View Poll Results: How accurate do you think Nate Silver's assertions are?

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  • Very accurate

    8 34.78%
  • Somewhat accurate

    12 52.17%
  • A mixed bag

    4 17.39%
  • Somewhat inaccurate

    1 4.35%
  • Very inaccurate

    0 0%
  • Other

    0 0%
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Thread: Do you agree with Nate Silver about the shutdown and it's impact on the next election

  1. #11
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    Re: Do you agree with Nate Silver about the shutdown and it's impact on the next elec

    Quote Originally Posted by Kobie View Post
    Read further down.
    Read the whole thing. Your post is still wrong.

  2. #12
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    Re: Do you agree with Nate Silver about the shutdown and it's impact on the next elec

    Quote Originally Posted by Ray410 View Post
    Read the whole thing. Your post is still wrong.
    I did read the whole thing. People can still see Mount Rushmore.
    Freedom of speech is not freedom from criticism.

  3. #13
    Dungeon Master
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    Re: Do you agree with Nate Silver about the shutdown and it's impact on the next elec

    Quote Originally Posted by Kobie View Post
    I did read the whole thing. People can still see Mount Rushmore.
    It's different though when you can't stand at the sign explaining who the dudes on the hill are.
    I have CDO, it's like OCD but the letters are in alphabetical order like they should be.

  4. #14
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    Re: Do you agree with Nate Silver about the shutdown and it's impact on the next elec

    Quote Originally Posted by Kobie View Post
    I did read the whole thing. People can still see Mount Rushmore.
    Did you see the picture of the highway cone barriers and the last sentence that says the best viewing sites have been blocked?

  5. #15
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    Re: Do you agree with Nate Silver about the shutdown and it's impact on the next elec

    Quote Originally Posted by Ray410 View Post
    Did you see the picture of the highway cone barriers and the last sentence that says the best viewing sites have been blocked?
    Yep. You said "nobody can see Mount Rushmore." This is false.

    That said, this is a government shutdown. The National Park Service is part of the government.
    Freedom of speech is not freedom from criticism.

  6. #16
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    Re: Do you agree with Nate Silver about the shutdown and it's impact on the next elec

    Quote Originally Posted by Kobie View Post
    Yep. You said "nobody can see Mount Rushmore." This is false.

    That said, this is a government shutdown. The National Park Service is part of the government.
    Wrong again, the road where the cones are is a state highway.

  7. #17
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    Re: Do you agree with Nate Silver about the shutdown and it's impact on the next elec

    If there's one thing the last couple elections have shown, it's that Nate Silver is really, really good at math.

    And I tend to agree with him here. People have short attention sp
    He touched her over her bra and underpants, she says, and guided her hand to touch him over his underwear
    Quote Originally Posted by Lutherf View Post
    We’ll say what? Something like “nothing happened” ... Yeah, we might say something like that.

  8. #18
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    Re: Do you agree with Nate Silver about the shutdown and it's impact on the next elec

    Quote Originally Posted by Deuce View Post
    If there's one thing the last couple elections have shown, it's that Nate Silver is really, really good at math.

    And I tend to agree with him here. People have short attention sp


    Well played.
    Freedom of speech is not freedom from criticism.

  9. #19
    Count Smackula
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    Re: Do you agree with Nate Silver about the shutdown and it's impact on the next elec

    Silver's analysis fails to account for the change in attitudes of political donors. The reckless of the tea party is the exact opposite of what major financial interests want in government. A large number of industries are going to have to re-evaluate their relationship with the Republican party if they threaten their bottom line. The U.S. chamber of commerce for example, is seriously unhappy about the current situation. The kind of money that corporates backers put up (or don't put up) can seriously shift elections.

  10. #20
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    Re: Do you agree with Nate Silver about the shutdown and it's impact on the next elec

    Quote Originally Posted by Zyphlin View Post
    Nate Silver had an interesting piece up over at the temporary home of FiveThirtyEight, on the Grantland site. In it, he gives his views regarding the coverage and ramifications of the shut down. Some of this thoughts:

    He goes into detail on all of those 6 points at the actual article, which you can find linked HERE

    Some on the left seem to be championing to the hills the notion that this is essentially the end of the Republican Party and that they've committed electoral suicide. On the flip side, some on the right seem to think that this will actually help the Republicans because people are supposedly so against ACA and are upset with how the shutdown is being handled.

    However, from reading Silver's piece it seems he has a view that the negative effect will be relatively light compared to the way that it's being made out in much of the media at the moment. What is your take on Silver's views?
    I hadn't seen this before this post. But this makes sense and jives with what I was thinking, knowing how forgetful voters are and how early in the game we are at this point. Since the media (which is NOT a liberal media) is 24-7 these days, they tend to harp on and exaggerate every news story that comes along. There's no doubt the GOP are acting insane, letting a novice whose only concern is himself lead the party down a useless path, and that this is having, and will have in the future, negative consequences for some of them. But this news story will fade in time, there will be another story, and voters will forget this debacle. Most don't remember the last one or the one before that.

    The Democrats have a long row to hoe in gaining many seats in the House over the shutdown. Mainly because of gerrymandering. But regardless of the reason, it is what it is. Still, I wouldn't be surprised if they pick up some seats directly because of this debacle by the Republicans.

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