Syria Regime 'to accept de facto partition' of Country......

It appears that Assad knows he has lost what was once Syria. Seems he is taking the advice of Iran now. What say ye?



Weakened by years of war, Syria's government appears ready for the country's de facto partition, defending strategically important areas and leaving much of the country to rebels and jihadists, experts and diplomats say. "The world must think about whether the establishment of two terrorist states is in its interests or not," he said, in reference to IS's self-proclaimed "caliphate" in Syria and Iraq, and Al-Qaeda affiliate Al-Nusra Front's plans for its own "emirate" in northern Syria.

Since the uprising against Assad began in March 2011 with peaceful protests, the government has lost more than three-quarters of the country's territory, according to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a Britain-based monitor. But the territory the regime controls accounts for about 50 to 60 percent of the population, according to French geographer and Syria expert Fabrice Balanche

People close to the regime talk about a government retreat to "useful Syria". "The division of Syria is inevitable. The regime wants to control the coast, the two central cities of Hama and Homs and the capital Damascus," one Syrian political figure close to the regime said. "The Syrian army today has become a Praetorian guard that is charged with protecting the regime," said a diplomat who goes to Damascus regularly. He said the situation had left Syrian officials "worried, of course," but that they remained convinced that key regime allies Russia and Iran would not let the government collapse.....snip~

Syria regime 'to accept de facto partition' of country

MMC said:

-- key regime allies Russia and Iran would not let the government collapse.....snip~

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I see long costly campaigns ahead for both allies.

MMC said:

What say ye?

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Were we not making this prediction a month ago, confirmed about a week ago when it became realized that the majority of the nation was no longer under al-Assad's control?

Infinite Chaos said:

I see long costly campaigns ahead for both allies.

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They don't think he will collapse with Hezbollah and Lebanon covering the Border area against Al Nusra.....that he will hold the South East of the Country. The good news, would be Iran being limited.....with what it can ship to Assad.




But the new strategy does not indicate regime collapse, and could even work in its favour, Nerguizian said.

"Supply lines would have far less overstretch to contend with, and the regime's taxed command-and-control structure would have more margin of maneuver."....snip~

OrphanSlug said:

Were we not making this prediction a month ago, confirmed about a week ago when it became realized that the majority of the nation was no longer under al-Assad's control?

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Heya OS. :2wave: We were.....he has lost territory. But still controls the most area with population. Syria breaks up into 3.....our Intel people see Iraq with no other option and doing the same. Yet even to do that.....the ground must be taken from ISIS.

MMC said:

Heya OS. :2wave: We were.....he has lost territory. But still controls the most area with population. Syria breaks up into 3.....our Intel people see Iraq with no other option and doing the same. Yet even to do that.....the ground must be taken from ISIS.

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In my opinion we are putting the cart before the horse here. There is zero expectation that ISIS would "agree" to some negotiated conclusion allowing al-Assad to control anything and at the same time allow the Iraqi Government to retain whatever it has left. Just the mere fact that we are talking about mostly desert, but with some real mineral interests, suggest that ISIS has other ambitions. This is confirmed by ISIS having relations with people in Gaza, other pockets in the Middle East, and parts of North and Central Africa. There is no real reason to assume some settlement of territory break up as even in Iraq we have the Kurds to be concerned about.

Sorry ladies and gents, I do not see this being a plausible conclusion point. al-Assad either has to take his nation back or eventually concede defeat, and it is looking like a similar story in Iraq. A de facto partition of Syria today is simply a chapter in a book with the conclusion not written yet. And we cannot forget we have other factions in Syria right now with other ambitions for the nation which I also suspect are not interested in settlement.

OrphanSlug said:

In my opinion we are putting the cart before the horse here. There is zero expectation that ISIS would "agree" to some negotiated conclusion allowing al-Assad to control anything and at the same time allow the Iraqi Government to retain whatever it has left. Just the mere fact that we are talking about mostly desert, but with some real mineral interests, suggest that ISIS has other ambitions. This is confirmed by ISIS having relations with people in Gaza, other pockets in the Middle East, and parts of North and Central Africa. There is no real reason to assume some settlement of territory break up as even in Iraq we have the Kurds to be concerned about.

Sorry ladies and gents, I do not see this being a plausible conclusion point. al-Assad either has to take his nation back or eventually concede defeat, and it is looking like a similar story in Iraq. A de facto partition of Syria today is simply a chapter in a book with the conclusion not written yet. And we cannot forget we have other factions in Syria right now with other ambitions for the nation which I also suspect are not interested in settlement.

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If ISIS is broken in Syria.....home to their caliphate. Their home ground taken from them. It will be a devastating blow to them. No matter how far they spread. All their new little chapters will take notice and see their homeland, and their seat of power destroyed.

The other Rebel/Terrorists(Sunni) are pretty much at the end of their ropes. They really have no fighting force until they get some newly trained people.

"Iran urged Syrian authorities to face facts and change strategy by protecting only strategic zones," opposition figure Haytham Manna said.....snip~


So not only is Iran handling Business in Iraq.....but now they are advising Assad, as to his best course of action.