Democratic party becomes much stronger, current platforms remain largely unchanged
Republican party adopts platform changes to appeal to new demographics, balance is maintained
republican party changes platform to appeal to new groups, republicans become more dominant
republican party loses popularity and another party (libertarians?) begins to take hold
republican party loses popularity and splits conservative votes with another party
democrats become too diverse (big tent) and split into smaller parties
Don't believe it.
Look at where most of them come from - Mexico. Over the last 50 years, Mexico has largely voted right wing, and largely been a conservative country.
You want rich latinos living in the USA? OK, take a look at Miami. Take a look at the state of Florida. The hispanic vote is 50% Republican, 50% Democrat in Miami, and Romney will probably win in Florida.
Latinos see themselves as white, they don't consider themselves a minority any more than Italians are a minority.
There should be Instant Runoff Voting
In the future I think the Republicans will turn into the libertarians... not in name but in everything else. And I think Republicans will eventually try to appeal to minorities even more, especially Hispanics.
Here it's depends what minority group it is but it's slowly turning more liberal with minorities sometimes the Conservatives win other times the Liberals or NDP. The Chinese, South Asian, and Natives are our largest groups. The Chinese and Natives usually vote NDP but the South Asians vote Conservative but that's changing. In the U.S. do you have large groups of Chinese and South Asians, if so what do they vote?
You said they will take the "rich" northeast, but even taking Connecticut, New Hampshire, Vermont, New Jersey, Massachutes Deleware, Pensylvania, Maryland, and Virginia Republicans would still not win.
I imagine Republicans will lose a lot of elections in the future like Democrats did after the Andrew Johnson before they find a way to appeal to voters again. You said they will to become less social conservative, but people like Rick Santorum were supported by the middle age groups, and not the old. I do not think they will become libertarian, that is a white liberal pipe dream. Minorities tend to be more socially conservative than they are fiscally conservative.
I think it much more likely that Republicans start appealing to Hispanics. They will do that by toning down the their libertarian roots. While liberterianism is popular among some youth, it is not popular with the majority.
Last edited by Camlon; 10-17-12 at 04:36 PM.
Of course the GOP and the Democrats are going to change. You don't see too many segregationist Democrats or Stalwarts Republicans anymore. As the old guard in a party is voted out, dies, or retires, a new set of politicians come in with a new platform. On social issues we going to go left. I would be shocked if in 20 years we didn't have legal weed, gay marriage and some form of amnesty for illegals in all 50 states. As for foreign policy, I think that America will take a step back from its role as global hegemon as other countries grow wealthier and more capable of defending themselves. Economically, I have no idea. Depending on how we deal with our growing debt, we could either see the true end of "era of big government" or we could become more like Western Europe.
The GOP is not inherently racist. GOP policies are not inherently racist. Conservatism is not inherently racist.
The reason it may LOOK that way to some, is that support for social welfare policy is often seen as more of a minority issue than a white issue.
Now, in the longer term, it is very hard to project what will happen. The GOP is currently struggling to redefine itself as a more moderate party than in times past (and it is, despite nonsense about Dubya being "Right wing"...ha!) but as minorities (especially Latinos) become more established and more often achieve prosperity, it is probable that they will trend more conservative.
In brief, I think an upswing in minority population is not necessarily an automatic Democrat party win, long term.
Fiddling While Rome Burns
Carthago Delenda Est
"I used to roll the dice; see the fear in my enemies' eyes... listen as the crowd would sing, 'now the old king is dead, Long Live the King.'.."