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  • Romney

    6 18.18%
  • Perry

    13 39.39%
  • Bachmann

    0 0%
  • Pawlenty

    0 0%
  • Gingrinch

    1 3.03%
  • Cain

    2 6.06%
  • Paul

    8 24.24%
  • Palin

    1 3.03%
  • Don't know

    2 6.06%
  • Other

    0 0%
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Thread: Who will win GOP primary?

  1. #1
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    Who will win GOP primary?

    Who do you think will win the GOP primary?

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    Re: Who will win GOP primary?

    More than likely Romney, though my predictive powers have lacked this week. Pawlenty has withdrawn as I understand it, so he won't win.
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    Re: Who will win GOP primary?

    Quote Originally Posted by Redress View Post
    More than likely Romney, though my predictive powers have lacked this week. Pawlenty has withdrawn as I understand it, so he won't win.
    And it looks like his donors are going to Bachmann and Perry now...

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    Re: Who will win GOP primary?

    I feel strongly it will be Perry. Of course, I think Romney would have the best chance in the general election, but I don't think the crazy wing of the Republican party are going to let him run.

    Old school Republicans can even see that Bachmann is bat**** crazy, so they are not going to support her. Perry appeals to both the crazy wing and the old school Republican wing, so I think he will be the one they go with.

    That's my prediction.
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    Re: Who will win GOP primary?

    He must have heard the news about Perry jumping in, and decided he didn't have a chance...

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    Re: Who will win GOP primary?

    Quote Originally Posted by Catawba View Post
    I feel strongly it will be Perry. Of course, I think Romney would have the best chance in the general election, but I don't think the crazy wing of the Republican party are going to let him run.

    Old school Republicans can even see that Bachmann is bat**** crazy, so they are not going to support her. Perry appeals to both the crazy wing and the old school Republican wing, so I think he will be the one they go with.

    That's my prediction.
    It's a good prediction. I think Perry will win all the southern states, and Mitt will have to fight hard in places like Florida, Nevada, Ohio, etc.

    It actually is still hard to tell though. I remember everybody thought Howard Dean was going to win the primary, but Kerry did. Then Hillary was a sure bet, but Obama came out of nowhere. I honestly didn't think McCain would win the ticket in 2008 either... I kind of thought it would have been Guiliani or Huckabee.

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    Re: Who will win GOP primary?

    Republican primary voters have a nasty habit of flocking to the "next in line." That would be Romney - he ran in 2008 and lost and now he's teeing up again.

    How much will the mood of the country and the presence of an energized TEA Party changes things? I have no clue.

    Who should win? Governor Palin. She has the most reasoned approach to many of the problems that face us. She's not indebted to either a political machine nor to Wall Street. She's been forged in the fire that the Obama minions have directed at her since 2008 and so there's nothing that Obama's machine can do to her that they haven't already done. Perry is just starting to get a taste of that and so too Bachman. Can they withstand the barrages of all out war from a media so invested in keeping a liberal "lightworker" in the White House?

    Will someone else come forward in the coming months. I read that Paul Ryan is considering.

    The whole thing is wide open right now.

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    Re: Who will win GOP primary?

    To put things in perspective...

    McCain is Green
    Romney is Yellow
    Huckabee is Blue

    http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedi...ts%2C_2008.svg

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    Re: Who will win GOP primary?

    Quote Originally Posted by SheWolf View Post
    To put things in perspective...

    McCain is Green
    Romney is Yellow
    Huckabee is Blue

    http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedi...ts%2C_2008.svg
    Thanks for that map. I wonder about those McCain states. Did they go for McCain because they preferred him over Romney or because they were thinking "Anyone but Romney."

    If the former, then if no better candidate comes along and Romney is heir apparent, then he could sweep those McCain states. If it's the latter, then he's doomed because the same dynamic is likely to be in place in this go-around as in 2008.

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    Re: Who will win GOP primary?

    Quote Originally Posted by RiverDad View Post
    Thanks for that map. I wonder about those McCain states. Did they go for McCain because they preferred him over Romney or because they were thinking "Anyone but Romney."

    If the former, then if no better candidate comes along and Romney is heir apparent, then he could sweep those McCain states. If it's the latter, then he's doomed because the same dynamic is likely to be in place in this go-around as in 2008.
    I think your latter scenario is most likely and that would mean more would go for Perry it would seem, don't you think?
    Treat the earth well: it was not given to you by your parents, it was loaned to you by your children. We do not inherit the Earth from our Ancestors, we borrow it from our Children. ~ Ancient American Indian Proverb

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