While I am currently using Walzer's framework of a theory of aggression to determine whether the Iraqi War was just, I am personally cognizant of the major interests of states. My original justification of Iraq was that it was in our National interest to spread democracy. Of course, Iraq represents significant oil interests as well. It is a case of significant interest. This is reflected in Walzer's statement that a war for humanitarian intervention is one that typically holds a mixed case or reasons.
Democratic, or to be more specific, representative governance is sustainable only in the context of political, economic, legal institutions, not to mention the relationship of a state’s peoples. Unless that framework is established, democracy is not really feasible. Instead, it evolves into something illiberal. It is no accident that under the domestic framework of Iraq, with its ethnic rivalries, the country turned authoritarian. Otherwise, it might well have fragmented. Today, progress toward representative government has been made. Nonetheless, real issues persist including secessionist tendencies among the Kurds, a Shia-majority government that is governing frequently for the interests of the Shia at the expense of the Sunnis and Kurds, and a central government that appears to be accumulating power to the extent that liberty could be imperiled down the road. In other words, an evolution toward heavy-handedness, at a minimum, seems to be underway. In Afghanistan, the situation is quite different. The structure of that society is highly decentralized. Hence, the country has had ineffectual central governments from prior to the Soviet invasion to the present.
Given the broader framework that is necessary to support and sustain democratic governance, making democratization a military objective is not really feasible. That was a fatal blind spot in the neoconservative philosophy that assumed regime change could seamlessly bring about democratic governance. The world is not characterized by idealism. The realities in Iraq and Afghanistan have been, to say the least, more complex.
Therefore, in my opinion, wars should not be launched to bring about democracy. However, if wars are launched for just causes (and I’ve outlined my framework for reaching such an assessment), post-war planning could well consider governance changes, as had been done in Germany and Japan following World War II.
Also, speaking about post-war arrangements, I have real issues with the idea of “punishing” a defeated enemy. I favor a peace of moderation whereby the enemy is re-integrated into the international framework/community of nations. A peace of moderation was pursued with France following Napoleon’s defeat in the 19th Century, toward the South following the U.S. Civil War, and in Germany and Japan following World War II. In each of those cases, the moderate peace terms proved beneficial. In stark contrast, Germany was punished severely following World War I. I would suggest that the Treaty of Versailles’ terms contributed to nurturing an environment that made it easier for Hitler to rise to power.
It states in whole or in part, and the quashing of a nationalist movement, entailing the annihilation of innocent men, women and children, certainly applies. The same is true of the massacre of the Shia. The systematic imprisonment and murder of the Shia may also meet this standard of genocide.
The quashing of a nationalist movement is not genocide. The deliberate effort to “destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnical, racial or religious group” is genocide. There is little doubt that Saddam Hussein was brutal and his policies led to the deaths of tens of thousands of innocent people (perhaps more).
If the Hussein regime truly did engage in genocide, I would suggest military intervention to bring an end to the genocide would be appropriate. If so, such intervention would have been proper during the late 1980s when Iraq was engaging in such conduct.
Needless to say, that goes beyond what is currently permissible under international law. In any case, the post-Gulf War arrangements essentially curbed Iraq’s oppression against the Kurds. Up to the start of the war that began in 2003, there was no ongoing genocide nor was there imminent threat of genocide. So, I don’t believe the war that began in 2003 could be based on genocide.
Of course it would be better to form a broader coalition to tackle these states. This is why I am an advocate for a new Organization of Democratic States.
In principle, any new organization of countries committed to improving human rights would be better than the current UN Human Rights Council, which has demonstrated partiality in putting political causes ahead of genuine human rights matters, unwillingness to repudiate terrible human rights practices, and allows chronic human rights abusers to serve on the Council. However, I would reserve final judgment until I knew the organization’s specific mandate, its authority, and how it would go about promoting improved human rights performances. I still would not favor military means for bringing about improved human rights practices. Doing so could well lead to a slippery slope whereby other social or humanitarian justifications become rationalizations for the use of force. If so, the frequency and magnitude of wars could increase markedly.