View Poll Results: Where did all the biased polls go?

Voters
14. You may not vote on this poll
  • They never existed in the first place, it was just excuse making from whiney people

    3 21.43%
  • They are still there, Romney is beloved by all, darn media! (except fox)

    2 14.29%
  • Polls suck and never work right!

    3 21.43%
  • Rootabega

    7 50.00%
Multiple Choice Poll.
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Thread: Poll bias

  1. #61
    User duhu's Avatar
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    Re: Poll bias

    Quote Originally Posted by Anagram View Post
    You can't measure a pollster's credibility with one poll.
    Yeah but that's a fairly large outlier, and it's not as though they were that great in 2004 either. There were middle of the pack there, and I prefer to use polls that have been accurate to recent history.

    Also you need to be careful with polls that jump around so much.
    "Nobody spends somebody else's money as carefully as he spends his own. Nobody uses somebody else's resources as carefully as he uses his own. So if you want efficiency and effectiveness, if you want knowledge to be properly utilized, you have to do it through the means of private property."

  2. #62
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    Re: Poll bias

    Quote Originally Posted by duhu View Post
    Yeah but that's a fairly large outlier, and it's not as though they were that great in 2004 either. There were middle of the pack there, and I prefer to use polls that have been accurate to recent history.

    Also you need to be careful with polls that jump around so much.
    Two polls isn't enough either, since their polls have a margin of error is +/- 2%. Really there isn't a way to judge Gallup like some of the other pollsters because they only poll the national race. The only way to judge them is by looking at their methodology, which in my opinion is solid.
    There should be Instant Runoff Voting

  3. #63
    User duhu's Avatar
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    Re: Poll bias

    Quote Originally Posted by Anagram View Post
    Two polls isn't enough either, since their polls have a margin of error is +/- 2%. Really there isn't a way to judge Gallup like some of the other pollsters because they only poll the national race. The only way to judge them is by looking at their methodology, which in my opinion is solid.
    For a poll that claims to have a margin of error of 2%, they were off by 4 in 2008 and 3 in 2004.
    "Nobody spends somebody else's money as carefully as he spends his own. Nobody uses somebody else's resources as carefully as he uses his own. So if you want efficiency and effectiveness, if you want knowledge to be properly utilized, you have to do it through the means of private property."

  4. #64
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    Re: Poll bias

    Quote Originally Posted by duhu View Post
    For a poll that claims to have a margin of error of 2%, they were off by 4 in 2008 and 3 in 2004.
    +/- 2%. Which means it could be off by as many as 4 points with a 95% confidence interval. They were off by a bit more than 3% in 2008 and a bit over 2% in 2004 which is not terribly unlikely for a poll with a margin of error of +/- 2%.
    There should be Instant Runoff Voting

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