View Poll Results: Will Assad Disarm?

Voters
28. You may not vote on this poll
  • Yes, he'll disarm like a classy lady after a good bon mot

    4 14.29%
  • Yes, he'll disarm, but the sneaky b******, he'll keep some on the down low

    14 50.00%
  • No, he's faking it

    7 25.00%
  • No, we'll bomb him first

    3 10.71%
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Thread: Will Assad Disarm?

  1. #31
    Advisor aberrant85's Avatar
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    Re: Will Assad Disarm?

    Quote Originally Posted by Sherman123 View Post
    It is nonsense, a plan that sounds so palatable on its face but is so impossible to carry off that it prevents future punitive action. Deconstructing and evacuating a nations chemical weapons stockpile is a major logistical task in the best of times and for an arsenal as large and dispersed as Syria's (in the midst of a Civil War) it is an implausible task. Who is going to take custody of the weapons? Who will pay for it? Who will evaluate the process? How will it be carried off?
    Yep, those questions have to be answered to our satisfaction before it will work.

  2. #32
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    Re: Will Assad Disarm?

    I believe he'll make a show of giving up some chemical weapons... after he's transferred the majority of his stash to Iraq and Lebanon for safekeeping, to be returned after this all blows over.

  3. #33
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    Re: Will Assad Disarm?

    With the Russians on his case he will disarm all of them. I'm confident of that.


  4. #34
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    Re: Will Assad Disarm?

    Syria won't give up their chemical weapons programs unless Israel gives up it's nukes.

    And even if you did get Syria to OK some sort of agreement to have the UN go in and confiscate the weapons it wouldn't matter anyways because their weapons program is indigenous. This means that Syria has the technical expertise and experienced people to make those weapons. UN inspections can't take that away. The only way to do that is assassinate or capture Syria's weapons scientists and technicians.

  5. #35
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    Re: Will Assad Disarm?

    Quote Originally Posted by Beaudreaux View Post
    He may fain disarmament as a delay tactic, and may even turn over some of his WMD, but will not capitulate to turning over all his WMD. And Russia will help him.
    That is precisely correct. Anyone who doesn't think that he immediately started cacheing some of this stuff for a last-ditch effort as soon as the U.S. started making serious noises is using Hope as a strategy.

  6. #36
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    Re: Will Assad Disarm?

    Quote Originally Posted by TheDemSocialist View Post
    With the Russians on his case he will disarm all of them. I'm confident of that.



    Is this going to work just as well as our deal with the Russians that if we gave up our missile defense in Poland they would get on the Iranian's case to give up their nukes?

  7. #37
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    Re: Will Assad Disarm?

    Quote Originally Posted by aberrant85 View Post
    After weeks of saber-rattling by both sides, the US and Syria are on the brink of war, awaiting an uncertain vote in Congress and the release of a UN report.

    But on Monday, the last best hope to avert war revealed itself after Russia and Syria responded to an off-the-cuff, hypothetical statement by Secretary of State John Kerry, seemingly ready to give up the chemical weapons that initiated the crisis.

    Will a peaceful settlement pan out, or is this too good to be true?

    I think Assad will cooperate, but who will get the rebels to give up their chemical weapons?

  8. #38
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    Re: Will Assad Disarm?

    Disarming is time consuming and difficult to do under the best of circumstances and requires a significant boots on the ground presence. He's in the middle of a bloody civil war right now. Of course he's not going to disarm. This is nothing more than Pres. Obama eagerly looking to kick this can far down the road and, more importantly, out of the news cycle.

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