View Poll Results: Who will win in Nov

Voters
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  • Obama Will Win

    32 50.79%
  • Romny will Win

    15 23.81%
  • I dont know

    11 17.46%
  • The Debates will tell the tale

    5 7.94%
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Thread: Who do you believe will win in Nov

  1. #31
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    Re: Who do you believe will win in Nov

    Quote Originally Posted by lpast View Post
    I agree with this assessment and Ive said for quite awhile the debates will define who the winner will be....theres no ads in debates, no soundbites...the two candidates are blowing in the wind and either answer the question or avoid it...and the people watching will know the difference.
    Meh, I'm not sure how much of an impact the debates ultimately have on elections anyway. Unless a candidate who voters don't know very well (Romney in this case) comes across as completely unpalatable as a president, I doubt they'll matter much.
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  2. #32
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    Re: Who do you believe will win in Nov

    Quote Originally Posted by Kandahar View Post
    Meh, I'm not sure how much of an impact the debates ultimately have on elections anyway. Unless a candidate who voters don't know very well (Romney in this case) comes across as completely unpalatable as a president, I doubt they'll matter much.
    Well I dont agree..romny is no more unpalatable to voters than obama is...they are both split pretty even and when an election is this close Debates in my opinion can mean much.

  3. #33
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    Re: Who do you believe will win in Nov

    Quote Originally Posted by Schutzengel View Post
    Actually it's this




    Directing someone when they are morally out of bounds isn't judgement... condemning them, assigning motives, saying that you know what they think...

    Saying that you know what is in the heart of another man, that is judgement...

    picking up another brother who has stumbled along the way ... that is guidance, and mercy...

    but that's just my take on it.
    A very good one, I must say.

  4. #34
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    Re: Who do you believe will win in Nov

    Quote Originally Posted by lpast View Post
    Seems ryan has given romney a boost. See cpwill I can admit it I just read Romney took the lead in Ohio, Fla and Wisconsin all big swing states in a quinnipiac poll which seem to be fair minded pollsters.

    Quinnipiac: Obama Leading in Florida, Ohio, Wisconsin

    There is also the a famously accurate poll model that predicts Presidential winners having romny as winning in nov...using thier model they have been 100% accurate since 1980 in predicting the winner.

    Analysis of election factors points to Romney win, University of Colorado study says | University of Colorado Boulder

    Do you believe Obama or Romney will win in Nov....I still believe the debates can turn the tide and firmly place the winner, however, going into the debates Romny/Ryan have a clear edge.
    I do not know who will win. However, I am 100% certain that no matter who wins the election the People will lose.

  5. #35
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    Re: Who do you believe will win in Nov

    Analysis of election factors points to Romney win, University of Colorado study says

    “For the last eight presidential elections, this model has correctly predicted the winner,” said Berry. “The economy has seen some improvement since President Obama took office. What remains to be seen is whether voters will consider the economy in relative or absolute terms. If it’s the former, the president may receive credit for the economy’s trajectory and win a second term. In the latter case, Romney should pick up a number of states Obama won in 2008.”

  6. #36
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    Re: Who do you believe will win in Nov

    Quote Originally Posted by lpast View Post
    Well I dont agree..romny is no more unpalatable to voters than obama is...they are both split pretty even and when an election is this close Debates in my opinion can mean much.
    Voters already know Obama well; he's been on their TVs for at least four years now. They more or less know what they think of him, and nothing he can say on a debate stage is going to sway their opinion of him very much. Romney is more of a blank slate, at least to some voters. The only way his debate performance could affect his standing is if voters get the feeling that he simply isn't up to the job. And I don't think that's very likely to happen...so I doubt that anything either candidate says during the debate is going to move the needle very much. For the most part, major political moments in debates are mostly a creation of Aaron Sorkin and the media IMO.
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    Re: Who do you believe will win in Nov

    I probably will not vote in this election because pot heads are still being persecuted under his administration.

    ALSO THE WAR RAGES ON.

  8. #38
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    Re: Who do you believe will win in Nov

    Quote Originally Posted by lpast View Post
    Well I dont agree..romny is no more unpalatable to voters than obama is...they are both split pretty even and when an election is this close Debates in my opinion can mean much.
    Debates have often turned the tide or perhaps even been the deciding factor in many elections. Carter was in deep before the debate against Reagan, but that debate sealed the election for Reagan. Same with Bush/Dukakis. A dlip of a strong debate by Dukakis and a weak one by Bush might have led to a different outcome. Gore was overconfident and a sneaky good GWB got him off his game and he was never able to recover. Had it not been for those debates, we could have very well been looking at a Gore presidency.

    This election however, there is so little difference between the two. Romney will be basically saying me too. A huge Obama slip up may turn the tide, but it would have to be monumental. Romney will not on his own be able to draw any significant distinction between Obama and himself. The Debates will likely be a tie, as neither candidate can offer any substantive positive results or plans. Romney will have to knock Obama off the perch, but since Romney doesn't have the strength to do so, Obama will have to fall off the perch for Romney to have a big win and change the tide of the election .

  9. #39
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    Re: Who do you believe will win in Nov

    Quote Originally Posted by 00timh View Post
    Debates have often turned the tide or perhaps even been the deciding factor in many elections. Carter was in deep before the debate against Reagan, but that debate sealed the election for Reagan. Same with Bush/Dukakis. A dlip of a strong debate by Dukakis and a weak one by Bush might have led to a different outcome. Gore was overconfident and a sneaky good GWB got him off his game and he was never able to recover. Had it not been for those debates, we could have very well been looking at a Gore presidency.

    This election however, there is so little difference between the two. Romney will be basically saying me too. A huge Obama slip up may turn the tide, but it would have to be monumental. Romney will not on his own be able to draw any significant distinction between Obama and himself. The Debates will likely be a tie, as neither candidate can offer any substantive positive results or plans. Romney will have to knock Obama off the perch, but since Romney doesn't have the strength to do so, Obama will have to fall off the perch for Romney to have a big win and change the tide of the election .
    I hope they put the debates on the comedy channel.

  10. #40
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    Re: Who do you believe will win in Nov

    Romney will win by outspending Obama three or four to one over the last four to five weeks of the campaign. We will see an onslaught of the nastiest and ugliest commercials every produced and mainly fueled by Citizens United permitted money. It is the beginning of the end of our democratic republic and the start of the onset of corporate fascism.
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