31 Visitor Messages

  1. View Conversation
    That's definitely true. Sustaining expectations were a primary reason for leaving the easing open-ended. Did you get a chance to read the Woodford paper? He proposed that the expectations channel is more effective than the actual market operations. Most people are saying that paper was the primary factor in Bernanke's decision. Do you support NGDP targeting? What do you see as the drawbacks?
  2. View Conversation
    Both quantitative and open-ended easing affects inflation expectations. One of the main purposes of quantitative easing is to reduce the real interest rate once the nominal rate is zero. I don't understand why a poster of your stature would believe otherwise.

    Graph: 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate (DGS10)-10-Year Treasury Inflation-Indexed Security, Constant Maturity (DFII10) - FRED - St. Louis Fed
    Best Chart: Fed Purchases Boost Inflation - Businessweek
  3. View Conversation
    LSAP's effects on 10Y yields and inflation, before OT was even announced: FRBSF Economic Letter: Estimating the Macroeconomic Effects of the Fed's Asset Purchases (2011-03, 1/31/2011)
  4. View Conversation
    Just found this old piece from Goldman. They advised shorting the 10Ys on Jan-23 through the March futures. Maybe that big money was one of their big clients. Goldman Tells Clients To Short US 10 Year Treasurys | ZeroHedge
  5. View Conversation
    Raise rates? No way. Even Goldman predicts that sterilized QE3 is still inevitable. Whatever it is they knew, I'd like to know. IIRC, the large sell-off in treasuries last week came out of the blue on no news.
  6. View Conversation
    **** man, I was going to ask if he left the position open until the sell-off last week. What a beautiful trade
  7. View Conversation
    Didn't watch the game, but I saw that John Lucas lit up the Heat last night and the Bulls won without D-Rose. You must be very proud
  8. View Conversation
    Granted the decline in 30-year treasury futures came from the peak on Tuesday. They were relatively unchanged on the day unless he covered at the lows.
  9. View Conversation
    I saw your chat with SB in the chatroom. I guess that big money made out like a bandit this week
  10. View Conversation
    You had a cool story to tell me??
Showing Visitor Messages 11 to 20 of 31
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About Kushinator

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About Kushinator
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I love money!
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It is not very unreasonable that the rich should contribute to the public expense, not only in proportion to their revenue, but something more than in that proportion.
"Wealth of Nations," Book V, Chapter II, Part II, Article I, pg.911

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