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Obama's Star Rising

polgara said:
Good morning, ocean515. :2wave:

I read an interesting article that used the term "weapons of math's instruction," that just might seem to be of use here! :lamo
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Some of us are really good at math; others not so much. I blame it on our public school system.
 
calamity said:
I just see it as someone not really understanding the political landscape of presidential elections. As we see with your Reagan example from 1980, even in a landslide, the winner often barely gets more than 50% of the popular vote, especially when there is a viable or at least, somewhat popular third party candidate.

2012: Obama 51%; Romeny 47%--Obama wins by 126 electoral votes
2008: Obama 53%, McCain 46%-- Obama wins by 192 Electoral votes. This was clearly an ass kicking
2004: Bush 51%; Kerry 48%--Bush wins by 35 electoral votes.
2000: Bush 47.9%; Gore 48.4%---Bush wins by 5 electoral votes despite losing the popular vote
1996: Clinton 49%; Dole 41%; Perot 8%--Clinton wins by 220 electoral votes. This was similar to the Reagan election of 1980.

Notice how no one above drew 55%? A candidate getting 55% would be almost unheard of in modern presidential elections.
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The original quote I commented on what this:

54% approval. So much for the GOP's Trump card.​

How does your comment above related to approval translate into this landslide vote thing?

Are you suggesting an approval rating has a one to one relationship to votes?
 
ocean515 said:
The original quote I commented on what this:

54% approval. So much for the GOP's Trump card.​

How does your comment above related to approval translate into this landslide vote thing?

Are you suggesting an approval rating has a one to one relationship to votes?
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Just having fun with the numbers.

For example:

The last election where a candidate drew over 55% was 1984:
Reagan 59%; Mondale 41%---Reagan wins by 512 electoral votes. That is a blow out

The last 60-plus percent winner was 1972:
Nixon 61%; McGovern 38%---Nixon wins by 503 electoral votes. That is a real blow out.

Johnson did much the same to Goldwater in '64.
 
Here's a perspective on final approval ratings.

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As we see, 55% is pretty good. But, it's not worth much since two presidents with approval ratings in that range were not even reelected.
But, Obama's 54% is awful good compared to GW's 34% :lol: but nowhere near Reagan and Clinton's 63 and 66% respectively.
 
calamity said:
Notice how no one above drew 55%? A candidate getting 55% would be almost unheard of in modern presidential elections.
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Bush43 also considered his 51-48 vs Kerry to be a "mandate," and on that basis tried to push for things like privatizing Social Security (which I'm pretty sure wasn't part of his campaign).
 
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