“If we must have an enemy at the head of Government, let it be one whom we can oppose, and for whom we are not responsible, who will not involve our party in the disgrace of his foolish and bad measures.”
- Alexander Hamilton. Spiritual father of #NeverTrump
If Sarah Palin or a tea partier is nominated, yes
If a moderate Republican is nominated, then he'll may or may not be beat, will be close
The tragedy is not that things are broken. The tragedy is that things are not mended again. - Alan Paton
Bach is the beginning and end of all music - Max Reger
It is not God who kills the children. Not fate that butchers them or destiny that feeds them to the dogs. It's us. Only us - Rorschach
Right now, I'd put it at a 65/35 chance with regards to reelected / not reelected.
I think its substantially more likely that he wins, but I don't think its a forgone conclussion. I do think its a good bit to far out to make any kind of sizable claim though. A LOT can happen just between now and when the Republican candidate is announced, let alone before the Primaries for the Republicans even really get fully going.
My opponent is a liar, and he can not be trusted
This election began like a car wreck; a bad thing, but I couldn't help but look away. It's now more like a beheading video; a sickening display where I can't hit the red X fast enough.