It depends. At this rate we are outpacing the Feds predictions by a year. The federal reserve protected by 2018 that unployment would be somewhere below 5%, however they were using all available data at the time. This did not include Obamas plans to reinvigorate small business, business brought back to America with incentives or manufacturing industry plans Obama had talked about. I think conservatively, by 2016 federal unemployment will be at 6% but real will be at 9%.
Edit: Id like to add that since Obama has been in office despite several jobs being made since his presidency there has only been 250,000 total more made since October 2008 and many are still making less than they did before. This is the case for several nations right now including Canada and the UK. Countries such as Germany, Japan, and China have very low unemployment a direct result of incredible education and science investments along with strong work ethic on their people's part despite Germany and Japan being far more
liberal than any of these other countries including our own.