks like the Republicans have a 50-50 change of gaining the senate in November. But of course all this depends on them nominating candidate capable of winning and no more Aiken’s or Mourdock’s which I highly doubt the GOP has that much sense.
    This Reform Party member thinks it is high past time that we start electing Americans to congress and the presidency who put America first and their political party further down the line. But for way too long we have been electing Republicans and Democrats who happen to be Americans instead of Americans who happen to be Republicans and Democrats.

Page 35 of 42 FirstFirst ... 253334353637 ... LastLast

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •