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Well, I guess we can debate "What ifs" all day and never have conclusive proof but Britain developed it's own bomb, albeit later than we did. They were already into nuclear fission research well before 1940 when the Frisch–Peierls memorandum was drafted. Given that they were working on a bomb and helped US in our research I see no reason to assume it would have never been done. Nuclear fission was as much science as it was warfare prior to WWII and with war thrust upon them it was understandable the research would make a hard turn that direction (though chances are it was already heading that way). Given a war-torn Britain after WWII I do not believe they would have given up pursuit of either bombs or nuclear power production, where their reliance on other countries for fuel would be drastically reduced.The nuclear reactor came about from the creation of the nuclear bomb. I might be wrong but I don't think France would of ever done such a thing and Britain is questionable.
Frisch
Britain's Nuclear Weapons - From MAUD to Hurricane
Britain's Nuclear Weapons - British Nuclear Testing