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Thread: Nate Silver Poll

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    Nate Silver Poll

    How accurate would this poll be compared to all those other polls? This poll consistently gave Obama something like a 79% probability of winning. But at this point it looks like Romney has that percentage probability the point being that Obama has consistently had a high probability of winning according to this poll--perhaps until now?

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    Re: Nate Silver Poll

    I don't see a poll to vote in for this thread.

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    Re: Nate Silver Poll

    so far all the states CNN has called mirror nate silver's map.

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    Re: Nate Silver Poll

    Quote Originally Posted by Glowpun View Post
    How accurate would this poll be compared to all those other polls? This poll consistently gave Obama something like a 79% probability of winning. But at this point it looks like Romney has that percentage probability the point being that Obama has consistently had a high probability of winning according to this poll--perhaps until now?

    Based on what???

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    Re: Nate Silver Poll

    Quote Originally Posted by Glowpun View Post
    How accurate would this poll be compared to all those other polls? This poll consistently gave Obama something like a 79% probability of winning. But at this point it looks like Romney has that percentage probability the point being that Obama has consistently had a high probability of winning according to this poll--perhaps until now?
    Nate Silver is the leading authority on election outcomes; his predictions are entirely based on math. If he says Obama's winning, then he won.

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    Re: Nate Silver Poll

    Quote Originally Posted by solletica View Post
    Nate Silver is the leading authority on election outcomes; his predictions are entirely based on math. If he says Obama's winning, then he won.
    Silver is good, but he is no god. Use your own judgement.

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    Re: Nate Silver Poll

    I mean so far his predictions have been spot on. Granted getting the states like Texas and MA right isn't all that impressive. I am more interested to see how he does on the swing states.
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    Re: Nate Silver Poll

    Quote Originally Posted by megaprogman View Post
    Silver is good, but he is no god. Use your own judgement.
    Silver is not god, but he serves math, which is God. Therefore, God speaks through Silver.

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    Re: Nate Silver Poll

    I think his call on Virginia will be wrong. Otherwise, it looks like he is very accurate.

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    Re: Nate Silver Poll

    Quote Originally Posted by solletica View Post
    Silver is not god, but he serves math, which is God. Therefore, God speaks through Silver.
    seriously? math is god? What an argument ...

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