Swing states vary from election to election and a swing state in 2012 may not be one in 2016 depending on the candidate. Now the Northeast and west coast, I doubt if Lincoln could win there. But then again Romney and Brown won in MASS and is there a more liberal state in the union? Candidates and issues will determine swing states in any given election. But you're right, I can't foresee California or New York going for a Republican Presidential Candidate anytime soon or Alabama or Mississippi going to a Democrat.