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WOW :clap:
that is a super spectacular analysis...thanks for the explanation, it is fascinating!!
from what you have said and the way it is laid out it is so tight
I have predicted Trump right from the opening of the gate. The reason I believe he will win is because as you say: "He has foot in mouth disease." I think people like that. I also think it indicates just how far we have devolved but...that is me. I admire Trumps ability to read his crowd and manipulate them. That is quite the gift. I do not think Hillary possesses such a gift.
But to me she is the more solid candidate.
Once Trump wins, and I believe he will, he will back track while still appearing not to.
I am not happy about the way I believe this will go down but I do not live there and it likely won't affect my lifestyle one iota unless of course ? there is always the unknown.
Roger that. There is always the unknown. All it takes is one major unforeseen event or happening to turn an election on its ear. The Iranian Hostage crisis doomed Carter. Carter actually lead in the polls beginning in October of 1980 44-40 over Reagan with Anderson at 8%. At that time Carter began to look more like the hostage than those in Iran and he lost 51-41.
So far Trump is winning the independent vote, by a slight margin. 36-34 over Clinton with Johnson getting 18% of the independent vote. Averages. You may have something that independents like the so called straight forward talk from Trump. But then again in 2012 Romney won the independent vote 51-48 over Obama. Romney's three-point win is close to Trump's two-point advantage today. Although there is a huge difference between 51% and 36%. The dislike of both candidates factor again.
I think a lot of Johnson supporters are looking for Trump to be more presidential with a lot less trash talk. That could win substantial Johnson supporters over. But on the flip side, it might turn off some of his avid supporters. They like him as he is. Who really knows? It is all just an educational guess at this point.