"God is the name by which I designate all things which cross my path violently and recklessly, all things which alter my plans and intentions, and change the course of my life, for better or for worse."
-C G Jung
As you can see, the world got richer during the 40s, despite both catastrophes. Likewise, life expectancy also went up during the decade.
I am also concerned about the possibility of a Malthusian catastrophe, and there are certainly arguments to be made that there will be one. Fortunately, Malthus has been wrong in the 2 and a half centuries since he was born, and I hope he continues to be wrong. Though I hesitatingly believe he will keep being wrong, you're right that there are reasons for concern.Originally Posted by lizzie
Last edited by NotEliTanenbaum; 06-02-12 at 09:53 PM.
"Not learning from mistakes is worse than committing mistakes. When you don't allow yourself to make mistakes, it is hard to be tolerant of others and it does not allow even God to be merciful."
Also, Europe is in big trouble. They are having the problems due to the eurozone, but in the middle of this euro crisis we are forgetting other European problems, such as
- youth who are not able to get into the labout market and are not qualified.
- Immigration of people who mostly end up on the dole. In Europe this is a big problem because many of the new immigrants are belivers in radical islam, and that causes culture clash.
- The rise of the populist left. Which is far right xenophobic positions combined with far left economical positions. If the past is any indicator, that is not a recipe for success.
- Aging, people are not getting enough children. Not enough children means too many old people for every person in working age.
US have many of the same problems. Asia, is not getting enough children at all, and that risk destroying their finances. They seems to be unable to increase their fertility rate. Africa's population is growing out of control, their fertility rate is stuck at high levels in many African countries. After a while, they won't be able to support themselves. So I am not very positive about the future.
However, there is some countries who inspire hope. South Ameirca is doing decently well, and so is China and India. They will bring a lot of people out of poverty.
like this. It takes a very small drop from 49.58 to 49.34 over the course of a few years, then begins promptly rising again. Some places were obviously hit very hard, like Botswana, which was previously Africa's fastest growing country. But the life expectancy of most of those countries have been rising lately. All countries face some very hard challenges ahead. But as for the really big, important things, like the world's life expectancy, child mortality and population growth, most have been getting better lately.
Last edited by NotEliTanenbaum; 06-02-12 at 10:14 PM.
In the future, that is going to be true for developing countries due to the rise of India, China, South America, and parts of Africa. But the western world (especially Europe, and Japan) is getting worse, and Africa has a ticking population bomb.
Last edited by Camlon; 06-02-12 at 10:36 PM.
In Europe and Japan, certainly. But the recession in the United States ended back in 2009, and we've been growing (albeit very slowly) since then. But that's not my point. My point is that for the world as a whole, things are in general getting better.Originally Posted by Camlon
Possibly, but I'm not so sure.Originally Posted by Camlon
Last edited by NotEliTanenbaum; 06-02-12 at 10:55 PM.
This is what I think the world will be like, sort of. I also think that governments will become more powerful, more complex and more intrusive to maintain order with billions of richer, longer lived, wasteful consumers.
Its not for me to judge this to be good or bad. Just different.
The Marching Morons Full text of the story at this link
"The Marching Morons" is a science fiction story written by Cyril M. Kornbluth, originally published in Galaxy in April 1951. It was included in The Science Fiction Hall of Fame, Volume Two after being voted one of the best novellas up to 1965.
The story is set hundreds of years in the future: the date is 7-B-936. John Barlow, a man from the past put into suspended animation by a freak accident involving a dental drill and anesthesia, is revived in this future. The world seems mad to Barlow until Tinny-Peete explains the Problem of Population: Due to a combination of intelligent people not having children and excessive breeding by less intelligent people, the world is full of morons, with the exception of an elite few who work slavishly to keep order. Barlow, who was a shrewd real estate con man in his day, has a solution to sell to the elite, in exchange for being made World Dictator.[/QUOTE]
The idea behind "The Marching Morons," is interesting, but I think a lot of geneticists would not agree that the idea presented in the story is likely to become of problem.
I am indifferent on the future. My future is solely focused on my daughter, my wife, and being better than as many people as possible. Making sure I prepare my daughter to lead a life far better than my own. Everything else is just a bonus to me. As for the rest of the world's problems I am mostly what you would call a jingoist and nationalist I guess, I care more about what happens to my country and it's people than others. If those other countries are directly linked to my countries well being of course I will care for what happens to them, but if it does not directly effect my country, I could really care less. I have to many things to worry about already.
"We’re going to close the unproductive tax loopholes that allow some of the truly wealthy to avoid paying their fair share. In theory, some of those loopholes were understandable, but in practice they sometimes made it possible for millionaires to pay nothing, while a bus driver was paying ten percent of his salary, and that’s crazy." -Reagan