No, they are probably not mostly accurate. The false positives rate on a 98% accurate test is actually horrible, which
you should look into. These tests are probably only correct a small fraction of the time. Despite "what a 98% failure rate" seems to imply.
How else do you think the police found out about him? They threw dice for each house on the block and guessed that that house was random one they were going to check? That's possible, I'm not sure. But either way, the police still have an onus to actually understand the statistical relevance of false positives (See: Above). What they're doing is ridiculous, unhelpful, and lazy. When you conduct a raid with guns, you need to have a much higher standard of evidence than what was given. They didn't show up and knock on the door. They hammered the door down and went in guns raised. Do you realize how ****ing dangerous that is? There were children in that home. And only based on a tiny amount of very flimsy evidence? That's morally bankrupt and disgusting. If you can't recognize that, I'm not really sure what conversation we can have here.
