What will be the impact of the SCOTUS ruling on Healthcare Reform on Nov 2012?
What impact, if any will the recent High Court ruling have in the November election?
My humble opinion? Net 0. Allow me to explain. I predicted long ago, whichever side loses in the ruling will be fired up in the election. The Republicans lost so they are the ones on a mission right now. However, for the most part what the GOP tends to be best at lately is getting our own ranks emotionally invested with greater intensity while winning over no new converts.
A- The result: higher levels of outrage by the same people who already had their minds made up on the subject.
B- Practical impact: more campaign donations sent in and possibly a bigger turn out at the polls.
C- Risk: having such a hissy fit it drives the agenda to such a level that it turns off people not as passionate about it or who support the ruling.
In fact, I think C will be the biggest response and will cause any affect of B to be cancelled out and thus no affect on the election either way.
Additionally, I think people generally respect the decisions of the SCOTUS and the root level GOP is slamming the court for what is seen by the indies (who pretty much decide things on election day) for not being partisan.
Lastly, the last person the GOP needs to champion the cause of legislatively ending Obamacare is the guy who invented it while Gov. of MA. This creates IMHO a huge credibility issue with the independents who again are the people who tip the scales on election day.
Last edited by Smeagol; 06-29-12 at 10:51 PM.
Re: What will be the impact of the SCOTUS ruling on Healthcare Reform on Nov 2012?
Romney will get more votes than he would have otherwise. It is unlikely that he will get more votes because of this than his margin of victory.